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Roma
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 29
Lecce

Head-to-head overview

11 meetings
RomaWins
9
Draws18.2% of meetings
2
LecceWins
0
Goals per match
2.36
Over 2.5 goals
45.5%
Both teams scored
36.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce0–4Roma
2026-03-22 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Roma1–0Lecce
2026-01-06 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Lecce0–2Roma
2025-03-29 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Lecce0–1Roma
2024-12-07 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Roma4–1Lecce
2024-04-01 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Lecce0–0Roma
2023-11-05 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Roma2–1Lecce
2023-02-11 Italy, Serie A 22/23 Lecce1–1Roma
Recent matches

Roma

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Torino0–2Roma
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–1Atalanta
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-24 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma4–0Fiorentina
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Verona0–2Roma
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Roma2–0Lazio
2026-05-10 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma2–3Roma

Lecce

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-07 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-23 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Venezia0–2Lecce
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Lecce1–0Genoa
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Sassuolo2–3Lecce
Roma Lecce

Wins

88%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
38%

Clean sheets

62%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Roma

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
3 Roma Cagliari 1
3 Roma Lazio 2
3 · Roma
3 Roma 2–2 Inter 4 6′ Home
3 Roma Milan 5
3 Roma Frosinone 6
3 Roma Juventus 7
3 Roma Como 8
3 Roma Napoli 9
3 Roma Sassuolo 10
3 Roma Lecce 11
3 Roma 2–1 Atalanta 12 47′ Away
3 Roma Udinese 13
3 Roma Torino 14
3 Roma Parma 15
3 Roma Monza 16
3 Roma 4–0 Fiorentina 17 27′ Home
3 Roma Bologna 18
3 Roma Genoa 19
3 Roma Venezia 20

Lecce

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Cagliari 1–0 Lecce 11 29′ Home
2 Lazio Lecce 11
3 Roma Lecce 11
4 Inter Lecce 11
5 Milan 3–0 Lecce 11 14′ Home
6 Frosinone Lecce 11
7 Juventus Lecce 11
8 Como Lecce 11
9 Napoli Lecce 11
10 Sassuolo Lecce 11
11 · Lecce
12 Atalanta Lecce 11
13 Udinese Lecce 11
14 Torino Lecce 11
15 Parma Lecce 11
16 Monza Lecce 11
17 Fiorentina Lecce 11
18 Bologna Lecce 11
19 Genoa Lecce 11
20 Venezia 0–2 Lecce 11 46′ Away
Roma Home Lecce Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Roma

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.333.002.60
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match2.673.002.80
Goals conceded / match1.000.000.60
Total goals / match3.673.003.40
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4510
46–6022
61–7500
76–9031

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lecce

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.001.001.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.000.671.33
Goals conceded / match2.671.332.00
Total goals / match4.672.003.33
Failed to score33.3%66.7%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%66.7%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3001
31–4500
46–6010
61–7502
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelRomaDraw LecceHow it works
Strength (Elo) 68.8% 14.7% 16.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 70.5% 14.2% 9.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.74–0.87 Model expected goals
63.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
51.0% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 10.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-010.1%
3-09.2%
2-18.8%
3-18.1%
1-07.4%
1-16.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureRomaLecce How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1668 1451 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 43 49 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1539 1529 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 61.3% 40.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 59.0% 36.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1175 1030 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 45.7% 30.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 71.9% 72.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Roma 1.101.20 0.200.80
Lecce 0.530.42 0.740.79

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Roma 0%25%30%20%25%
Lecce 10%28%22%22%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.45 Roma at home, 11 matches
1.18 Lecce away, 11 matches
183d Days of rest for Roma
182d Days of rest for Lecce
— Manager of Roma
— Manager of Lecce
0 Matches for Roma in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lecce in the last 14 days
2 Points for Roma behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Lecce behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Roma, the right bar represents Lecce.

On the ball

20 matches
14.5
shots
9.24
5.11
shots on target
2.88
35.2%
accuracy
31.2%
5.5
corners
3.32
12.5
fouls
12.68
1.63
yellow cards
1.82

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Roma DWWWWWWWWW 2.80 2.70–0.50 1D
Lecce LWWLLWWWLW 1.80 1.40–1.60 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Roma12 71 03
Lecce5 68 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Roma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lecce

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams