Head-to-head overview
18 meetings- FiorentinaWins
- 5
- Draws22.2% of meetings
- 4
- MilanWins
- 9
- Goals per match
- 2.94
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55.6%
- Both teams scored
- 72.2%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 |
25/26
|
Fiorentina1–1Milan |
| 2025-10-19 |
25/26
|
Milan2–1Fiorentina |
| 2025-04-05 |
24/25
|
Milan2–2Fiorentina |
| 2024-10-06 |
24/25
|
Fiorentina2–1Milan |
| 2024-03-30 |
23/24
|
Fiorentina1–2Milan |
| 2023-11-25 |
23/24
|
Milan1–0Fiorentina |
| 2023-03-04 |
22/23
|
Fiorentina2–1Milan |
| 2022-11-13 |
22/23
|
Milan2–1Fiorentina |
| 2022-05-01 |
21/22
|
Milan1–0Fiorentina |
| 2021-11-20 |
21/22
|
Fiorentina4–3Milan |
| 2021-03-21 |
20/21
|
Fiorentina2–3Milan |
| 2020-11-29 |
20/21
|
Milan2–0Fiorentina |
| 2020-02-22 |
19/20
|
Fiorentina1–1Milan |
| 2019-09-29 |
19/20
|
Milan1–3Fiorentina |
| 2019-05-11 |
18/19
|
Fiorentina0–1Milan |
| 2018-12-22 |
18/19
|
Milan0–1Fiorentina |
| 2018-05-20 |
17/18
|
Milan5–1Fiorentina |
| 2017-12-30 |
17/18
|
Fiorentina1–1Milan |
Recent matches
Fiorentina
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Fiorentina1–1Napoli |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Venezia2–4Fiorentina |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Fiorentina1–2Torino |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Fiorentina0–3Frosinone |
| 2026-08-24 |
26/27
|
Roma4–0Fiorentina |
| 2026-05-22 |
25/26
|
Fiorentina1–1Atalanta |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Juventus0–2Fiorentina |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Fiorentina0–0Genoa |
Milan
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Milan3–0Lecce |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Lazio2–2Milan |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Lazio2–2Milan |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Juventus1–1Milan |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Milan2–0Venezia |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Torino1–2Milan |
| 2026-05-24 |
25/26
|
Milan1–2Cagliari |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Genoa1–2Milan |
Fiorentina
Milan
Wins
25%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
75%
Both teams scored
50%
75%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Fiorentina
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Fiorentina | Cagliari | 1 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Lazio | 2 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Roma | 3 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Inter | 4 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Milan | 5 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | 0–3 | Frosinone | 6 | 26′ Away |
| 17 | Fiorentina | Juventus | 7 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Como | 8 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | 1–1 | Napoli | 9 | 23′ Away |
| 17 | Fiorentina | Sassuolo | 10 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Lecce | 11 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Atalanta | 12 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Udinese | 13 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | 1–2 | Torino | 14 | 47′ Home |
| 17 | Fiorentina | Parma | 15 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Monza | 16 | ||
| 17 · Fiorentina | |||||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Bologna | 18 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Genoa | 19 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Venezia | 20 | ||
Milan
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | Milan | 5 | ||
| 2 | Lazio | 2–2 | Milan | 5 | 10′ Home |
| 2 | Lazio | 2–2 | Milan | 5 | — |
| 3 | Roma | Milan | 5 | ||
| 4 | Inter | Milan | 5 | ||
| 5 · Milan | |||||
| 6 | Frosinone | Milan | 5 | ||
| 7 | Juventus | 1–1 | Milan | 5 | 68′ Away |
| 8 | Como | Milan | 5 | ||
| 9 | Napoli | Milan | 5 | ||
| 10 | Sassuolo | Milan | 5 | ||
| 11 | Lecce | Milan | 5 | ||
| 12 | Atalanta | Milan | 5 | ||
| 13 | Udinese | Milan | 5 | ||
| 14 | Torino | 1–2 | Milan | 5 | 64′ Away |
| 15 | Parma | Milan | 5 | ||
| 16 | Monza | Milan | 5 | ||
| 17 | Fiorentina | Milan | 5 | ||
| 18 | Bologna | Milan | 5 | ||
| 19 | Genoa | Milan | 5 | ||
| 20 | Venezia | Milan | 5 | ||
Fiorentina Home
Milan Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Fiorentina
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away2 matches | Overall5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 50.0% | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 21 of 4 | 0%25% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 5/5 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Milan
| Goals & results | Home2 matches | Away4 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.50 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 2.50 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 away.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Fiorentina | Draw | Milan | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 28.9% | 25.6% | 45.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 26.9% | 27.6% | 45.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.97–1.35
Model expected goals
40.7%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
45.9%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 13.2%
Most likely scores
0-113.2%
1-112.9%
0-09.8%
1-09.5%
0-28.9%
1-28.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Fiorentina | Milan | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1498 | 1607 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -28 | -38 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1522 | 1533 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 47.5% | 52.0% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 42.1% | 49.2% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1005 | 993 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 27.9% | 28.1% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 72.6% | 71.2% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| Milan | 0.26 | 0.95 | 0.58 | 0.53 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 10% | 15% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Milan | 5% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 22% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.18
Fiorentina at home, 11 matches
1.50
Milan away, 10 matches
203d
Days of rest for Fiorentina
203d
Days of rest for Milan
Paolo Vanoli
Manager of Fiorentina,
since 06/09/26
—
Manager of Milan
0
Matches for Fiorentina in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Milan in the last 14 days
11
Points for Fiorentina behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
3
Points for Milan behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
2.50
League goals per match
26.0%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fiorentina, the right bar represents Milan.
On the ball
12.22
13.06
shots
3.39
3.76
shots on target
27.7%
28.8%
accuracy
4.15
3.42
corners
11.3
10.79
fouls
1.95
1.83
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | DWLLLDWDLD | 1.00 | 0.90–1.70 | 1D |
| Milan | WDDDWWLWLL | 1.50 | 1.70–1.40 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 8 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Milan | 3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Fiorentina
No absences reported.
Milan
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout
The Guardian
09-12
Picture: Vanoli arrives at Viola Park to replace Grosso as Fiorentina coach
Football Italia
09-07
Milan star Gila admits physical discomfort forced him off against Juventus
Football Italia
09-07
Vanoli set for Fiorentina return as verbal agreement reached
Football Italia
09-07
Spalletti refuses to blame referee for Milan’s goal, appears to taunt journalists
Football Italia
09-07
Today’s Papers – Juventus vs. Milan, too little, Gatti saves Spalletti
Football Italia
09-07
Report Thiago Motta or Vanoli ready for Fiorentina job after Grosso fired
Football Italia
09-06
Official: Fiorentina have fired Grosso after three straight defeats
Football Italia
09-06
Spalletti: ‘Juventus cannot ask permission from Milan, I stick with Kolo Muani’
Football Italia
09-06
Amorim: ‘Milan didn’t deserve to win, or Juventus didn’t deserve to lose’
Football Italia
09-06
Live: Juventus vs. Milan post-match show from the Allianz Stadium
Football Italia
09-06
Serie A | Juventus 1-1 Milan: Gatti late to ruin Cisse party
Football Italia
09-06