Sassuolo

Sassuolo

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Apr 202701:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 32

Lecce

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings

SassuoloWins: 3
Draws37.5% of meetings: 3
LecceWins: 2

Goals per match: 2.75
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce
2025-10-18	25/26	Lecce0–0Sassuolo
2024-04-21	23/24	Sassuolo0–3Lecce
2023-10-06	23/24	Lecce1–1Sassuolo
2023-02-25	22/23	Lecce0–1Sassuolo
2022-08-20	22/23	Sassuolo1–0Lecce
2020-07-04	19/20	Sassuolo4–2Lecce
2019-11-03	19/20	Lecce2–2Sassuolo

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Monza2–1Sassuolo
2026-09-14	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-13	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-06	26/27	Bologna2–2Sassuolo
2026-08-29	26/27	Sassuolo2–1Torino
2026-08-23	26/27	Atalanta2–1Sassuolo
2026-05-24	25/26	Parma1–0Sassuolo
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce

Lecce

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-14	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-07	26/27	Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-31	26/27	Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-23	26/27	Venezia0–2Lecce
2026-05-24	25/26	Lecce1–0Genoa
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce

Sassuolo Lecce

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sassuolo

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Sassuolo		Cagliari	1
10	Sassuolo		Lazio	2
10	Sassuolo		Roma	3
10	Sassuolo		Inter	4
10	Sassuolo		Milan	5
10	Sassuolo		Frosinone	6
10	Sassuolo	3–2	Juventus	7	65′ Home
10	Sassuolo	3–2	Juventus	7	—
10	Sassuolo		Como	8
10	Sassuolo		Napoli	9
10 · Sassuolo
10	Sassuolo		Lecce	11
10	Sassuolo		Atalanta	12
10	Sassuolo		Udinese	13
10	Sassuolo	2–1	Torino	14	32′ Home
10	Sassuolo		Parma	15
10	Sassuolo		Monza	16
10	Sassuolo		Fiorentina	17
10	Sassuolo		Bologna	18
10	Sassuolo		Genoa	19
10	Sassuolo		Venezia	20

Lecce

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari	1–0	Lecce	11	29′ Home
2	Lazio		Lecce	11
3	Roma		Lecce	11
4	Inter		Lecce	11
5	Milan	3–0	Lecce	11	14′ Home
6	Frosinone		Lecce	11
7	Juventus		Lecce	11
8	Como		Lecce	11
9	Napoli		Lecce	11
10	Sassuolo		Lecce	11
11 · Lecce
12	Atalanta		Lecce	11
13	Udinese		Lecce	11
14	Torino		Lecce	11
15	Parma		Lecce	11
16	Monza		Lecce	11
17	Fiorentina		Lecce	11
18	Bologna		Lecce	11
19	Genoa		Lecce	11
20	Venezia	0–2	Lecce	11	46′ Away

Sassuolo Home Lecce Away

Wins

100%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

33%

Over 3.5

67%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sassuolo

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.33	1.67
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.67	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	4.33	3.33	3.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lecce

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.67	1.33
Goals conceded / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Total goals / match	4.67	2.00	3.33
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sassuolo	Draw	Lecce	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.7%	25.2%	28.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	51.8%	22.8%	24.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.85–1.18 Model expected goals

56.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.6%

2-19.8%

1-09.0%

2-08.3%

1-26.2%

3-16.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sassuolo	Lecce	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1508	1451	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	2	49	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1522	1529	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	44.2%	40.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	49.3%	36.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1050	1030	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.3%	30.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.6%	72.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved