Milan

Milan

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Apr 202701:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 32

Napoli

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

MilanWins: 5
Draws27.8% of meetings: 5
NapoliWins: 8

Goals per match: 2.33
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-06	25/26	Napoli1–0Milan
2025-09-28	25/26	Milan2–1Napoli
2025-03-30	24/25	Napoli2–1Milan
2024-10-29	24/25	Milan0–2Napoli
2024-02-11	23/24	Milan1–0Napoli
2023-10-29	23/24	Napoli2–2Milan
2023-04-02	22/23	Napoli0–4Milan
2022-09-18	22/23	Milan1–2Napoli
2022-03-06	21/22	Napoli0–1Milan
2021-12-19	21/22	Milan0–1Napoli
2021-03-14	20/21	Milan0–1Napoli
2020-11-22	20/21	Napoli1–3Milan
2020-07-12	19/20	Napoli2–2Milan
2019-11-23	19/20	Milan1–1Napoli
2019-01-26	18/19	Milan0–0Napoli
2018-08-25	18/19	Napoli3–2Milan
2018-04-15	17/18	Milan0–0Napoli
2017-11-18	17/18	Napoli2–1Milan

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-13	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-12	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-06	26/27	Juventus1–1Milan
2026-08-28	26/27	Milan2–0Venezia
2026-08-23	26/27	Torino1–2Milan
2026-05-24	25/26	Milan1–2Cagliari
2026-05-17	25/26	Genoa1–2Milan

Napoli

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Fiorentina1–1Napoli
2026-09-14	26/27	Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-13	26/27	Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter3–2Napoli
2026-08-30	26/27	Napoli1–2Como
2026-08-22	26/27	Genoa0–2Napoli
2026-05-24	25/26	Napoli1–0Udinese
2026-05-17	25/26	Pisa0–3Napoli

Milan Napoli

Wins

50%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

25%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Milan

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Milan		Cagliari	1
5	Milan		Lazio	2
5	Milan		Roma	3
5	Milan		Inter	4
5 · Milan
5	Milan		Frosinone	6
5	Milan		Juventus	7
5	Milan		Como	8
5	Milan		Napoli	9
5	Milan		Sassuolo	10
5	Milan	3–0	Lecce	11	14′ Home
5	Milan		Atalanta	12
5	Milan		Udinese	13
5	Milan		Torino	14
5	Milan		Parma	15
5	Milan		Monza	16
5	Milan		Fiorentina	17
5	Milan		Bologna	18
5	Milan		Genoa	19
5	Milan	2–0	Venezia	20	—

Napoli

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Napoli	9
2	Lazio		Napoli	9
3	Roma		Napoli	9
4	Inter	3–2	Napoli	9	50′ Away
5	Milan		Napoli	9
6	Frosinone		Napoli	9
7	Juventus		Napoli	9
8	Como		Napoli	9
9 · Napoli
10	Sassuolo		Napoli	9
11	Lecce		Napoli	9
12	Atalanta		Napoli	9
13	Udinese		Napoli	9
14	Torino		Napoli	9
15	Parma		Napoli	9
16	Monza		Napoli	9
17	Fiorentina	1–1	Napoli	9	23′ Away
18	Bologna		Napoli	9
19	Genoa	0–2	Napoli	9	82′ Away
20	Venezia		Napoli	9

Milan Home Napoli Away

Wins

100%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

0%

67%

Clean sheets

100%

33%

Scores first

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Milan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	2.50	3.25	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	0
16–30	—	0
31–45	—	0
46–60	—	0
61–75	—	0
76–90	—	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Napoli

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.33	1.67
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.67	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.33	1.00
Total goals / match	1.67	3.00	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	2
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Milan	Draw	Napoli	How it works
Strength (Elo)	38.1%	27.2%	34.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	23.9%	26.8%	48.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.91–1.43 Model expected goals

41.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.7%

1-112.5%

0-29.8%

0-09.6%

1-29.0%

1-08.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Milan	Napoli	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1607	1622	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-38	-40	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1533	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	52.0%	55.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	49.2%	57.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	993	1034	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	28.1%	32.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.2%	70.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Milan	0.26	0.95	0.58	0.53
Napoli	0.74	0.79	0.42	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Milan	5%	25%	22%	25%	22%
Napoli	8%	25%	18%	28%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Milan at home, 10 matches

1.67 Napoli away, 9 matches

210d Days of rest for Milan

210d Days of rest for Napoli

— Manager of Milan

— Manager of Napoli

0 Matches for Milan in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Napoli in the last 14 days

3 Points for Milan behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Napoli behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

26.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Milan, the right bar represents Napoli.

On the ball

20 matches

13.06

shots

13.41

3.76

shots on target

4.82

28.8%

accuracy

36.0%

3.42

corners

5.44

10.79

fouls

9.58

1.83

yellow cards

1.12

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Milan	WDDDWWLWLL	1.50	1.70–1.40	1W
Napoli	DWWLLWWWLD	1.70	1.40–0.90	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Milan	3	10	6	0	0
Napoli	8	6	5	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Milan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Napoli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Allegri provides De Bruyne update and reveals what he told Lucca in Napoli win: ‘Open your shoulders’ Football Italia 09-13

Napoli saviour Lobotka: ‘I don’t know what I was doing up front’ Football Italia 09-13

Serie A Liveblog: Napoli vs. Bologna, Sassuolo vs. Juventus, Lecce vs. Monza Football Italia 09-13

De Bruyne injury scare mars Napoli win over Bologna Football Italia 09-13

Serie A | Napoli 1-0 Bologna: Lobotka light at the end of the tunnel Football Italia 09-13

Allegri: ‘Napoli need calm, precision and concentration’ Football Italia 09-13

Serie A official line-ups: Napoli vs. Bologna Football Italia 09-13

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12

Official: Referee appointed for Napoli vs. Arsenal Football Italia 09-07

Milan star Gila admits physical discomfort forced him off against Juventus Football Italia 09-07

Spalletti refuses to blame referee for Milan’s goal, appears to taunt journalists Football Italia 09-07

Today’s Papers – Juventus vs. Milan, too little, Gatti saves Spalletti Football Italia 09-07