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Parma
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 33
Atalanta

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
ParmaWins
1
Draws10.0% of meetings
1
AtalantaWins
8
Goals per match
4.00
Over 2.5 goals
90.0%
Both teams scored
60.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-25 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Atalanta4–0Parma
2025-08-30 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma1–1Atalanta
2025-05-25 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Atalanta2–3Parma
2024-11-23 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Parma1–3Atalanta
2021-05-09 Italy, Serie A 20/21 Parma2–5Atalanta
2021-01-06 Italy, Serie A 20/21 Atalanta3–0Parma
2020-07-28 Italy, Serie A 19/20 Parma1–2Atalanta
2020-01-06 Italy, Serie A 19/20 Atalanta5–0Parma
Recent matches

Parma

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma2–1Genoa
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Como2–1Parma
2026-09-06 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma1–1Monza
2026-08-29 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Juventus2–0Parma
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma0–1Cagliari
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma1–0Sassuolo
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Como1–0Parma
2026-05-10 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma2–3Roma

Atalanta

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Juventus2–0Atalanta
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-12 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–1Atalanta
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–0Bologna
2026-08-23 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta2–1Sassuolo
2026-05-22 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Fiorentina1–1Atalanta
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Atalanta0–1Bologna
Parma Atalanta

Wins

25%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Parma

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
15 Parma 0–1 Cagliari 1 79′ Away
15 Parma Lazio 2
15 Parma Roma 3
15 Parma Inter 4
15 Parma Milan 5
15 Parma Frosinone 6
15 Parma Juventus 7
15 Parma Como 8
15 Parma Napoli 9
15 Parma Sassuolo 10
15 Parma Lecce 11
15 Parma Atalanta 12
15 Parma Udinese 13
15 Parma Torino 14
15 · Parma
15 Parma 1–1 Monza 16 38′ Away
15 Parma Fiorentina 17
15 Parma Bologna 18
15 Parma 2–1 Genoa 19 38′ Home
15 Parma Venezia 20

Atalanta

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Cagliari Atalanta 12
2 Lazio Atalanta 12
3 Roma 2–1 Atalanta 12 47′ Away
4 Inter Atalanta 12
5 Milan Atalanta 12
6 Frosinone Atalanta 12
7 Juventus 2–0 Atalanta 12 28′ Home
8 Como Atalanta 12
9 Napoli Atalanta 12
10 Sassuolo Atalanta 12
11 Lecce Atalanta 12
12 · Atalanta
13 Udinese Atalanta 12
14 Torino Atalanta 12
15 Parma Atalanta 12
16 Monza Atalanta 12
17 Fiorentina Atalanta 12
18 Bologna Atalanta 12
19 Genoa Atalanta 12
20 Venezia Atalanta 12
Parma Home Atalanta Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Parma

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.330.000.80
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.80
Goals conceded / match1.002.001.40
Total goals / match2.002.502.20
Failed to score33.3%50.0%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%50.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4511
46–6010
61–7501
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Atalanta

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.500.001.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.250.501.00
Goals conceded / match1.252.001.50
Total goals / match2.502.502.50
Failed to score0.0%50.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4500
46–6010
61–7500
76–9003

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelParmaDraw AtalantaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 30.4% 26.2% 43.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 24.2% 30.1% 45.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.78–1.20 Model expected goals
31.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
37.8% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 16.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-116.5%
0-013.8%
1-112.9%
1-010.8%
0-29.9%
1-27.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureParmaAtalanta How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1458 1551 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -6 -69 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1533 1543 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 40.7% 49.2% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 38.7% 49.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1029 1072 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.2% 30.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 73.7% 76.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Parma 0.250.60 0.300.85
Atalanta 0.530.74 0.530.63

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Parma 15%28%25%18%15%
Atalanta 8%20%32%25%15%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Parma at home, 10 matches
1.20 Atalanta away, 10 matches
217d Days of rest for Parma
217d Days of rest for Atalanta
— Manager of Parma
— Manager of Atalanta
0 Matches for Parma in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Atalanta in the last 14 days
11 Points for Parma behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Atalanta behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Parma, the right bar represents Atalanta.

On the ball

20 matches
9.61
shots
13.76
2.67
shots on target
4.47
27.7%
accuracy
32.5%
3.9
corners
4.84
11.1
fouls
11.74
1.63
yellow cards
1.56

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Parma WLDLLWLLLW 1.00 0.80–1.30 1W
Atalanta LLLLWWDLWD 1.10 1.00–1.30 4L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Parma3 134 02
Atalanta5 86 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Parma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Atalanta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams