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Lecce
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 34
Cagliari

Head-to-head overview

9 meetings
LecceWins
2
Draws44.4% of meetings
4
CagliariWins
3
Goals per match
2.22
Over 2.5 goals
33.3%
Both teams scored
55.6%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-07 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-02-16 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Cagliari0–2Lecce
2025-09-19 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Lecce1–2Cagliari
2025-01-19 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Cagliari4–1Lecce
2024-08-31 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Lecce1–0Cagliari
2024-05-05 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Cagliari1–1Lecce
2024-01-06 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Lecce1–1Cagliari
2020-07-12 Italy, Serie A 19/20 Cagliari0–0Lecce
Recent matches

Lecce

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-07 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-23 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Venezia0–2Lecce
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Lecce1–0Genoa
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Sassuolo2–3Lecce

Cagliari

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Udinese0–1Cagliari
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-12 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-07 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-30 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari0–1Inter
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma0–1Cagliari
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Milan1–2Cagliari
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Cagliari2–1Torino
Lecce Cagliari

Wins

62%
88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

38%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lecce

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
11 Lecce Cagliari 1
11 Lecce Lazio 2
11 Lecce 0–4 Roma 3 4′ Away
11 Lecce Inter 4
11 Lecce Milan 5
11 Lecce Frosinone 6
11 Lecce Juventus 7
11 Lecce Como 8
11 Lecce Napoli 9
11 Lecce Sassuolo 10
11 · Lecce
11 Lecce Atalanta 12
11 Lecce Udinese 13
11 Lecce Torino 14
11 Lecce Parma 15
11 Lecce 3–2 Monza 16 3′ Home
11 Lecce 3–2 Monza 16 —
11 Lecce Fiorentina 17
11 Lecce Bologna 18
11 Lecce Genoa 19
11 Lecce Venezia 20

Cagliari

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Cagliari
2 Lazio Cagliari 1
3 Roma Cagliari 1
4 Inter Cagliari 1
5 Milan Cagliari 1
6 Frosinone Cagliari 1
7 Juventus Cagliari 1
8 Como Cagliari 1
9 Napoli Cagliari 1
10 Sassuolo Cagliari 1
11 Lecce Cagliari 1
12 Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari 1 19′ Away
12 Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari 1 —
13 Udinese 0–1 Cagliari 1 54′ Away
14 Torino Cagliari 1
15 Parma 0–1 Cagliari 1 79′ Away
16 Monza Cagliari 1
17 Fiorentina Cagliari 1
18 Bologna Cagliari 1
19 Genoa Cagliari 1
20 Venezia Cagliari 1
Lecce Home Cagliari Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lecce

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.001.001.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.000.671.33
Goals conceded / match2.671.332.00
Total goals / match4.672.003.33
Failed to score33.3%66.7%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%66.7%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cagliari

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.503.002.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match0.501.501.17
Goals conceded / match0.500.500.50
Total goals / match1.002.001.67
Failed to score50.0%0.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%50.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLecceDraw CagliariHow it works
Strength (Elo) 32.6% 26.8% 40.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 27.9% 29.1% 42.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.93–1.22 Model expected goals
36.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
42.6% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.2%
1-113.2%
0-011.6%
1-010.8%
0-28.7%
1-28.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLecceCagliari How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1451 1520 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 49 80 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1529 1545 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 40.5% 49.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 36.0% 48.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1030 912 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 30.6% 22.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 72.4% 68.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Lecce 0.530.42 0.740.79
Cagliari 0.420.47 0.470.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Lecce 10%28%22%22%18%
Cagliari 8%22%20%32%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.44 Lecce at home, 9 matches
1.70 Cagliari away, 10 matches
224d Days of rest for Lecce
225d Days of rest for Cagliari
— Manager of Lecce
— Manager of Cagliari
0 Matches for Lecce in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Cagliari in the last 14 days
6 Points for Lecce behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Cagliari behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lecce, the right bar represents Cagliari.

On the ball

20 matches
9.24
shots
13.0
2.88
shots on target
3.65
31.2%
accuracy
28.1%
3.32
corners
4.61
12.68
fouls
10.79
1.82
yellow cards
1.71

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Lecce LWWLLWWWLW 1.80 1.40–1.60 1L
Cagliari WWWWLWWWLD 2.20 1.10–0.70 4W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Lecce5 68 01
Cagliari3 124 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lecce

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cagliari

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams