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Cagliari
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 38
Roma

Head-to-head overview

16 meetings
CagliariWins
2
Draws18.8% of meetings
3
RomaWins
11
Goals per match
2.81
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
43.8%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-09 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Roma2–0Cagliari
2025-12-07 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Cagliari1–0Roma
2025-03-16 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Roma1–0Cagliari
2024-08-18 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Cagliari0–0Roma
2024-02-05 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Roma4–0Cagliari
2023-10-08 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Cagliari1–4Roma
2022-01-16 Italy, Serie A 21/22 Roma1–0Cagliari
2021-10-27 Italy, Serie A 21/22 Cagliari1–2Roma
Recent matches

Cagliari

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Udinese0–1Cagliari
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-12 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-07 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-30 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari0–1Inter
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma0–1Cagliari
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Milan1–2Cagliari
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Cagliari2–1Torino

Roma

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Torino0–2Roma
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–1Atalanta
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-24 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma4–0Fiorentina
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Verona0–2Roma
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Roma2–0Lazio
2026-05-10 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma2–3Roma
Cagliari Roma

Wins

88%
88%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

50%
38%

Clean sheets

38%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cagliari

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Cagliari
1 Cagliari Lazio 2
1 Cagliari Roma 3
1 Cagliari 0–1 Inter 4 9′ Away
1 Cagliari Milan 5
1 Cagliari Frosinone 6
1 Cagliari Juventus 7
1 Cagliari Como 8
1 Cagliari Napoli 9
1 Cagliari Sassuolo 10
1 Cagliari 1–0 Lecce 11 29′ Home
1 Cagliari Atalanta 12
1 Cagliari Udinese 13
1 Cagliari Torino 14
1 Cagliari Parma 15
1 Cagliari Monza 16
1 Cagliari Fiorentina 17
1 Cagliari Bologna 18
1 Cagliari Genoa 19
1 Cagliari Venezia 20

Roma

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Cagliari Roma 3
2 Lazio Roma 3
3 · Roma
4 Inter Roma 3
5 Milan Roma 3
6 Frosinone Roma 3
7 Juventus Roma 3
8 Como Roma 3
9 Napoli Roma 3
10 Sassuolo Roma 3
11 Lecce 0–4 Roma 3 4′ Away
12 Atalanta Roma 3
13 Udinese Roma 3
14 Torino 0–2 Roma 3 40′ Away
15 Parma Roma 3
16 Monza Roma 3
17 Fiorentina Roma 3
18 Bologna Roma 3
19 Genoa Roma 3
20 Venezia Roma 3
Cagliari Home Roma Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cagliari

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.503.002.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match0.501.501.17
Goals conceded / match0.500.500.50
Total goals / match1.002.001.67
Failed to score50.0%0.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%50.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3010
31–4500
46–6000
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Roma

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.333.002.60
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match2.673.002.80
Goals conceded / match1.000.000.60
Total goals / match3.673.003.40
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3020
31–4510
46–6000
61–7510
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCagliariDraw RomaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 25.7% 23.7% 50.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 10.9% 18.0% 68.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.73–2.20 Model expected goals
53.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.8% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-212.9%
0-111.8%
0-39.5%
1-29.4%
1-18.6%
1-36.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCagliariRoma How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1520 1668 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 80 43 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1545 1539 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 49.9% 61.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 48.1% 59.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 912 1175 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 22.6% 45.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 68.7% 71.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Cagliari 0.420.47 0.470.68
Roma 1.101.20 0.200.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Cagliari 8%22%20%32%18%
Roma 0%25%30%20%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Cagliari at home, 10 matches
1.78 Roma away, 9 matches
253d Days of rest for Cagliari
253d Days of rest for Roma
— Manager of Cagliari
— Manager of Roma
0 Matches for Cagliari in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Roma in the last 14 days
0 Points for Cagliari behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2 Points for Roma behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cagliari, the right bar represents Roma.

On the ball

20 matches
13.0
shots
14.5
3.65
shots on target
5.11
28.1%
accuracy
35.2%
4.61
corners
5.5
10.79
fouls
12.5
1.71
yellow cards
1.63

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Cagliari WWWWLWWWLD 2.20 1.10–0.70 4W
Roma DWWWWWWWWW 2.80 2.70–0.50 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Cagliari3 124 01
Roma12 71 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cagliari

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Roma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams