Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202617:15

Belgium 26/27 Pro League · Matchday 9

Lommel SK

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven2–0RAAL La Louviere
2026-09-13	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Cercle Brugge
2026-09-12	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Cercle Brugge
2026-09-06	26/27	Beveren3–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-09-03	26/27	Gent1–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-08-29	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–2Standard
2026-08-15	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven0–3Club Brugge
2026-08-09	26/27	Charleroi3–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Lommel SK

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Lommel SK0–0Mechelen
2026-09-13	26/27	St. Gilloise5–0Lommel SK
2026-09-12	26/27	St. Gilloise5–0Lommel SK
2026-09-04	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Club Brugge
2026-08-29	26/27	Cercle Brugge0–1Lommel SK
2026-08-23	26/27	Lommel SK4–0Westerlo
2026-08-16	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Charleroi
2026-08-08	26/27	St Truiden1–1Lommel SK

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lommel SK

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

50%

12%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Home · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		St. Gilloise	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0–3	Club Brugge	2	26′ Away
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Charleroi	3
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Gent	4
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Anderlecht	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Westerlo	6
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Beveren	7
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Waregem	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1–2	Standard	9	9′ Away
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Genk	10
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		St Truiden	11
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Lommel SK	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2–0	RAAL La Louviere	13	32′ Home
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Antwerp	14
15 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1–1	Cercle Brugge	16	25′ Home
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1–1	Cercle Brugge	16	—
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Mechelen	17
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Kortrijk	18

Lommel SK

Away · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Gilloise	5–0	Lommel SK	12	3′ Home
1	St. Gilloise	5–0	Lommel SK	12	—
2	Club Brugge		Lommel SK	12
3	Charleroi		Lommel SK	12
4	Gent		Lommel SK	12
5	Anderlecht		Lommel SK	12
6	Westerlo		Lommel SK	12
7	Beveren		Lommel SK	12
8	Waregem		Lommel SK	12
9	Standard		Lommel SK	12
10	Genk		Lommel SK	12
11	St Truiden	1–1	Lommel SK	12	24′ Away
12 · Lommel SK
13	RAAL La Louviere		Lommel SK	12
14	Antwerp		Lommel SK	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Lommel SK	12
16	Cercle Brugge	0–1	Lommel SK	12	61′ Away
17	Mechelen		Lommel SK	12
18	Kortrijk		Lommel SK	12

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home Lommel SK Away

Wins

20%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

40%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

25%

Clean sheets

20%

25%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.62
Draws	40.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.33	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.40	2.33	1.75
Total goals / match	2.40	2.67	2.50
Failed to score	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lommel SK

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.75	1.62
Total goals / match	1.50	3.25	2.38
Failed to score	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	Draw	Lommel SK	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.0%	26.2%	39.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	34.2%	31.7%	34.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.96–0.95 Model expected goals

29.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.8% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 14.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-014.8%

1-014.2%

0-114.1%

1-113.5%

2-06.8%

0-26.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	Lommel SK	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1422	1495	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-22	-8	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1521	1581	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	43.4%	32.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	36.6%	40.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	949	1304	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	26.4%	46.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.5%	84.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0.53	0.37	0.26	1.32
Lommel SK	0.43	0.43	0.43	0.71

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8%	15%	35%	22%	20%
Lommel SK	12%	38%	12%	0%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home, 11 matches

1.00 Lommel SK away, 4 matches

35d Days of rest for Oud-Heverlee Leuven

35d Days of rest for Lommel SK

— Manager of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

— Manager of Lommel SK

0 Matches for Oud-Heverlee Leuven in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lommel SK in the last 14 days

17 Points for Oud-Heverlee Leuven behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Lommel SK behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

26.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Oud-Heverlee Leuven, the right bar represents Lommel SK.

On the ball

20 matches

11.76

shots

10.2

3.12

shots on target

2.6

26.5%

accuracy

25.5%

3.95

corners

3.43

11.21

fouls

7.43

1.84

yellow cards

1.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	WDDLLLLLLD	0.60	0.70–1.70	1W
Lommel SK	DLLLWWLD	1.00	0.75–1.62	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	10	3	0	4
Lommel SK	2	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lommel SK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.