Lommel SK

Lommel SK

VS Scheduled Saturday 28 Nov 202619:45

Belgium 26/27 Pro League · Matchday 13

Waregem

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Lommel SK0–0Mechelen
2026-09-13	26/27	St. Gilloise5–0Lommel SK
2026-09-12	26/27	St. Gilloise5–0Lommel SK
2026-09-04	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Club Brugge
2026-08-29	26/27	Cercle Brugge0–1Lommel SK
2026-08-23	26/27	Lommel SK4–0Westerlo
2026-08-16	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Charleroi
2026-08-08	26/27	St Truiden1–1Lommel SK

Waregem

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Anderlecht3–0Waregem
2026-09-14	26/27	Waregem0–1Charleroi
2026-09-13	26/27	Waregem0–1Charleroi
2026-09-06	26/27	Kortrijk0–2Waregem
2026-08-30	26/27	Westerlo2–2Waregem
2026-08-22	26/27	Waregem4–0Beveren
2026-08-15	26/27	St. Gilloise0–0Waregem
2026-08-09	26/27	Waregem2–1Genk

Lommel SK Waregem

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

12%

25%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lommel SK

Home · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Lommel SK		St. Gilloise	1
12	Lommel SK	0–1	Club Brugge	2	—
12	Lommel SK	0–1	Charleroi	3	63′ Away
12	Lommel SK		Gent	4
12	Lommel SK		Anderlecht	5
12	Lommel SK	4–0	Westerlo	6	30′ Home
12	Lommel SK		Beveren	7
12	Lommel SK		Waregem	8
12	Lommel SK		Standard	9
12	Lommel SK		Genk	10
12	Lommel SK		St Truiden	11
12 · Lommel SK
12	Lommel SK		RAAL La Louviere	13
12	Lommel SK		Antwerp	14
12	Lommel SK		Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15
12	Lommel SK		Cercle Brugge	16
12	Lommel SK	0–0	Mechelen	17	–
12	Lommel SK		Kortrijk	18

Waregem

Away · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Gilloise	0–0	Waregem	8	–
2	Club Brugge		Waregem	8
3	Charleroi		Waregem	8
4	Gent		Waregem	8
5	Anderlecht	3–0	Waregem	8	40′ Home
6	Westerlo	2–2	Waregem	8	8′ Home
7	Beveren		Waregem	8
8 · Waregem
9	Standard		Waregem	8
10	Genk		Waregem	8
11	St Truiden		Waregem	8
12	Lommel SK		Waregem	8
13	RAAL La Louviere		Waregem	8
14	Antwerp		Waregem	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Waregem	8
16	Cercle Brugge		Waregem	8
17	Mechelen		Waregem	8
18	Kortrijk	0–2	Waregem	8	90+3′ Away

Lommel SK Home Waregem Away

Wins

25%

Over 1.5

25%

75%

Over 2.5

25%

50%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

0%

25%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lommel SK

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.75	1.62
Total goals / match	1.50	3.25	2.38
Failed to score	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Waregem

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.25	1.38
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.25	1.00
Total goals / match	2.25	2.25	2.25
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	3
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lommel SK	Draw	Waregem	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.4%	26.1%	33.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.4%	19.0%	68.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.64–2.06 Model expected goals

48.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

40.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 14.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-214.3%

0-113.8%

0-39.8%

1-29.1%

1-18.9%

0-06.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lommel SK	Waregem	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1495	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-8	25	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1581	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	32.9%	55.5%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	40.6%	53.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1304	1086	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	46.2%	37.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	84.2%	70.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lommel SK	0.43	0.43	0.43	0.71
Waregem	0.58	1.05	0.74	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lommel SK	12%	38%	12%	0%	38%
Waregem	8%	15%	25%	20%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Lommel SK at home, 4 matches

1.40 Waregem away, 10 matches

70d Days of rest for Lommel SK

70d Days of rest for Waregem

— Manager of Lommel SK

— Manager of Waregem

0 Matches for Lommel SK in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Waregem in the last 14 days

14 Points for Lommel SK behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Waregem behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

26.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lommel SK, the right bar represents Waregem.

On the ball

20 matches

10.2

shots

14.06

2.6

shots on target

4.82

25.5%

accuracy

34.3%

3.43

corners

5.37

7.43

fouls

11.0

1.17

yellow cards

1.06

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lommel SK	DLLLWWLD	1.00	0.75–1.62	1D
Waregem	LLLWDWDWWW	1.70	1.50–1.10	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lommel SK	2	3	2	0	1
Waregem	5	6	8	2	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lommel SK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Waregem

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.