Waregem

Waregem

VS Scheduled Saturday 6 Feb 202700:00

Belgium 26/27 Pro League · Matchday 20

Lommel SK

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Anderlecht3–0Waregem
2026-09-14	26/27	Waregem0–1Charleroi
2026-09-13	26/27	Waregem0–1Charleroi
2026-09-06	26/27	Kortrijk0–2Waregem
2026-08-30	26/27	Westerlo2–2Waregem
2026-08-22	26/27	Waregem4–0Beveren
2026-08-15	26/27	St. Gilloise0–0Waregem
2026-08-09	26/27	Waregem2–1Genk

Lommel SK

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Lommel SK0–0Mechelen
2026-09-13	26/27	St. Gilloise5–0Lommel SK
2026-09-12	26/27	St. Gilloise5–0Lommel SK
2026-09-04	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Club Brugge
2026-08-29	26/27	Cercle Brugge0–1Lommel SK
2026-08-23	26/27	Lommel SK4–0Westerlo
2026-08-16	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Charleroi
2026-08-08	26/27	St Truiden1–1Lommel SK

Waregem Lommel SK

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

25%

12%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Waregem

Home · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Waregem		St. Gilloise	1
8	Waregem		Club Brugge	2
8	Waregem	0–1	Charleroi	3	29′ Away
8	Waregem	0–1	Charleroi	3	—
8	Waregem		Gent	4
8	Waregem		Anderlecht	5
8	Waregem		Westerlo	6
8	Waregem	4–0	Beveren	7	21′ Home
8 · Waregem
8	Waregem		Standard	9
8	Waregem	2–1	Genk	10	39′ Away
8	Waregem		St Truiden	11
8	Waregem		Lommel SK	12
8	Waregem		RAAL La Louviere	13
8	Waregem		Antwerp	14
8	Waregem		Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15
8	Waregem		Cercle Brugge	16
8	Waregem		Mechelen	17
8	Waregem		Kortrijk	18

Lommel SK

Away · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Gilloise	5–0	Lommel SK	12	3′ Home
1	St. Gilloise	5–0	Lommel SK	12	—
2	Club Brugge		Lommel SK	12
3	Charleroi		Lommel SK	12
4	Gent		Lommel SK	12
5	Anderlecht		Lommel SK	12
6	Westerlo		Lommel SK	12
7	Beveren		Lommel SK	12
8	Waregem		Lommel SK	12
9	Standard		Lommel SK	12
10	Genk		Lommel SK	12
11	St Truiden	1–1	Lommel SK	12	24′ Away
12 · Lommel SK
13	RAAL La Louviere		Lommel SK	12
14	Antwerp		Lommel SK	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Lommel SK	12
16	Cercle Brugge	0–1	Lommel SK	12	61′ Away
17	Mechelen		Lommel SK	12
18	Kortrijk		Lommel SK	12

Waregem Home Lommel SK Away

Wins

50%

25%

Over 1.5

50%

75%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

25%

50%

Both teams scored

25%

Clean sheets

25%

Scores first

25%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Waregem

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.25	1.38
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.25	1.00
Total goals / match	2.25	2.25	2.25
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lommel SK

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.75	1.62
Total goals / match	1.50	3.25	2.38
Failed to score	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Waregem	Draw	Lommel SK	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.3%	25.6%	31.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	56.9%	24.4%	18.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.65–0.80 Model expected goals

43.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.2%

2-011.7%

1-111.4%

2-19.4%

0-08.6%

0-16.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Waregem	Lommel SK	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1508	1495	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	25	-8	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1581	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	55.5%	32.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.2%	40.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1086	1304	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	37.8%	46.2%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	70.8%	84.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Waregem	0.58	1.05	0.74	0.58
Lommel SK	0.43	0.43	0.43	0.71

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Waregem	8%	15%	25%	20%	32%
Lommel SK	12%	38%	12%	0%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Waregem at home, 10 matches

1.00 Lommel SK away, 4 matches

140d Days of rest for Waregem

140d Days of rest for Lommel SK

— Manager of Waregem

— Manager of Lommel SK

0 Matches for Waregem in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lommel SK in the last 14 days

11 Points for Waregem behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Lommel SK behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

26.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Waregem, the right bar represents Lommel SK.

On the ball

20 matches

14.06

shots

10.2

4.82

shots on target

2.6

34.3%

accuracy

25.5%

5.37

corners

3.43

11.0

fouls

7.43

1.06

yellow cards

1.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Waregem	LLLWDWDWWW	1.70	1.50–1.10	3L
Lommel SK	DLLLWWLD	1.00	0.75–1.62	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Waregem	5	6	8	2	0
Lommel SK	2	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Waregem

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lommel SK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.