Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

VS Scheduled Saturday 8 May 202701:00

Belgium 26/27 Pro League · Matchday 32

Charleroi

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenWins: 6
Draws41.2% of meetings: 7
CharleroiWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.29
Over 2.5 goals: 35.3%
Both teams scored: 52.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-09	26/27	Charleroi3–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-05-19	25/26	Charleroi1–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-04-25	25/26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven0–2Charleroi
2026-03-14	25/26	Charleroi0–2Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-07-27	25/26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven2–2Charleroi
2025-05-24	24/25	Charleroi2–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-03-28	24/25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven0–0Charleroi
2024-12-14	24/25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–0Charleroi
2024-10-26	24/25	Charleroi0–2Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-02-17	23/24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven0–0Charleroi
2023-07-29	23/24	Charleroi1–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2023-03-10	22/23	Charleroi0–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2022-09-10	22/23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven3–2Charleroi
2021-12-27	21/22	Charleroi0–3Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2021-08-08	21/22	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Charleroi
2021-01-27	20/21	Charleroi1–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2020-08-22	20/21	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–3Charleroi

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven2–0RAAL La Louviere
2026-09-13	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Cercle Brugge
2026-09-12	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Cercle Brugge
2026-09-06	26/27	Beveren3–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-09-03	26/27	Gent1–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-08-29	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–2Standard
2026-08-15	26/27	Oud-Heverlee Leuven0–3Club Brugge
2026-08-09	26/27	Charleroi3–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Charleroi

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Charleroi3–2Cercle Brugge
2026-09-14	26/27	Waregem0–1Charleroi
2026-09-13	26/27	Waregem0–1Charleroi
2026-09-05	26/27	Charleroi2–3St. Gilloise
2026-08-29	26/27	Kortrijk1–3Charleroi
2026-08-22	26/27	Charleroi2–0Mechelen
2026-08-16	26/27	Lommel SK0–1Charleroi
2026-08-09	26/27	Charleroi3–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi

Wins

12%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

12%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Home · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		St. Gilloise	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0–3	Club Brugge	2	26′ Away
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Charleroi	3
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Gent	4
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Anderlecht	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Westerlo	6
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Beveren	7
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Waregem	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1–2	Standard	9	9′ Away
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Genk	10
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		St Truiden	11
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Lommel SK	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2–0	RAAL La Louviere	13	32′ Home
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Antwerp	14
15 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1–1	Cercle Brugge	16	25′ Home
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1–1	Cercle Brugge	16	—
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Mechelen	17
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Kortrijk	18

Charleroi

Away · Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Gilloise		Charleroi	3
2	Club Brugge		Charleroi	3
3 · Charleroi
4	Gent		Charleroi	3
5	Anderlecht		Charleroi	3
6	Westerlo		Charleroi	3
7	Beveren		Charleroi	3
8	Waregem	0–1	Charleroi	3	29′ Away
8	Waregem	0–1	Charleroi	3	—
9	Standard		Charleroi	3
10	Genk		Charleroi	3
11	St Truiden		Charleroi	3
12	Lommel SK	0–1	Charleroi	3	63′ Away
13	RAAL La Louviere		Charleroi	3
14	Antwerp		Charleroi	3
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Charleroi	3
16	Cercle Brugge		Charleroi	3
17	Mechelen		Charleroi	3
18	Kortrijk	1–3	Charleroi	3	34′ Away

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home Charleroi Away

Wins

20%

100%

Over 1.5

100%

25%

Over 2.5

40%

25%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

60%

25%

Clean sheets

20%

75%

Scores first

N/A

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.62
Draws	40.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.33	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.40	2.33	1.75
Total goals / match	2.40	2.67	2.50
Failed to score	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Charleroi

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.25	3.00	2.62
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.50	0.25	0.88
Total goals / match	4.00	1.75	2.88
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	Draw	Charleroi	How it works
Strength (Elo)	25.9%	23.0%	51.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.1%	22.1%	64.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.61–1.78 Model expected goals

41.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.5% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.3%

0-214.5%

1-19.9%

0-09.2%

1-28.9%

0-38.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	Charleroi	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1422	1586	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-22	70	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1521	1507	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	43.4%	55.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	36.6%	57.6%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	949	1016	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	26.4%	28.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.5%	72.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0.53	0.37	0.26	1.32
Charleroi	0.58	0.84	0.42	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8%	15%	35%	22%	20%
Charleroi	2%	22%	35%	15%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home, 11 matches

2.20 Charleroi away, 10 matches

231d Days of rest for Oud-Heverlee Leuven

231d Days of rest for Charleroi

— Manager of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

— Manager of Charleroi

0 Matches for Oud-Heverlee Leuven in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Charleroi in the last 14 days

17 Points for Oud-Heverlee Leuven behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

1 Points for Charleroi behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

26.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Oud-Heverlee Leuven, the right bar represents Charleroi.

On the ball

20 matches

11.76

shots

14.82

3.12

shots on target

4.71

26.5%

accuracy

31.7%

3.95

corners

6.0

11.21

fouls

10.53

1.84

yellow cards

1.78

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	WDDLLLLLLD	0.60	0.70–1.70	1W
Charleroi	WWWLWWWWWD	2.50	1.90–0.80	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	10	3	0	4
Charleroi	6	10	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Charleroi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.