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Mechelen
VS Scheduled Belgium 26/27 Pro League · Matchday 33
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Head-to-head overview

16 meetings
MechelenWins
6
Draws31.2% of meetings
5
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenWins
5
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
62.5%
Both teams scored
56.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-01 Belgium, Pro League 25/26 Oud-Heverlee Leuven2–2Mechelen
2025-10-25 Belgium, Pro League 25/26 Mechelen1–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-05-03 Belgium, Pro League 24/25 Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–2Mechelen
2025-04-13 Belgium, Pro League 24/25 Mechelen1–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-01-31 Belgium, Pro League 24/25 Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–0Mechelen
2024-10-05 Belgium, Pro League 24/25 Mechelen5–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-04-27 Belgium, Pro League 23/24 Mechelen3–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-03-30 Belgium, Pro League 23/24 Oud-Heverlee Leuven2–3Mechelen
Recent matches

Mechelen

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Lommel SK0–0Mechelen
2026-09-11 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Mechelen0–1Anderlecht
2026-09-05 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Mechelen0–4Westerlo
2026-08-29 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 RAAL La Louviere2–2Mechelen
2026-08-22 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Charleroi2–0Mechelen
2026-08-16 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Mechelen3–3Standard
2026-08-09 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Gent2–0Mechelen
2026-05-24 Belgium, Pro League 25/26 St Truiden3–0Mechelen

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Oud-Heverlee Leuven2–0RAAL La Louviere
2026-09-13 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Cercle Brugge
2026-09-12 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–1Cercle Brugge
2026-09-06 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Beveren3–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-09-03 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Gent1–0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-08-29 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Oud-Heverlee Leuven1–2Standard
2026-08-15 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Oud-Heverlee Leuven0–3Club Brugge
2026-08-09 Belgium, Pro League 26/27 Charleroi3–1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Mechelen Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Wins

0%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

25%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mechelen

Home · Pro League
HomeAway1st goal
17 Mechelen St. Gilloise 1
17 Mechelen Club Brugge 2
17 Mechelen Charleroi 3
17 Mechelen Gent 4
17 Mechelen 0–1 Anderlecht 5 43′ Away
17 Mechelen 0–4 Westerlo 6 7′ Away
17 Mechelen Beveren 7
17 Mechelen Waregem 8
17 Mechelen 3–3 Standard 9 9′ Away
17 Mechelen Genk 10
17 Mechelen St Truiden 11
17 Mechelen Lommel SK 12
17 Mechelen RAAL La Louviere 13
17 Mechelen Antwerp 14
17 Mechelen Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15
17 Mechelen Cercle Brugge 16
17 · Mechelen
17 Mechelen Kortrijk 18
Mechelen Home Oud-Heverlee Leuven Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mechelen

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.330.500.43
Draws33.3%50.0%42.9%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.71
Goals conceded / match2.671.502.00
Total goals / match3.672.002.71
Failed to score66.7%75.0%71.4%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%75.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3002
31–4511
46–6000
61–7502
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.000.000.62
Draws40.0%0.0%25.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.330.75
Goals conceded / match1.402.331.75
Total goals / match2.402.672.50
Failed to score20.0%66.7%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%33.3%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4510
46–6002
61–7501
76–9003

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMechelenDraw Oud-Heverlee LeuvenHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.6% 25.3% 30.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 19.4% 24.3% 55.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.87–1.66 Model expected goals
45.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
46.5% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-113.3%
1-111.5%
0-211.0%
1-29.5%
0-08.0%
1-06.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMechelenOud-Heverlee Leuven How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1445 1422 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -54 -22 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1577 1521 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 38.4% 43.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 30.9% 36.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 947 949 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 34.0% 26.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 60.7% 68.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Mechelen 0.350.50 1.201.05
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.530.37 0.261.32

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Mechelen 5%22%25%10%38%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8%15%35%22%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.89 Mechelen at home, 9 matches
0.67 Oud-Heverlee Leuven away, 9 matches
238d Days of rest for Mechelen
238d Days of rest for Oud-Heverlee Leuven
— Manager of Mechelen
— Manager of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0 Matches for Mechelen in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Oud-Heverlee Leuven in the last 14 days
19 Points for Mechelen behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
17 Points for Oud-Heverlee Leuven behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.74 League goals per match
26.1% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mechelen, the right bar represents Oud-Heverlee Leuven.

On the ball

20 matches
9.44
shots
11.76
2.78
shots on target
3.12
29.4%
accuracy
26.5%
4.35
corners
3.95
10.1
fouls
11.21
1.7
yellow cards
1.84

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Mechelen DLLDLDLLDD 0.50 0.90–2.10 1D
Oud-Heverlee Leuven WDDLLLLLLD 0.60 0.70–1.70 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Mechelen2 513 01
Oud-Heverlee Leuven6 103 04
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mechelen

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.