AEK

AEK

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202617:30

Greece 26/27 Super League · Matchday 6

OFI Crete

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

AEKWins: 14
Draws5.6% of meetings: 1
OFI CreteWins: 3

Goals per match: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals: 61.1%
Both teams scored: 27.8%

Date	Season	Match
2025-12-21	25/26	AEK2–1OFI Crete
2025-11-09	25/26	OFI Crete0–1AEK
2024-12-08	24/25	OFI Crete1–2AEK
2024-08-18	24/25	AEK3–0OFI Crete
2024-01-28	23/24	AEK3–0OFI Crete
2023-10-02	23/24	OFI Crete2–0AEK
2023-03-05	22/23	OFI Crete0–3AEK
2022-11-09	22/23	AEK3–0OFI Crete
2021-12-20	21/22	AEK1–2OFI Crete
2021-09-19	21/22	OFI Crete3–3AEK
2021-01-31	20/21	OFI Crete0–2AEK
2020-11-01	20/21	AEK2–1OFI Crete
2020-07-08	19/20	AEK2–0OFI Crete
2020-06-14	19/20	OFI Crete0–2AEK
2020-02-23	19/20	AEK3–0OFI Crete
2019-11-30	19/20	OFI Crete1–0AEK
2019-02-10	18/19	AEK1–0OFI Crete
2018-09-29	18/19	OFI Crete0–3AEK

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Volos NFC1–2AEK
2026-09-14	26/27	Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-13	26/27	Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-05	26/27	AEK5–0Aris
2026-08-30	26/27	Kifisia1–1AEK
2026-08-22	26/27	AEK4–0Iraklis
2026-05-17	25/26	AEK1–1Olympiakos
2026-05-13	25/26	PAOK1–1AEK

OFI Crete

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	OFI Crete2–2Asteras Tripolis
2026-09-13	26/27	Olympiakos0–1OFI Crete
2026-09-12	26/27	Olympiakos0–1OFI Crete
2026-09-06	26/27	OFI Crete2–0Kifisia
2026-08-30	26/27	Aris2–1OFI Crete
2026-08-23	26/27	OFI Crete2–0Volos NFC
2026-05-17	25/26	OFI Crete3–1Volos NFC
2026-05-13	25/26	Levadeiakos3–2OFI Crete

AEK OFI Crete

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

AEK

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
4	AEK		Panathinaikos	1
4	AEK		PAOK	2
4	AEK		OFI Crete	3
4 · AEK
4	AEK		Olympiakos	5
4	AEK		Panetolikos	6
4	AEK		Kalamata	7
4	AEK	4–0	Iraklis	8	11′ Home
4	AEK	5–0	Aris	9	11′ Home
4	AEK		Kifisia	10
4	AEK		Atromitos	11
4	AEK		Asteras Tripolis	12
4	AEK		Volos NFC	13
4	AEK		Levadeiakos	14

OFI Crete

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Panathinaikos		OFI Crete	3
2	PAOK		OFI Crete	3
3 · OFI Crete
4	AEK		OFI Crete	3
5	Olympiakos	0–1	OFI Crete	3	66′ Away
5	Olympiakos	0–1	OFI Crete	3	—
6	Panetolikos		OFI Crete	3
7	Kalamata		OFI Crete	3
8	Iraklis		OFI Crete	3
9	Aris	2–1	OFI Crete	3	3′ Home
10	Kifisia		OFI Crete	3
11	Atromitos		OFI Crete	3
12	Asteras Tripolis		OFI Crete	3
13	Volos NFC		OFI Crete	3
14	Levadeiakos		OFI Crete	3

AEK Home OFI Crete Away

Wins

100%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

100%

33%

Over 3.5

100%

0%

Both teams scored

0%

33%

Clean sheets

100%

67%

Scores first

100%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

AEK

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	4.50	1.25	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.00	0.67
Total goals / match	4.50	2.25	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	4	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

OFI Crete

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.67	0.67
Total goals / match	2.67	1.67	2.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	AEK	Draw	OFI Crete	How it works
Strength (Elo)	60.9%	18.7%	20.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	63.2%	20.8%	14.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.97–0.80 Model expected goals

50.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.5% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 12.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-012.4%

2-012.2%

1-19.9%

2-19.7%

3-08.0%

3-16.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	AEK	OFI Crete	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1683	1525	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	27	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1559	1535	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.7%	38.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	65.0%	36.1%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1201	1199	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.5%	45.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	81.6%	74.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
AEK	0.63	1.37	0.21	0.37
OFI Crete	0.95	0.58	0.63	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
AEK	5%	25%	28%	15%	28%
OFI Crete	2%	15%	22%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.56 AEK at home, 9 matches

1.20 OFI Crete away, 10 matches

20d Days of rest for AEK

20d Days of rest for OFI Crete

— Manager of AEK

— Manager of OFI Crete

0 Matches for AEK in the last 14 days

0 Matches for OFI Crete in the last 14 days

6 Points for AEK behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

5 Points for OFI Crete behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.51 League goals per match

24.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AEK, the right bar represents OFI Crete.

On the ball

20 matches

15.0

shots

9.71

5.35

shots on target

3.35

35.7%

accuracy

34.5%

5.05

corners

2.79

15.63

fouls

13.26

2.47

yellow cards

2.28

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
AEK	WDDWDWDDWD	1.80	1.80–0.70	1W
OFI Crete	DWWWLWWLLL	1.60	1.50–1.30	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
AEK	7	10	2	0	0
OFI Crete	9	4	6	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AEK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

OFI Crete

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.