PAOK

PAOK

VS Scheduled Monday 12 Oct 202616:00

Greece 26/27 Super League · Matchday 6

Kalamata

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Panetolikos1–3PAOK
2026-09-14	26/27	PAOK2–0Aris
2026-09-13	26/27	PAOK2–0Aris
2026-09-06	26/27	Panathinaikos3–1PAOK
2026-08-30	26/27	Atromitos1–2PAOK
2026-08-23	26/27	PAOK4–0Levadeiakos
2026-05-17	25/26	Panathinaikos2–2PAOK
2026-05-13	25/26	PAOK1–1AEK

Kalamata

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Kalamata0–1Panathinaikos
2026-09-14	26/27	Kalamata3–1Volos NFC
2026-09-13	26/27	Kalamata3–1Volos NFC
2026-09-06	26/27	Atromitos1–1Kalamata
2026-08-29	26/27	Panetolikos2–0Kalamata
2026-08-22	26/27	Kalamata2–3Aris

PAOK Kalamata

Wins

62%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

67%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

PAOK

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	PAOK		Panathinaikos	1
2 · PAOK
2	PAOK		OFI Crete	3
2	PAOK		AEK	4
2	PAOK		Olympiakos	5
2	PAOK		Panetolikos	6
2	PAOK		Kalamata	7
2	PAOK		Iraklis	8
2	PAOK	2–0	Aris	9	32′ Home
2	PAOK	2–0	Aris	9	—
2	PAOK		Kifisia	10
2	PAOK		Atromitos	11
2	PAOK		Asteras Tripolis	12
2	PAOK		Volos NFC	13
2	PAOK	4–0	Levadeiakos	14	36′ Home

Kalamata

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Panathinaikos		Kalamata	7
2	PAOK		Kalamata	7
3	OFI Crete		Kalamata	7
4	AEK		Kalamata	7
5	Olympiakos		Kalamata	7
6	Panetolikos	2–0	Kalamata	7	26′ Home
7 · Kalamata
8	Iraklis		Kalamata	7
9	Aris		Kalamata	7
10	Kifisia		Kalamata	7
11	Atromitos	1–1	Kalamata	7	—
12	Asteras Tripolis		Kalamata	7
13	Volos NFC		Kalamata	7
14	Levadeiakos		Kalamata	7

PAOK Home Kalamata Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

0%

50%

Clean sheets

100%

0%

Scores first

100%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

PAOK

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	2.00	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.67	0.83
Total goals / match	2.67	3.67	3.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	0
16–30	—	0
31–45	—	0
46–60	—	0
61–75	—	0
76–90	—	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kalamata

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.50	1.17
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.50	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Total goals / match	3.50	2.00	3.00
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	PAOK	Draw	Kalamata	How it works
Strength (Elo)	65.1%	16.5%	18.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	50.5%	23.7%	24.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.73–1.13 Model expected goals

53.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.2%

1-09.9%

2-19.7%

2-08.5%

0-16.5%

1-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	PAOK	Kalamata	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1679	1492	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-3	1	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1587	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.2%	38.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	47.5%	40.9%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1188	872	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	44.6%	33.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	74.2%	53.8%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
PAOK	0.79	0.79	0.26	0.63
Kalamata	0.20	1.00	1.00	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
PAOK	12%	8%	22%	28%	30%
Kalamata	0%	17%	33%	0%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 PAOK at home, 9 matches

0.50 Kalamata away, 2 matches

22d Days of rest for PAOK

22d Days of rest for Kalamata

— Manager of PAOK

— Manager of Kalamata

0 Matches for PAOK in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kalamata in the last 14 days

3 Points for PAOK behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Kalamata behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.51 League goals per match

24.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents PAOK, the right bar represents Kalamata.

On the ball

20 matches

10.53

shots

10.0

3.29

shots on target

3.0

31.3%

accuracy

30.0%

4.37

corners

2.8

13.63

fouls

15.0

1.89

yellow cards

3.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
PAOK	WWWLWWDDDW	2.10	2.10–1.00	3W
Kalamata	LWWDLL	1.17	1.50–1.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
PAOK	9	8	2	0	3
Kalamata	0	1	4	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

PAOK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kalamata

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.