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Asteras Tripolis
VS Scheduled Greece 26/27 Super League · Matchday 11
Aris

Head-to-head overview

20 meetings
Asteras TripolisWins
3
Draws20.0% of meetings
4
ArisWins
13
Goals per match
2.50
Over 2.5 goals
40.0%
Both teams scored
45.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-12-20 Greece, Super League 25/26 Asteras Tripolis0–1Aris
2025-11-09 Greece, Super League 25/26 Aris0–0Asteras Tripolis
2025-05-10 Greece, Super League 24/25 Aris4–2Asteras Tripolis
2025-03-29 Greece, Super League 24/25 Asteras Tripolis0–2Aris
2024-12-23 Greece, Super League 24/25 Asteras Tripolis2–1Aris
2024-08-31 Greece, Super League 24/25 Aris1–1Asteras Tripolis
2024-01-03 Greece, Super League 23/24 Asteras Tripolis3–2Aris
2023-09-03 Greece, Super League 23/24 Aris3–2Asteras Tripolis
Recent matches

Asteras Tripolis

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Greece, Super League 26/27 OFI Crete2–2Asteras Tripolis
2026-09-14 Greece, Super League 26/27 Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-13 Greece, Super League 26/27 Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-07 Greece, Super League 26/27 Asteras Tripolis0–2Iraklis
2026-08-30 Greece, Super League 26/27 Asteras Tripolis0–1Olympiakos
2026-08-23 Greece, Super League 26/27 Panetolikos3–1Asteras Tripolis
2026-05-21 Greece, Super League 25/26 Panetolikos1–2Asteras Tripolis
2026-05-16 Greece, Super League 25/26 Asteras Tripolis0–0Kifisia

Aris

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Greece, Super League 26/27 Aris0–0Iraklis
2026-09-14 Greece, Super League 26/27 PAOK2–0Aris
2026-09-13 Greece, Super League 26/27 PAOK2–0Aris
2026-09-05 Greece, Super League 26/27 AEK5–0Aris
2026-08-30 Greece, Super League 26/27 Aris2–1OFI Crete
2026-08-22 Greece, Super League 26/27 Kalamata2–3Aris
2026-05-17 Greece, Super League 25/26 Aris3–0Levadeiakos
2026-05-13 Greece, Super League 25/26 Volos NFC1–2Aris
Asteras Tripolis Aris

Wins

12%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
62%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Asteras Tripolis

Home · Super League

Aris

Away · Super League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Panathinaikos Aris 9
2 PAOK 2–0 Aris 9 32′ Home
2 PAOK 2–0 Aris 9 —
3 OFI Crete Aris 9
4 AEK 5–0 Aris 9 11′ Home
5 Olympiakos Aris 9
6 Panetolikos Aris 9
7 Kalamata 2–3 Aris 9 41′ Home
8 Iraklis Aris 9
9 · Aris
10 Kifisia Aris 9
11 Atromitos Aris 9
12 Asteras Tripolis Aris 9
13 Volos NFC Aris 9
14 Levadeiakos Aris 9
Asteras Tripolis Home Aris Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Asteras Tripolis

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.500.500.50
Draws50.0%50.0%50.0%
Goals scored / match0.501.500.83
Goals conceded / match1.252.501.67
Total goals / match1.754.002.50
Failed to score50.0%0.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Aris

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.000.751.17
Draws50.0%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.000.750.83
Goals conceded / match0.502.752.00
Total goals / match1.503.502.83
Failed to score50.0%75.0%66.7%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%50.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 4 25%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAsteras TripolisDraw ArisHow it works
Strength (Elo) 31.1% 26.0% 42.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 27.3% 29.2% 43.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.91–1.23 Model expected goals
35.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
42.0% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.5%
1-113.2%
0-011.8%
1-010.7%
0-28.9%
1-28.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAsteras TripolisAris How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1448 1537 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 8 16 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1520 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 48.3% 58.9% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 41.9% 60.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1045 917 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.8% 26.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 74.7% 64.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Asteras Tripolis 0.580.47 0.630.58
Aris 0.530.68 0.470.68

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Asteras Tripolis 12%15%25%22%25%
Aris 15%12%35%18%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.36 Asteras Tripolis at home, 11 matches
1.36 Aris away, 11 matches
64d Days of rest for Asteras Tripolis
65d Days of rest for Aris
— Manager of Asteras Tripolis
— Manager of Aris
0 Matches for Asteras Tripolis in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Aris in the last 14 days
15 Points for Asteras Tripolis behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Aris behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
2.51 League goals per match
24.9% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Asteras Tripolis, the right bar represents Aris.

On the ball

20 matches
10.82
shots
15.35
3.35
shots on target
5.06
31.0%
accuracy
33.0%
4.79
corners
5.26
14.32
fouls
15.68
2.32
yellow cards
2.47

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Asteras Tripolis DDDLLLWDWD 1.10 0.90–1.20 3D
Aris DLLLWWWWWW 1.90 1.50–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Asteras Tripolis4 96 01
Aris6 85 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Asteras Tripolis

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Aris

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.