AEK

AEK

VS Scheduled Sunday 29 Nov 202619:00

Greece 26/27 Super League · Matchday 12

PAOK

Head-to-head overview

32 meetings

AEKWins: 9
Draws37.5% of meetings: 12
PAOKWins: 11

Goals per match: 2.34
Over 2.5 goals: 34.4%
Both teams scored: 46.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-13	25/26	PAOK1–1AEK
2026-04-19	25/26	AEK3–0PAOK
2026-02-15	25/26	PAOK0–0AEK
2025-10-19	25/26	AEK0–2PAOK
2025-05-11	24/25	PAOK1–0AEK
2025-03-30	24/25	AEK2–3PAOK
2025-02-02	24/25	PAOK1–2AEK
2024-10-20	24/25	AEK1–1PAOK
2024-04-28	23/24	PAOK3–2AEK
2024-04-07	23/24	AEK2–2PAOK
2024-02-11	23/24	PAOK1–1AEK
2023-10-30	23/24	AEK2–0PAOK
2023-04-26	22/23	AEK4–0PAOK
2023-04-02	22/23	PAOK0–1AEK
2023-02-19	22/23	PAOK2–0AEK
2022-10-30	22/23	AEK2–0PAOK
2022-05-01	21/22	PAOK1–1AEK
2022-03-20	21/22	AEK0–1PAOK
2022-03-02	21/22	AEK1–1PAOK
2021-09-26	21/22	PAOK2–0AEK
2021-05-05	20/21	AEK1–2PAOK
2021-03-21	20/21	PAOK3–1AEK
2021-01-24	20/21	PAOK2–2AEK
2020-10-18	20/21	AEK1–1PAOK
2020-07-15	19/20	AEK0–0PAOK
2020-07-01	19/20	PAOK0–2AEK
2020-01-12	19/20	PAOK1–0AEK
2019-09-29	19/20	AEK2–2PAOK
2019-02-03	18/19	AEK1–1PAOK
2018-09-23	18/19	PAOK2–0AEK
2018-03-11	17/18	PAOK0–3AEK
2017-11-05	17/18	AEK1–0PAOK

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Volos NFC1–2AEK
2026-09-14	26/27	Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-13	26/27	Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-05	26/27	AEK5–0Aris
2026-08-30	26/27	Kifisia1–1AEK
2026-08-22	26/27	AEK4–0Iraklis
2026-05-17	25/26	AEK1–1Olympiakos
2026-05-13	25/26	PAOK1–1AEK

PAOK

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Panetolikos1–3PAOK
2026-09-14	26/27	PAOK2–0Aris
2026-09-13	26/27	PAOK2–0Aris
2026-09-06	26/27	Panathinaikos3–1PAOK
2026-08-30	26/27	Atromitos1–2PAOK
2026-08-23	26/27	PAOK4–0Levadeiakos
2026-05-17	25/26	Panathinaikos2–2PAOK
2026-05-13	25/26	PAOK1–1AEK

AEK PAOK

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

AEK

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
4	AEK		Panathinaikos	1
4	AEK		PAOK	2
4	AEK		OFI Crete	3
4 · AEK
4	AEK		Olympiakos	5
4	AEK		Panetolikos	6
4	AEK		Kalamata	7
4	AEK	4–0	Iraklis	8	11′ Home
4	AEK	5–0	Aris	9	11′ Home
4	AEK		Kifisia	10
4	AEK		Atromitos	11
4	AEK		Asteras Tripolis	12
4	AEK		Volos NFC	13
4	AEK		Levadeiakos	14

PAOK

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Panathinaikos	3–1	PAOK	2	29′ Home
2 · PAOK
3	OFI Crete		PAOK	2
4	AEK		PAOK	2
5	Olympiakos		PAOK	2
6	Panetolikos	1–3	PAOK	2	33′ Away
7	Kalamata		PAOK	2
8	Iraklis		PAOK	2
9	Aris		PAOK	2
10	Kifisia		PAOK	2
11	Atromitos	1–2	PAOK	2	19′ Home
12	Asteras Tripolis		PAOK	2
13	Volos NFC		PAOK	2
14	Levadeiakos		PAOK	2

AEK Home PAOK Away

Wins

100%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

Over 3.5

100%

67%

Both teams scored

0%

100%

Clean sheets

100%

0%

Scores first

100%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

AEK

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	4.50	1.25	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.00	0.67
Total goals / match	4.50	2.25	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	4	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

PAOK

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	2.00	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.67	0.83
Total goals / match	2.67	3.67	3.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	3	1
46–60	0	2
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	AEK	Draw	PAOK	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.6%	26.4%	33.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	43.8%	29.8%	26.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.19–0.85 Model expected goals

33.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.9% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 15.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-015.4%

1-113.1%

0-012.9%

0-111.0%

2-09.2%

2-17.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	AEK	PAOK	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1683	1679	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	-3	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1559	1587	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.7%	45.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	65.0%	47.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1201	1188	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.5%	44.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	81.6%	74.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
AEK	0.63	1.37	0.21	0.37
PAOK	0.79	0.79	0.26	0.63

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
AEK	5%	25%	28%	15%	28%
PAOK	12%	8%	22%	28%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.56 AEK at home, 9 matches

1.27 PAOK away, 11 matches

70d Days of rest for AEK

70d Days of rest for PAOK

— Manager of AEK

— Manager of PAOK

0 Matches for AEK in the last 14 days

0 Matches for PAOK in the last 14 days

6 Points for AEK behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

3 Points for PAOK behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

2.51 League goals per match

24.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AEK, the right bar represents PAOK.

On the ball

20 matches

15.0

shots

10.53

5.35

shots on target

3.29

35.7%

accuracy

31.3%

5.05

corners

4.37

15.63

fouls

13.63

2.47

yellow cards

1.89

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
AEK	WDDWDWDDWD	1.80	1.80–0.70	1W
PAOK	WWWLWWDDDW	2.10	2.10–1.00	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
AEK	7	10	2	0	0
PAOK	9	8	2	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AEK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

PAOK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.