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Panetolikos
VS Scheduled Greece 26/27 Super League · Matchday 18
AEK

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
PanetolikosWins
3
Draws5.6% of meetings
1
AEKWins
14
Goals per match
2.83
Over 2.5 goals
55.6%
Both teams scored
38.9%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-12-14 Greece, Super League 25/26 Panetolikos0–5AEK
2025-11-02 Greece, Super League 25/26 AEK1–0Panetolikos
2025-01-25 Greece, Super League 24/25 AEK1–0Panetolikos
2024-10-05 Greece, Super League 24/25 Panetolikos1–0AEK
2023-12-18 Greece, Super League 23/24 Panetolikos2–2AEK
2023-10-08 Greece, Super League 23/24 AEK3–0Panetolikos
2023-01-15 Greece, Super League 22/23 AEK4–1Panetolikos
2022-09-17 Greece, Super League 22/23 Panetolikos0–2AEK
Recent matches

Panetolikos

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Greece, Super League 26/27 Panetolikos1–3PAOK
2026-09-14 Greece, Super League 26/27 Panathinaikos3–0Panetolikos
2026-09-13 Greece, Super League 26/27 Panathinaikos3–0Panetolikos
2026-09-06 Greece, Super League 26/27 Levadeiakos0–2Panetolikos
2026-08-29 Greece, Super League 26/27 Panetolikos2–0Kalamata
2026-08-23 Greece, Super League 26/27 Panetolikos3–1Asteras Tripolis
2026-05-21 Greece, Super League 25/26 Panetolikos1–2Asteras Tripolis
2026-05-17 Greece, Super League 25/26 Panserraikos1–1Panetolikos

AEK

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Greece, Super League 26/27 Volos NFC1–2AEK
2026-09-14 Greece, Super League 26/27 Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-13 Greece, Super League 26/27 Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-05 Greece, Super League 26/27 AEK5–0Aris
2026-08-30 Greece, Super League 26/27 Kifisia1–1AEK
2026-08-22 Greece, Super League 26/27 AEK4–0Iraklis
2026-05-17 Greece, Super League 25/26 AEK1–1Olympiakos
2026-05-13 Greece, Super League 25/26 PAOK1–1AEK
Panetolikos AEK

Wins

38%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
38%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Panetolikos

Home · Super League

AEK

Away · Super League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Panathinaikos AEK 4
2 PAOK AEK 4
3 OFI Crete AEK 4
4 · AEK
5 Olympiakos AEK 4
6 Panetolikos AEK 4
7 Kalamata AEK 4
8 Iraklis AEK 4
9 Aris AEK 4
10 Kifisia 1–1 AEK 4 63′ Away
11 Atromitos AEK 4
12 Asteras Tripolis 1–1 AEK 4 —
12 Asteras Tripolis 1–1 AEK 4 —
13 Volos NFC 1–2 AEK 4 61′ Away
14 Levadeiakos AEK 4
Panetolikos Home AEK Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Panetolikos

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.001.001.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.000.671.33
Goals conceded / match1.332.001.67
Total goals / match3.332.673.00
Failed to score0.0%66.7%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%33.3%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4502
46–6020
61–7500
76–9022

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

AEK

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.001.502.00
Draws0.0%75.0%50.0%
Goals scored / match4.501.252.33
Goals conceded / match0.001.000.67
Total goals / match4.502.253.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%75.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPanetolikosDraw AEKHow it works
Strength (Elo) 21.1% 19.3% 59.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 8.1% 17.2% 72.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.55–2.17 Model expected goals
48.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
36.7% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 15.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-215.4%
0-114.3%
0-311.1%
1-28.6%
1-17.9%
0-06.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePanetolikosAEK How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1470 1683 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 36 -44 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1487 1559 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.7% 61.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 50.4% 65.0% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1056 1201 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.9% 38.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 75.8% 81.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Panetolikos 0.470.63 0.580.58
AEK 0.631.37 0.210.37

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Panetolikos 10%20%20%28%22%
AEK 5%25%28%15%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Panetolikos at home, 10 matches
1.55 AEK away, 11 matches
125d Days of rest for Panetolikos
125d Days of rest for AEK
— Manager of Panetolikos
— Manager of AEK
0 Matches for Panetolikos in the last 14 days
0 Matches for AEK in the last 14 days
9 Points for Panetolikos behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
6 Points for AEK behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.51 League goals per match
24.9% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Panetolikos, the right bar represents AEK.

On the ball

20 matches
11.06
shots
15.0
3.94
shots on target
5.35
35.6%
accuracy
35.7%
3.79
corners
5.05
14.53
fouls
15.63
2.37
yellow cards
2.47

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Panetolikos LLLWWWLDDW 1.40 1.30–1.50 3L
AEK WDDWDWDDWD 1.80 1.80–0.70 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Panetolikos6 76 12
AEK7 102 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Panetolikos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

AEK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.