Kalamata

Kalamata

VS Scheduled Saturday 23 Jan 202700:00

Greece 26/27 Super League · Matchday 18

Asteras Tripolis

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Kalamata0–1Panathinaikos
2026-09-14	26/27	Kalamata3–1Volos NFC
2026-09-13	26/27	Kalamata3–1Volos NFC
2026-09-06	26/27	Atromitos1–1Kalamata
2026-08-29	26/27	Panetolikos2–0Kalamata
2026-08-22	26/27	Kalamata2–3Aris

Asteras Tripolis

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	OFI Crete2–2Asteras Tripolis
2026-09-14	26/27	Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-13	26/27	Asteras Tripolis1–1AEK
2026-09-07	26/27	Asteras Tripolis0–2Iraklis
2026-08-30	26/27	Asteras Tripolis0–1Olympiakos
2026-08-23	26/27	Panetolikos3–1Asteras Tripolis
2026-05-21	25/26	Panetolikos1–2Asteras Tripolis
2026-05-16	25/26	Asteras Tripolis0–0Kifisia

Kalamata Asteras Tripolis

Wins

33%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

67%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Kalamata

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Kalamata	0–1	Panathinaikos	1	33′ Away
7	Kalamata		PAOK	2
7	Kalamata		OFI Crete	3
7	Kalamata		AEK	4
7	Kalamata		Olympiakos	5
7	Kalamata		Panetolikos	6
7 · Kalamata
7	Kalamata		Iraklis	8
7	Kalamata	2–3	Aris	9	41′ Home
7	Kalamata		Kifisia	10
7	Kalamata		Atromitos	11
7	Kalamata		Asteras Tripolis	12
7	Kalamata	3–1	Volos NFC	13	26′ Away
7	Kalamata	3–1	Volos NFC	13	—
7	Kalamata		Levadeiakos	14

Asteras Tripolis

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Panathinaikos		Asteras Tripolis	12
2	PAOK		Asteras Tripolis	12
3	OFI Crete	2–2	Asteras Tripolis	12	18′ Home
4	AEK		Asteras Tripolis	12
5	Olympiakos		Asteras Tripolis	12
6	Panetolikos	3–1	Asteras Tripolis	12	6′ Home
7	Kalamata		Asteras Tripolis	12
8	Iraklis		Asteras Tripolis	12
9	Aris		Asteras Tripolis	12
10	Kifisia		Asteras Tripolis	12
11	Atromitos		Asteras Tripolis	12
12 · Asteras Tripolis
13	Volos NFC		Asteras Tripolis	12
14	Levadeiakos		Asteras Tripolis	12

Kalamata Home Asteras Tripolis Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

75%

100%

Over 3.5

75%

100%

Both teams scored

75%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Kalamata

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.50	1.17
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.50	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Total goals / match	3.50	2.00	3.00
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Asteras Tripolis

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.50	0.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.50	0.83
Goals conceded / match	1.25	2.50	1.67
Total goals / match	1.75	4.00	2.50
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Kalamata	Draw	Asteras Tripolis	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.5%	25.2%	29.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	34.5%	25.8%	39.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.30–1.40 Model expected goals

50.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.2%

0-19.4%

1-08.7%

1-28.6%

2-17.9%

0-06.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Kalamata	Asteras Tripolis	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1448	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	1	8	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1498	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	38.0%	48.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	40.9%	41.9%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	872	1045	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	33.3%	29.8%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	53.8%	74.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Kalamata	0.20	1.00	1.00	0.60
Asteras Tripolis	0.58	0.47	0.63	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Kalamata	0%	17%	33%	0%	50%
Asteras Tripolis	12%	15%	25%	22%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Kalamata at home, 4 matches

0.89 Asteras Tripolis away, 9 matches

125d Days of rest for Kalamata

125d Days of rest for Asteras Tripolis

— Manager of Kalamata

— Manager of Asteras Tripolis

0 Matches for Kalamata in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Asteras Tripolis in the last 14 days

11 Points for Kalamata behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Asteras Tripolis behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.51 League goals per match

24.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kalamata, the right bar represents Asteras Tripolis.

On the ball

20 matches

10.0

shots

10.82

3.0

shots on target

3.35

30.0%

accuracy

31.0%

2.8

corners

4.79

15.0

fouls

14.32

3.8

yellow cards

2.32

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Kalamata	LWWDLL	1.17	1.50–1.50	1L
Asteras Tripolis	DDDLLLWDWD	1.10	0.90–1.20	3D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Kalamata	0	1	4	1	0
Asteras Tripolis	4	9	6	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kalamata

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Asteras Tripolis

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.