Nordsjaelland

Nordsjaelland

VS Scheduled Sunday 21 Feb 202700:00

Denmark 26/27 Superliga · Matchday 18

Horsens

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

NordsjaellandWins: 9
Draws38.9% of meetings: 7
HorsensWins: 2

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 55.6%
Both teams scored: 44.4%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-26	26/27	Horsens1–1Nordsjaelland
2022-10-28	22/23	Nordsjaelland2–0Horsens
2022-09-16	22/23	Horsens1–0Nordsjaelland
2021-03-07	20/21	Nordsjaelland2–2Horsens
2020-10-25	20/21	Horsens1–1Nordsjaelland
2020-02-19	19/20	Nordsjaelland6–0Horsens
2019-07-14	19/20	Horsens0–3Nordsjaelland
2018-10-27	18/19	Horsens3–3Nordsjaelland
2018-08-26	18/19	Nordsjaelland0–1Horsens
2018-05-11	17/18	Nordsjaelland2–1Horsens
2018-04-18	17/18	Horsens2–2Nordsjaelland
2017-11-26	17/18	Nordsjaelland6–0Horsens
2017-09-08	17/18	Horsens2–2Nordsjaelland
2016-11-30	16/17	Nordsjaelland2–1Horsens
2016-09-21	16/17	Horsens0–0Nordsjaelland
2013-04-07	12/13	Horsens0–2Nordsjaelland
2013-03-03	12/13	Nordsjaelland1–0Horsens
2012-07-16	12/13	Horsens0–4Nordsjaelland

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Viborg4–1Nordsjaelland
2026-09-13	26/27	Nordsjaelland2–0Aarhus
2026-09-07	26/27	Midtjylland2–2Nordsjaelland
2026-09-03	26/27	FC Copenhagen2–0Nordsjaelland
2026-08-30	26/27	Nordsjaelland3–1Brondby
2026-08-23	26/27	Sonderjyske0–3Nordsjaelland
2026-08-16	26/27	Nordsjaelland1–0Silkeborg
2026-08-02	26/27	Nordsjaelland1–0Randers FC

Horsens

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Horsens2–2Aarhus
2026-09-11	26/27	FC Copenhagen2–0Horsens
2026-09-06	26/27	Sonderjyske2–5Horsens
2026-08-28	26/27	Horsens2–3Viborg
2026-08-23	26/27	Horsens2–1Lyngby
2026-08-16	26/27	Odense1–2Horsens
2026-08-09	26/27	Horsens0–2Brondby
2026-08-02	26/27	Midtjylland2–1Horsens

Nordsjaelland Horsens

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nordsjaelland

Home · Superliga

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Nordsjaelland		FC Copenhagen	1
3	Nordsjaelland		Viborg	2
3 · Nordsjaelland
3	Nordsjaelland		Midtjylland	4
3	Nordsjaelland	3–1	Brondby	5	12′ Home
3	Nordsjaelland		Horsens	6
3	Nordsjaelland	1–0	Silkeborg	7	80′ Home
3	Nordsjaelland	1–0	Randers FC	8	90+5′ Home
3	Nordsjaelland		Odense	9
3	Nordsjaelland		Lyngby	10
3	Nordsjaelland	2–0	Aarhus	11	76′ Home
3	Nordsjaelland		Sonderjyske	12

Horsens

Away · Superliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	FC Copenhagen	2–0	Horsens	6	7′ Home
2	Viborg		Horsens	6
3	Nordsjaelland		Horsens	6
4	Midtjylland	2–1	Horsens	6	33′ Home
5	Brondby		Horsens	6
6 · Horsens
7	Silkeborg		Horsens	6
8	Randers FC		Horsens	6
9	Odense	1–2	Horsens	6	—
10	Lyngby		Horsens	6
11	Aarhus		Horsens	6
12	Sonderjyske	2–5	Horsens	6	—

Nordsjaelland Home Horsens Away

Wins

100%

50%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

75%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

25%

75%

Clean sheets

75%

0%

Scores first

100%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Superliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nordsjaelland

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	1.89
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.40	1.56
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.80	1.11
Total goals / match	2.00	3.20	2.67
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 4	25%
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	5	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Horsens

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.50	1.22
Draws	40.0%	0.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.40	2.00	1.67
Goals conceded / match	1.80	1.75	1.78
Total goals / match	3.20	3.75	3.44
Failed to score	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nordsjaelland	Draw	Horsens	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.2%	23.9%	27.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	58.4%	24.0%	16.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.68–0.77 Model expected goals

43.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.6%

2-012.2%

1-111.2%

2-19.4%

0-08.7%

3-06.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nordsjaelland	Horsens	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1543	1482	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-31	115	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1566	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nordsjaelland	0.56	1.00	0.67	0.44
Horsens	0.56	1.11	1.00	0.78

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nordsjaelland	2%	22%	20%	25%	30%
Horsens	8%	12%	20%	28%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.56 Nordsjaelland at home, 9 matches

1.00 Horsens away, 10 matches

154d Days of rest for Nordsjaelland

154d Days of rest for Horsens

— Manager of Nordsjaelland

— Manager of Horsens

0 Matches for Nordsjaelland in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Horsens in the last 14 days

7 Points for Nordsjaelland behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Horsens behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

3.07 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nordsjaelland, the right bar represents Horsens.

On the ball

20 matches

6.25

corners

2.89

10.78

fouls

15.11

1.75

yellow cards

2.62

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nordsjaelland	LWDLWWWWDW	2.00	1.80–1.10	1L
Horsens	DLWLWWLLDD	1.20	1.50–1.60	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nordsjaelland	2	5	2	0	0
Horsens	2	3	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nordsjaelland

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Horsens

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.