HJK

HJK

VS Scheduled Thursday 8 Oct 202616:00

Finland 2026 Veikkausliiga · Matchday 4

VPS

Head-to-head overview

35 meetings

HJKWins: 20
Draws22.9% of meetings: 8
VPSWins: 7

Goals per match: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals: 62.9%
Both teams scored: 57.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-18	2026	HJK2–1VPS
2026-05-22	2026	VPS2–1HJK
2025-07-05	2025	VPS0–2HJK
2025-04-26	2025	HJK3–1VPS
2024-09-20	2024	VPS1–1HJK
2024-09-01	2024	VPS1–3HJK
2024-05-17	2024	HJK1–2VPS
2023-10-08	2023	VPS3–2HJK
2023-04-19	2023	HJK4–0VPS
2023-04-15	2023	VPS0–1HJK
2022-07-16	2022	HJK3–1VPS
2022-04-18	2022	VPS0–1HJK
2019-07-27	2019	HJK1–1VPS
2019-05-07	2019	VPS1–1HJK
2018-10-07	2018	HJK1–0VPS
2018-06-25	2018	HJK5–0VPS
2018-04-29	2018	VPS1–2HJK
2017-09-08	2017	VPS0–3HJK
2017-05-06	2017	VPS2–1HJK
2017-04-05	2017	HJK5–0VPS
2016-08-21	2016	VPS0–0HJK
2016-06-09	2016	VPS3–0HJK
2016-04-08	2016	HJK3–1VPS
2015-10-04	2015	VPS1–2HJK
2015-05-17	2015	VPS2–2HJK
2015-05-11	2015	HJK1–0VPS
2014-10-19	2014	VPS1–1HJK
2014-06-14	2014	HJK3–0VPS
2014-05-04	2014	VPS0–2HJK
2013-09-30	2013	VPS1–1HJK
2013-07-12	2013	HJK3–0VPS
2013-05-23	2013	HJK1–2VPS
2012-10-19	2012	VPS1–3HJK
2012-08-04	2012	HJK3–3VPS
2012-05-24	2012	VPS1–0HJK

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Gnistan1–1HJK
2026-09-14	2026	KuPS0–0HJK
2026-09-13	2026	KuPS0–0HJK
2026-09-09	2026	HJK2–1Inter Turku
2026-08-31	2026	Ilves1–2HJK
2026-08-23	2026	HJK2–3Gnistan
2026-08-16	2026	HJK3–0Jaro
2026-08-09	2026	AC Oulu0–1HJK

VPS

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	VPS0–2KuPS
2026-09-14	2026	Inter Turku1–0VPS
2026-09-08	2026	VPS1–0AC Oulu
2026-08-31	2026	VPS0–1Lahti
2026-08-22	2026	Ilves0–1VPS
2026-08-14	2026	VPS1–3TPS
2026-08-08	2026	Jaro1–3VPS
2026-08-02	2026	VPS0–1Inter Turku

HJK VPS

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

HJK

Home · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
4	HJK	0–4	KuPS	1	41′ Away
4	HJK	3–3	Inter Turku	2	—
4	HJK	2–1	Inter Turku	2	36′ Away
4	HJK	2–3	Gnistan	3	23′ Home
4 · HJK
4	HJK	1–0	Lahti	5	24′ Home
4	HJK	2–1	VPS	6	45+1′ Home
4	HJK	2–2	Ilves	7	21′ Away
4	HJK	0–1	AC Oulu	8	27′ Away
4	HJK	1–0	TPS	9	16′ Home
4	HJK	3–0	SJK	10	36′ Home
4	HJK	1–0	Mariehamn	11	48′ Home
4	HJK	3–0	Jaro	12	5′ Home

VPS

Away · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	KuPS	3–1	VPS	6	1′ Home
2	Inter Turku	0–0	VPS	6	–
2	Inter Turku	1–0	VPS	6	70′ Home
3	Gnistan	1–1	VPS	6	19′ Home
4	HJK	2–1	VPS	6	45+1′ Home
5	Lahti	1–1	VPS	6	41′ Away
6 · VPS
7	Ilves	0–1	VPS	6	9′ Away
8	AC Oulu	1–0	VPS	6	73′ Home
9	TPS	1–0	VPS	6	83′ Home
10	SJK	1–2	VPS	6	38′ Home
11	Mariehamn	0–1	VPS	6	22′ Away
12	Jaro	1–3	VPS	6	12′ Away

HJK Home VPS Away

Wins

58%

33%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

33%

17%

Both teams scored

42%

50%

Clean sheets

42%

25%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Veikkausliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

HJK

26 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away14 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	1.92	1.43	1.65
Draws	16.7%	35.7%	26.9%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.36	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.25	1.00	1.12
Total goals / match	2.92	2.36	2.62
Failed to score	16.7%	35.7%	26.9%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	57.1%	46.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 11/12 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

VPS

25 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away12 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.62	1.25	1.44
Draws	23.1%	25.0%	24.0%
Goals scored / match	1.46	0.92	1.20
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.46	1.92	2.20
Failed to score	30.8%	33.3%	32.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	2
16–30	2	2
31–45	2	4
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	3
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	HJK	Draw	VPS	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.3%	21.2%	25.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	32.0%	28.3%	39.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.07–1.23 Model expected goals

40.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 13.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-113.2%

0-112.3%

1-010.8%

0-010.0%

1-28.1%

0-27.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	HJK	VPS	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1596	1509	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	22	-37	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1538	1543	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
HJK	0.68	0.89	0.47	0.89
VPS	0.65	0.65	0.80	0.30

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
HJK	8%	15%	15%	22%	40%
VPS	8%	25%	22%	20%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 HJK at home, 9 matches

1.22 VPS away, 9 matches

20d Days of rest for HJK

19d Days of rest for VPS

— Manager of HJK

— Manager of VPS

0 Matches for HJK in the last 14 days

0 Matches for VPS in the last 14 days

6 Points for HJK behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

13 Points for VPS behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.92 League goals per match

25.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents HJK, the right bar represents VPS.

On the ball

20 matches

5.63

corners

4.5

10.58

fouls

15.05

1.5

yellow cards

2.77

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
HJK	DDDWWLWWLW	1.80	1.20–0.90	3D
VPS	LLWLWLWLLL	0.90	0.80–1.40	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
HJK	7	7	5	2	2
VPS	7	5	8	2	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

HJK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

VPS

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.