Head-to-head overview
12 meetings- TPSWins
- 4
- Draws41.7% of meetings
- 5
- JaroWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 3.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66.7%
- Both teams scored
- 66.7%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 |
2026
|
TPS3–2Jaro |
| 2026-05-02 |
2026
|
Jaro2–2TPS |
| 2022-10-17 |
2022
|
TPS4–0Jaro |
| 2014-08-10 |
2014
|
Jaro1–1TPS |
| 2014-08-04 |
2014
|
TPS2–2Jaro |
| 2014-05-17 |
2014
|
Jaro2–0TPS |
| 2013-10-06 |
2013
|
Jaro0–3TPS |
| 2013-07-21 |
2013
|
TPS2–2Jaro |
| 2013-05-26 |
2013
|
Jaro1–1TPS |
| 2012-10-27 |
2012
|
TPS1–2Jaro |
| 2012-08-19 |
2012
|
Jaro0–1TPS |
| 2012-06-16 |
2012
|
TPS2–3Jaro |
Recent matches
TPS
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
TPS0–3Ilves |
| 2026-09-12 |
2026
|
Mariehamn1–0TPS |
| 2026-09-08 |
2026
|
TPS0–0SJK |
| 2026-08-31 |
2026
|
Gnistan1–1TPS |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
TPS0–0Inter Turku |
| 2026-08-14 |
2026
|
VPS1–3TPS |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
KuPS1–1TPS |
| 2026-08-01 |
2026
|
TPS3–0Mariehamn |
Jaro
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 |
2026
|
Lahti1–1Jaro |
| 2026-09-12 |
2026
|
Jaro1–1SJK |
| 2026-09-08 |
2026
|
Ilves2–0Jaro |
| 2026-08-31 |
2026
|
Mariehamn2–0Jaro |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Jaro0–1AC Oulu |
| 2026-08-16 |
2026
|
HJK3–0Jaro |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Jaro1–3VPS |
| 2026-08-01 |
2026
|
Lahti2–0Jaro |
TPS
Jaro
Wins
25%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
25%
Both teams scored
38%
38%
Clean sheets
38%
0%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
TPS
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TPS | 1–2 | KuPS | 1 | — |
| 9 | TPS | 0–0 | Inter Turku | 2 | – |
| 9 | TPS | 1–1 | Gnistan | 3 | — |
| 9 | TPS | 1–0 | HJK | 4 | 51′ Home |
| 9 | TPS | 2–1 | Lahti | 5 | 45′ Home |
| 9 | TPS | 1–0 | VPS | 6 | 83′ Home |
| 9 | TPS | 1–3 | Ilves | 7 | 34′ Away |
| 9 | TPS | 0–3 | Ilves | 7 | 24′ Away |
| 9 | TPS | 3–0 | AC Oulu | 8 | 8′ Home |
| 9 · TPS | |||||
| 9 | TPS | 2–0 | SJK | 10 | 26′ Home |
| 9 | TPS | 0–0 | SJK | 10 | – |
| 9 | TPS | 3–0 | Mariehamn | 11 | 20′ Home |
| 9 | TPS | 3–2 | Jaro | 12 | 8′ Home |
Jaro
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 3–0 | Jaro | 12 | 34′ Home |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 2–0 | Jaro | 12 | 15′ Home |
| 3 | Gnistan | 5–0 | Jaro | 12 | 43′ Home |
| 4 | HJK | 3–0 | Jaro | 12 | 5′ Home |
| 5 | Lahti | 2–0 | Jaro | 12 | 9′ Home |
| 5 | Lahti | 1–1 | Jaro | 12 | 9′ Home |
| 6 | VPS | 0–0 | Jaro | 12 | – |
| 7 | Ilves | 5–0 | Jaro | 12 | 4′ Home |
| 7 | Ilves | 2–0 | Jaro | 12 | 74′ Home |
| 8 | AC Oulu | 2–1 | Jaro | 12 | 49′ Home |
| 9 | TPS | 3–2 | Jaro | 12 | 8′ Home |
| 10 | SJK | 1–1 | Jaro | 12 | 10′ Away |
| 11 | Mariehamn | 2–0 | Jaro | 12 | 62′ Home |
| 12 · Jaro | |||||
TPS Home
Jaro Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Veikkausliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
TPS
| Goals & results | Home13 matches | Away12 matches | Overall25 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.85 | 0.67 | 1.28 |
| Draws | 23.1% | 41.7% | 32.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.38 | 0.83 | 1.12 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.92 | 1.25 | 1.08 |
| Total goals / match | 2.31 | 2.08 | 2.20 |
| Failed to score | 23.1% | 41.7% | 32.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.2% | 66.7% | 56.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 12/13 home.Scoring order known: 24/25 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Jaro
| Goals & results | Home12 matches | Away13 matches | Overall25 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.17 | 0.23 | 0.68 |
| Draws | 41.7% | 23.1% | 32.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 0.38 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.42 | 2.38 | 1.92 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 2.77 | 2.72 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 69.2% | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 53.8% | 52.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 17 of 8 | 100%88% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 13 of 8 | 0%38% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 110 of 15 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 13/13 away.Scoring order known: 25/25 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 8 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 6 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 6 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 6 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | TPS | Draw | Jaro | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 55.7% | 20.2% | 24.1% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 55.1% | 27.6% | 17.0% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.40–0.64
Model expected goals
33.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
35.4%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 18.2%
Most likely scores
1-018.2%
0-013.0%
2-012.7%
1-111.7%
0-18.3%
2-18.1%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | TPS | Jaro | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1498 | 1392 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -16 | -42 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1537 | 1529 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPS | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Jaro | 0.55 | 0.25 | 0.85 | 1.30 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPS | 10% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 28% |
| Jaro | 5% | 10% | 25% | 28% | 32% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.70
TPS at home, 10 matches
0.09
Jaro away, 11 matches
21d
Days of rest for TPS
22d
Days of rest for Jaro
—
Manager of TPS
—
Manager of Jaro
0
Matches for TPS in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Jaro in the last 14 days
17
Points for TPS behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
32
Points for Jaro behind the leaders, and -15 above the relegation zone
2.92
League goals per match
25.1%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents TPS, the right bar represents Jaro.
On the ball
4.25
4.0
corners
11.9
11.75
fouls
2.21
1.69
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPS | LLDDDWDWLL | 1.00 | 0.90–1.10 | 2L |
| Jaro | DDLLLLLLWD | 0.60 | 0.50–1.60 | 2D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPS | 3 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaro | 6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 3 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
TPS
No absences reported.
Jaro
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.