Jaro

Jaro

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202612:00

Finland 2026 Veikkausliiga · Matchday 5

Mariehamn

Head-to-head overview

17 meetings

JaroWins: 4
Draws29.4% of meetings: 5
MariehamnWins: 8

Goals per match: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals: 47.1%
Both teams scored: 47.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-31	2026	Mariehamn2–0Jaro
2026-05-23	2026	Jaro3–0Mariehamn
2025-09-28	2025	Jaro2–3Mariehamn
2025-07-06	2025	Jaro1–1Mariehamn
2025-04-05	2025	Mariehamn0–2Jaro
2015-09-17	2015	Jaro0–0Mariehamn
2015-07-19	2015	Mariehamn4–3Jaro
2015-04-12	2015	Jaro1–1Mariehamn
2014-10-18	2014	Jaro1–0Mariehamn
2014-06-15	2014	Mariehamn4–2Jaro
2014-04-27	2014	Mariehamn1–3Jaro
2013-09-21	2013	Jaro1–2Mariehamn
2013-07-07	2013	Mariehamn0–0Jaro
2013-05-17	2013	Mariehamn1–0Jaro
2012-10-22	2012	Jaro3–3Mariehamn
2012-08-11	2012	Mariehamn2–0Jaro
2012-05-27	2012	Jaro0–3Mariehamn

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Lahti1–1Jaro
2026-09-12	2026	Jaro1–1SJK
2026-09-08	2026	Ilves2–0Jaro
2026-08-31	2026	Mariehamn2–0Jaro
2026-08-22	2026	Jaro0–1AC Oulu
2026-08-16	2026	HJK3–0Jaro
2026-08-08	2026	Jaro1–3VPS
2026-08-01	2026	Lahti2–0Jaro

Mariehamn

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	SJK2–1Mariehamn
2026-09-12	2026	Mariehamn1–0TPS
2026-09-08	2026	Lahti2–1Mariehamn
2026-08-31	2026	Mariehamn2–0Jaro
2026-08-23	2026	KuPS2–4Mariehamn
2026-08-15	2026	Mariehamn2–0SJK
2026-08-09	2026	Ilves2–0Mariehamn
2026-08-01	2026	TPS3–0Mariehamn

Jaro Mariehamn

Wins

0%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Jaro

Home · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Jaro	1–1	KuPS	1	40′ Home
12	Jaro	0–0	Inter Turku	2	–
12	Jaro	1–1	Gnistan	3	14′ Away
12	Jaro	2–5	HJK	4	4′ Home
12	Jaro	0–1	Lahti	5	41′ Away
12	Jaro	1–3	VPS	6	12′ Away
12	Jaro	2–1	Ilves	7	27′ Home
12	Jaro	0–1	AC Oulu	8	72′ Away
12	Jaro	2–2	TPS	9	32′ Home
12	Jaro	2–1	SJK	10	32′ Home
12	Jaro	1–1	SJK	10	27′ Home
12	Jaro	3–0	Mariehamn	11	7′ Home
12 · Jaro

Mariehamn

Away · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	KuPS	2–4	Mariehamn	11	6′ Away
2	Inter Turku	1–0	Mariehamn	11	78′ Home
3	Gnistan	4–2	Mariehamn	11	6′ Home
4	HJK	1–0	Mariehamn	11	48′ Home
5	Lahti	1–1	Mariehamn	11	20′ Home
5	Lahti	2–1	Mariehamn	11	38′ Home
6	VPS	4–0	Mariehamn	11	3′ Home
7	Ilves	2–0	Mariehamn	11	25′ Home
8	AC Oulu	2–1	Mariehamn	11	65′ Away
9	TPS	3–0	Mariehamn	11	20′ Home
10	SJK	3–0	Mariehamn	11	29′ Home
10	SJK	2–1	Mariehamn	11	36′ Away
11 · Mariehamn
12	Jaro	3–0	Mariehamn	11	7′ Home

Jaro Home Mariehamn Away

Wins

25%

8%

Over 1.5

75%

85%

Over 2.5

50%

69%

Over 3.5

25%

23%

Both teams scored

67%

46%

Clean sheets

17%

0%

Scores first

58%

23%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Veikkausliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Jaro

25 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away13 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.17	0.23	0.68
Draws	41.7%	23.1%	32.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.38	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.42	2.38	1.92
Total goals / match	2.67	2.77	2.72
Failed to score	25.0%	69.2%	48.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	53.8%	52.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 7	86%
Scores first → wins	3 of 7	43%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	2
16–30	4	2
31–45	5	2
46–60	2	2
61–75	1	5
76–90	1	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mariehamn

25 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away13 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.08	0.31	0.68
Draws	33.3%	7.7%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.83	0.77	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.42	2.31	1.88
Total goals / match	2.25	3.08	2.68
Failed to score	41.7%	53.8%	48.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	30.8%	52.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 10	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	4
16–30	0	5
31–45	2	4
46–60	1	5
61–75	4	3
76–90	1	9

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Jaro	Draw	Mariehamn	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.8%	24.7%	34.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	28.5%	27.6%	43.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.01–1.33 Model expected goals

41.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.9%

0-112.8%

1-09.8%

0-09.6%

1-28.6%

0-28.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Jaro	Mariehamn	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1392	1403	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-42	39	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1529	1530	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Jaro	0.55	0.25	0.85	1.30
Mariehamn	0.40	0.45	0.90	1.05

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Jaro	5%	10%	25%	28%	32%
Mariehamn	2%	12%	38%	25%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Jaro at home, 9 matches

0.36 Mariehamn away, 11 matches

29d Days of rest for Jaro

29d Days of rest for Mariehamn

— Manager of Jaro

— Manager of Mariehamn

0 Matches for Jaro in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mariehamn in the last 14 days

32 Points for Jaro behind the leaders, and -15 above the relegation zone

32 Points for Mariehamn behind the leaders, and -15 above the relegation zone

2.92 League goals per match

25.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Jaro, the right bar represents Mariehamn.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

4.4

11.75

fouls

11.85

1.69

yellow cards

2.07

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Jaro	DDLLLLLLWD	0.60	0.50–1.60	2D
Mariehamn	LWLWWWLLDL	1.30	1.20–1.40	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Jaro	6	5	9	0	3
Mariehamn	5	4	11	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Jaro

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mariehamn

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.