Lahti

Lahti

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202612:00

Finland 2026 Veikkausliiga · Matchday 5

TPS

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

LahtiWins: 10
Draws22.2% of meetings: 4
TPSWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals: 44.4%
Both teams scored: 55.6%

Date	Season	Match
2026-06-23	2026	Lahti0–0TPS
2026-04-10	2026	TPS2–1Lahti
2022-10-23	2022	Lahti2–1TPS
2022-10-20	2022	TPS1–1Lahti
2020-09-17	2020	Lahti1–1TPS
2020-07-25	2020	TPS1–3Lahti
2018-09-30	2018	Lahti2–5TPS
2018-06-15	2018	TPS1–1Lahti
2018-04-08	2018	Lahti3–2TPS
2014-10-18	2014	TPS0–1Lahti
2014-06-04	2014	Lahti2–0TPS
2014-05-23	2014	Lahti2–0TPS
2013-10-26	2013	Lahti3–2TPS
2013-08-05	2013	TPS1–2Lahti
2013-06-02	2013	Lahti0–1TPS
2012-10-01	2012	Lahti1–0TPS
2012-07-22	2012	TPS4–0Lahti
2012-05-16	2012	Lahti2–0TPS

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Lahti1–1Jaro
2026-09-12	2026	Ilves3–1Lahti
2026-09-08	2026	Lahti2–1Mariehamn
2026-08-31	2026	VPS0–1Lahti
2026-08-21	2026	SJK1–2Lahti
2026-08-16	2026	Lahti1–2KuPS
2026-08-09	2026	Inter Turku0–0Lahti
2026-08-01	2026	Lahti2–0Jaro

TPS

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	TPS0–3Ilves
2026-09-12	2026	Mariehamn1–0TPS
2026-09-08	2026	TPS0–0SJK
2026-08-31	2026	Gnistan1–1TPS
2026-08-23	2026	TPS0–0Inter Turku
2026-08-14	2026	VPS1–3TPS
2026-08-09	2026	KuPS1–1TPS
2026-08-01	2026	TPS3–0Mariehamn

Lahti TPS

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Lahti

Home · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Lahti	1–2	KuPS	1	2′ Home
5	Lahti	0–2	Inter Turku	2	66′ Away
5	Lahti	1–0	Gnistan	3	54′ Home
5	Lahti	2–0	HJK	4	43′ Home
5 · Lahti
5	Lahti	1–1	VPS	6	41′ Away
5	Lahti	5–0	Ilves	7	4′ Home
5	Lahti	2–1	AC Oulu	8	5′ Home
5	Lahti	0–0	TPS	9	–
5	Lahti	2–3	SJK	10	2′ Away
5	Lahti	1–1	Mariehamn	11	20′ Home
5	Lahti	2–1	Mariehamn	11	38′ Home
5	Lahti	2–0	Jaro	12	9′ Home
5	Lahti	1–1	Jaro	12	9′ Home

TPS

Away · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	KuPS	1–1	TPS	9	23′ Home
2	Inter Turku	2–1	TPS	9	15′ Home
3	Gnistan	1–1	TPS	9	84′ Away
4	HJK	1–0	TPS	9	16′ Home
5	Lahti	0–0	TPS	9	–
6	VPS	1–3	TPS	9	45′ Away
7	Ilves	1–0	TPS	9	78′ Home
8	AC Oulu	1–0	TPS	9	59′ Home
9 · TPS
10	SJK	3–1	TPS	9	43′ Home
11	Mariehamn	1–1	TPS	9	39′ Home
11	Mariehamn	1–0	TPS	9	7′ Home
12	Jaro	2–2	TPS	9	32′ Home

Lahti Home TPS Away

Wins

46%

8%

Over 1.5

85%

58%

Over 2.5

38%

33%

Over 3.5

15%

25%

Both teams scored

54%

58%

Clean sheets

38%

8%

Scores first

69%

17%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Veikkausliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Lahti

25 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away12 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.69	1.17	1.44
Draws	30.8%	16.7%	24.0%
Goals scored / match	1.54	0.83	1.20
Goals conceded / match	0.92	1.00	0.96
Total goals / match	2.46	1.83	2.16
Failed to score	15.4%	33.3%	24.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	7 of 9	78%
Scores first → wins	6 of 9	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	6	2
16–30	3	1
31–45	4	1
46–60	3	0
61–75	2	4
76–90	2	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

TPS

25 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away12 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.85	0.67	1.28
Draws	23.1%	41.7%	32.0%
Goals scored / match	1.38	0.83	1.12
Goals conceded / match	0.92	1.25	1.08
Total goals / match	2.31	2.08	2.20
Failed to score	23.1%	41.7%	32.0%
Under 2.5 goals	46.2%	66.7%	56.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 9	0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	2
31–45	3	4
46–60	1	2
61–75	0	1
76–90	5	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lahti	Draw	TPS	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.0%	24.1%	31.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	40.3%	35.0%	24.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.93–0.65 Model expected goals

21.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.0% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 20.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-020.5%

1-019.1%

0-113.4%

1-112.5%

2-08.9%

2-15.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lahti	TPS	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1514	1498	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	26	-16	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1520	1537	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lahti	0.70	0.60	0.40	0.50
TPS	0.50	0.50	0.60	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lahti	12%	20%	25%	25%	18%
TPS	10%	18%	22%	22%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.73 Lahti at home, 11 matches

0.60 TPS away, 10 matches

29d Days of rest for Lahti

28d Days of rest for TPS

— Manager of Lahti

— Manager of TPS

0 Matches for Lahti in the last 14 days

0 Matches for TPS in the last 14 days

13 Points for Lahti behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

17 Points for TPS behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.92 League goals per match

25.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lahti, the right bar represents TPS.

On the ball

20 matches

4.89

corners

4.25

11.25

fouls

11.9

2.57

yellow cards

2.21

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lahti	DLWWWLDWLW	1.70	1.20–0.90	1D
TPS	LLDDDWDWLL	1.00	0.90–1.10	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lahti	8	8	4	0	2
TPS	3	8	9	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lahti

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

TPS

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.