Ilves

Ilves

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202612:00

Finland 2026 Veikkausliiga · Matchday 5

SJK

Head-to-head overview

32 meetings

IlvesWins: 11
Draws34.4% of meetings: 11
SJKWins: 10

Goals per match: 2.84
Over 2.5 goals: 56.2%
Both teams scored: 56.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-06-27	2026	Ilves2–2SJK
2026-05-02	2026	SJK1–1Ilves
2025-11-03	2025	Ilves3–3SJK
2025-10-04	2025	SJK2–1Ilves
2025-07-05	2025	SJK1–1Ilves
2025-06-18	2025	Ilves2–3SJK
2024-10-19	2024	Ilves4–0SJK
2024-06-19	2024	Ilves2–2SJK
2024-04-19	2024	SJK1–0Ilves
2023-07-01	2023	Ilves1–1SJK
2023-05-13	2023	SJK1–0Ilves
2022-07-17	2022	SJK3–3Ilves
2022-04-29	2022	Ilves3–1SJK
2021-10-22	2021	SJK4–2Ilves
2021-07-16	2021	Ilves0–1SJK
2021-06-14	2021	SJK1–0Ilves
2020-10-22	2020	SJK1–3Ilves
2020-08-15	2020	Ilves0–0SJK
2019-07-07	2019	Ilves3–0SJK
2019-04-22	2019	SJK0–1Ilves
2018-08-20	2018	SJK2–3Ilves
2018-06-26	2018	SJK2–3Ilves
2018-04-29	2018	Ilves1–1SJK
2017-09-27	2017	SJK0–0Ilves
2017-06-22	2017	Ilves1–0SJK
2017-04-15	2017	SJK1–2Ilves
2016-08-20	2016	SJK4–0Ilves
2016-07-02	2016	Ilves2–1SJK
2016-04-24	2016	SJK0–2Ilves
2015-10-04	2015	SJK2–1Ilves
2015-07-26	2015	Ilves0–0SJK
2015-05-20	2015	SJK3–0Ilves

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	TPS0–3Ilves
2026-09-12	2026	Ilves3–1Lahti
2026-09-08	2026	Ilves2–0Jaro
2026-08-31	2026	Ilves1–2HJK
2026-08-22	2026	Ilves0–1VPS
2026-08-17	2026	Gnistan3–2Ilves
2026-08-09	2026	Ilves2–0Mariehamn
2026-08-02	2026	AC Oulu1–0Ilves

SJK

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	SJK2–1Mariehamn
2026-09-12	2026	Jaro1–1SJK
2026-09-08	2026	TPS0–0SJK
2026-08-31	2026	AC Oulu0–0SJK
2026-08-21	2026	SJK1–2Lahti
2026-08-15	2026	Mariehamn2–0SJK
2026-08-07	2026	SJK2–2Gnistan
2026-08-03	2026	SJK3–0HJK

Ilves SJK

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

38%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Ilves

Home · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Ilves	1–3	KuPS	1	12′ Away
7	Ilves	1–3	Inter Turku	2	2′ Away
7	Ilves	2–0	Gnistan	3	45+2′ Home
7	Ilves	1–2	HJK	4	57′ Away
7	Ilves	1–0	Lahti	5	37′ Home
7	Ilves	3–1	Lahti	5	—
7	Ilves	0–1	VPS	6	9′ Away
7 · Ilves
7	Ilves	1–0	AC Oulu	8	11′ Home
7	Ilves	1–0	TPS	9	78′ Home
7	Ilves	2–2	SJK	10	52′ Home
7	Ilves	2–0	Mariehamn	11	25′ Home
7	Ilves	5–0	Jaro	12	4′ Home
7	Ilves	2–0	Jaro	12	74′ Home

SJK

Away · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	KuPS	0–0	SJK	10	–
2	Inter Turku	1–1	SJK	10	35′ Away
3	Gnistan	3–2	SJK	10	4′ Home
4	HJK	3–0	SJK	10	36′ Home
5	Lahti	2–3	SJK	10	2′ Away
6	VPS	1–0	SJK	10	49′ Home
7	Ilves	2–2	SJK	10	52′ Home
8	AC Oulu	0–0	SJK	10	–
9	TPS	2–0	SJK	10	26′ Home
9	TPS	0–0	SJK	10	–
10 · SJK
11	Mariehamn	2–0	SJK	10	18′ Home
12	Jaro	2–1	SJK	10	32′ Home
12	Jaro	1–1	SJK	10	27′ Home

Ilves Home SJK Away

Wins

62%

8%

Over 1.5

69%

Over 2.5

46%

38%

Over 3.5

38%

23%

Both teams scored

38%

46%

Clean sheets

54%

23%

Scores first

69%

15%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Veikkausliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Ilves

25 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away12 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.92	0.75	1.36
Draws	7.7%	25.0%	16.0%
Goals scored / match	1.69	1.67	1.68
Goals conceded / match	0.92	2.17	1.52
Total goals / match	2.62	3.83	3.20
Failed to score	7.7%	16.7%	12.0%
Under 2.5 goals	53.8%	16.7%	36.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 9	67%
Scores first → wins	8 of 9	89%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

SJK

25 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away13 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.69	0.96
Draws	25.0%	46.2%	36.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.77	1.12
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.46	1.40
Total goals / match	2.83	2.23	2.52
Failed to score	16.7%	53.8%	36.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	61.5%	48.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 8	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	4
31–45	2	2
46–60	1	10
61–75	2	1
76–90	4	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ilves	Draw	SJK	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.3%	22.3%	27.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	47.6%	24.9%	26.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.59–1.13 Model expected goals

50.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.8%

1-010.5%

2-19.4%

2-08.4%

0-17.4%

1-26.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ilves	SJK	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1575	1510	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	20	-32	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1505	1517	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ilves	0.90	0.85	0.80	0.55
SJK	0.30	0.85	0.65	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ilves	0%	15%	15%	18%	52%
SJK	8%	8%	20%	30%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.08 Ilves at home, 12 matches

0.82 SJK away, 11 matches

28d Days of rest for Ilves

29d Days of rest for SJK

— Manager of Ilves

— Manager of SJK

0 Matches for Ilves in the last 14 days

0 Matches for SJK in the last 14 days

15 Points for Ilves behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

25 Points for SJK behind the leaders, and -8 above the relegation zone

2.92 League goals per match

25.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ilves, the right bar represents SJK.

On the ball

20 matches

4.68

corners

6.0

9.15

fouls

12.25

1.5

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ilves	WWWLLLWLWW	1.80	1.70–0.90	3W
SJK	WDDDLLDWLL	1.00	1.00–1.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ilves	8	7	5	0	0
SJK	3	9	8	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ilves

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

SJK

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.