AC Oulu

AC Oulu

VS Scheduled Wednesday 28 Oct 202616:00

Finland 2026 Veikkausliiga · Matchday 8

VPS

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings

AC OuluWins: 4
Draws21.4% of meetings: 3
VPSWins: 7

Goals per match: 3.14
Over 2.5 goals: 64.3%
Both teams scored: 57.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-08	2026	VPS1–0AC Oulu
2026-06-23	2026	VPS5–1AC Oulu
2026-04-18	2026	AC Oulu1–0VPS
2025-10-04	2025	AC Oulu2–0VPS
2025-06-28	2025	AC Oulu2–1VPS
2025-04-05	2025	VPS4–3AC Oulu
2024-06-19	2024	VPS1–1AC Oulu
2024-04-27	2024	AC Oulu1–2VPS
2023-07-15	2023	VPS3–0AC Oulu
2023-05-13	2023	AC Oulu2–1VPS
2022-10-22	2022	AC Oulu0–0VPS
2022-10-08	2022	VPS2–1AC Oulu
2022-07-02	2022	AC Oulu0–6VPS
2022-04-02	2022	VPS2–2AC Oulu

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	AC Oulu0–1Inter Turku
2026-09-13	2026	AC Oulu1–2Gnistan
2026-09-12	2026	AC Oulu1–2Gnistan
2026-09-08	2026	VPS1–0AC Oulu
2026-08-31	2026	AC Oulu0–0SJK
2026-08-22	2026	Jaro0–1AC Oulu
2026-08-16	2026	AC Oulu2–3Inter Turku
2026-08-09	2026	AC Oulu0–1HJK

VPS

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	VPS0–2KuPS
2026-09-14	2026	Inter Turku1–0VPS
2026-09-08	2026	VPS1–0AC Oulu
2026-08-31	2026	VPS0–1Lahti
2026-08-22	2026	Ilves0–1VPS
2026-08-14	2026	VPS1–3TPS
2026-08-08	2026	Jaro1–3VPS
2026-08-02	2026	VPS0–1Inter Turku

AC Oulu VPS

Wins

12%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

38%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

AC Oulu

Home · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
8	AC Oulu	2–0	KuPS	1	4′ Home
8	AC Oulu	2–3	Inter Turku	2	30′ Home
8	AC Oulu	0–1	Inter Turku	2	39′ Away
8	AC Oulu	0–2	Gnistan	3	31′ Away
8	AC Oulu	1–2	Gnistan	3	58′ Away
8	AC Oulu	1–2	Gnistan	3	—
8	AC Oulu	0–1	HJK	4	44′ Away
8	AC Oulu	1–1	Lahti	5	73′ Away
8	AC Oulu	1–0	VPS	6	73′ Home
8	AC Oulu	1–0	Ilves	7	55′ Home
8 · AC Oulu
8	AC Oulu	1–0	TPS	9	59′ Home
8	AC Oulu	0–0	SJK	10	–
8	AC Oulu	2–1	Mariehamn	11	65′ Away
8	AC Oulu	2–1	Jaro	12	49′ Home

VPS

Away · Veikkausliiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	KuPS	3–1	VPS	6	1′ Home
2	Inter Turku	0–0	VPS	6	–
2	Inter Turku	1–0	VPS	6	70′ Home
3	Gnistan	1–1	VPS	6	19′ Home
4	HJK	2–1	VPS	6	45+1′ Home
5	Lahti	1–1	VPS	6	41′ Away
6 · VPS
7	Ilves	0–1	VPS	6	9′ Away
8	AC Oulu	1–0	VPS	6	73′ Home
9	TPS	1–0	VPS	6	83′ Home
10	SJK	1–2	VPS	6	38′ Home
11	Mariehamn	0–1	VPS	6	22′ Away
12	Jaro	1–3	VPS	6	12′ Away

AC Oulu Home VPS Away

Wins

43%

33%

Over 1.5

57%

50%

Over 2.5

36%

33%

Over 3.5

7%

17%

Both teams scored

43%

50%

Clean sheets

36%

25%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Veikkausliiga · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

AC Oulu

26 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away12 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	1.43	1.17	1.31
Draws	14.3%	16.7%	15.4%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.08	1.04
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.42	1.19
Total goals / match	2.00	2.50	2.23
Failed to score	28.6%	33.3%	30.8%
Under 2.5 goals	64.3%	58.3%	61.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 13/14 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

VPS

25 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away12 matches	Overall25 matches
Points / match	1.62	1.25	1.44
Draws	23.1%	25.0%	24.0%
Goals scored / match	1.46	0.92	1.20
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.46	1.92	2.20
Failed to score	30.8%	33.3%	32.0%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	66.7%	64.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	2
16–30	2	2
31–45	2	4
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	3
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	AC Oulu	Draw	VPS	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.4%	24.8%	39.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.3%	31.0%	49.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.62–1.18 Model expected goals

26.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

31.8% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 19.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-119.6%

0-016.6%

1-112.1%

0-211.6%

1-010.2%

1-27.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	AC Oulu	VPS	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1449	1509	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-28	-37	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1523	1543	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
AC Oulu	0.21	0.53	0.63	0.58
VPS	0.65	0.65	0.80	0.30

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
AC Oulu	5%	32%	18%	18%	28%
VPS	8%	25%	22%	20%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.17 AC Oulu at home, 12 matches

1.22 VPS away, 9 matches

40d Days of rest for AC Oulu

39d Days of rest for VPS

— Manager of AC Oulu

— Manager of VPS

0 Matches for AC Oulu in the last 14 days

0 Matches for VPS in the last 14 days

15 Points for AC Oulu behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

13 Points for VPS behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.92 League goals per match

25.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AC Oulu, the right bar represents VPS.

On the ball

20 matches

5.44

corners

4.5

11.0

fouls

15.05

2.25

yellow cards

2.77

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
AC Oulu	LLLLDWLLWD	0.80	0.70–1.10	4L
VPS	LLWLWLWLLL	0.90	0.80–1.40	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
AC Oulu	2	9	8	0	1
VPS	7	5	8	2	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AC Oulu

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

VPS

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.