Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202606:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 10

Kyoto

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWins: 3
Draws25.0% of meetings: 2
KyotoWins: 3

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 37.5%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2025-09-12	2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kyoto
2025-03-29	2025	Kyoto1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-11-03	2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Kyoto
2024-05-19	2024	Kyoto0–5Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2023-09-23	2023	Kyoto1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2023-06-04	2023	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–1Kyoto
2022-07-17	2022	Kyoto1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-05-21	2022	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–1Kyoto

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-08-22	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-15	26/27	Urawa Reds1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kyoto

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Okayama1–2Kyoto
2026-09-11	26/27	Kyoto2–3Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-06	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Kyoto
2026-09-02	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos1–1Kyoto
2026-08-29	26/27	Kyoto2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-22	26/27	Kyoto1–3Mito
2026-08-15	26/27	Kawasaki Frontale2–2Kyoto
2026-08-09	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–1Kyoto

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Kyoto

Wins

62%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

75%

Both teams scored

62%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Tokyo	2
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Vissel Kobe	3
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Machida	4
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashiwa Reysol	5
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	28′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Okayama	7
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashima Antlers	9
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Urawa Reds	11
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	10′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	—
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Mito	14
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kyoto	15
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka	16
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	71′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Verdy	18
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Chiba	19	3′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Kyoto

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kyoto	15
2	FC Tokyo	2–0	Kyoto	15	70′ Home
3	Vissel Kobe		Kyoto	15
4	Machida		Kyoto	15
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Kyoto	15
6	Kawasaki Frontale	2–2	Kyoto	15	43′ Home
7	Okayama	1–2	Kyoto	15	10′ Away
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	1–1	Kyoto	15	64′ Away
9	Kashima Antlers		Kyoto	15
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Kyoto	15
11	Urawa Reds		Kyoto	15
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–1	Kyoto	15	11′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kyoto	15
14	Mito		Kyoto	15
15 · Kyoto
16	Gamba Osaka		Kyoto	15
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kyoto	15
18	Verdy		Kyoto	15
19	Chiba		Kyoto	15
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Kyoto	15

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Home Kyoto Away

Wins

80%

20%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

80%

60%

Over 3.5

40%

20%

Both teams scored

60%

80%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

N/A

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.75	2.22
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.80	1.75	2.89
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	4.40	2.75	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kyoto

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.20	1.38
Goals conceded / match	2.33	1.60	1.88
Total goals / match	4.00	2.80	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	2
46–60	3	0
61–75	1	4
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kyoto	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.6%	21.7%	24.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	55.9%	22.0%	20.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.92–1.06 Model expected goals

55.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.9% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.3%

2-19.9%

1-09.7%

2-09.3%

3-16.3%

3-06.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Kyoto	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1637	1534	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	25	-38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1522	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1.00	1.50	0.38	0.38
Kyoto	0.50	0.88	0.75	1.12

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10%	25%	12%	40%	12%
Kyoto	0%	12%	28%	35%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home, 10 matches

1.60 Kyoto away, 10 matches

28d Days of rest for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

28d Days of rest for Kyoto

— Manager of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

— Manager of Kyoto

0 Matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kyoto in the last 14 days

0 Points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

12 Points for Kyoto behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the right bar represents Kyoto.

On the ball

20 matches

8.0

corners

3.12

8.0

fouls

9.75

1.75

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	WWWLWDDWWW	2.30	2.80–0.80	3W
Kyoto	WLLDWLDLWW	1.40	1.40–1.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	3	1	0	1
Kyoto	2	3	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kyoto

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.