Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202611:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 10

Nagoya Grampus

Head-to-head overview

24 meetings

Kashiwa ReysolWins: 6
Draws20.8% of meetings: 5
Nagoya GrampusWins: 13

Goals per match: 2.38
Over 2.5 goals: 37.5%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2025-11-08	2025	Kashiwa Reysol1–0Nagoya Grampus
2025-04-29	2025	Nagoya Grampus1–2Kashiwa Reysol
2024-07-14	2024	Nagoya Grampus2–1Kashiwa Reysol
2024-03-16	2024	Kashiwa Reysol0–2Nagoya Grampus
2023-12-03	2023	Nagoya Grampus1–1Kashiwa Reysol
2023-03-12	2023	Kashiwa Reysol0–3Nagoya Grampus
2022-07-06	2022	Kashiwa Reysol0–1Nagoya Grampus
2022-03-20	2022	Nagoya Grampus1–1Kashiwa Reysol
2021-11-03	2021	Nagoya Grampus2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2021-03-10	2021	Kashiwa Reysol0–1Nagoya Grampus
2020-12-05	2020	Kashiwa Reysol0–1Nagoya Grampus
2020-08-01	2020	Nagoya Grampus0–1Kashiwa Reysol
2018-10-19	2018	Kashiwa Reysol0–1Nagoya Grampus
2018-05-20	2018	Nagoya Grampus2–3Kashiwa Reysol
2016-08-20	2016	Kashiwa Reysol3–1Nagoya Grampus
2016-06-18	2016	Nagoya Grampus1–1Kashiwa Reysol
2015-10-03	2015	Kashiwa Reysol3–1Nagoya Grampus
2015-06-20	2015	Nagoya Grampus1–0Kashiwa Reysol
2014-08-23	2014	Nagoya Grampus1–1Kashiwa Reysol
2014-03-15	2014	Kashiwa Reysol0–1Nagoya Grampus
2013-11-23	2013	Nagoya Grampus3–2Kashiwa Reysol
2013-04-06	2013	Kashiwa Reysol3–3Nagoya Grampus
2012-09-01	2012	Nagoya Grampus1–0Kashiwa Reysol
2012-07-07	2012	Kashiwa Reysol1–2Nagoya Grampus

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-11	26/27	Kyoto2–3Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-06	26/27	Kashiwa Reysol0–2Yokohama F. Marinos
2026-09-02	26/27	Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-29	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse0–1Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-21	26/27	Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-14	26/27	Verdy1–3Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-08	26/27	Kashiwa Reysol2–1Mito

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06	26/27	Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22	26/27	Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka
2026-08-15	26/27	Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol Nagoya Grampus

Wins

75%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Kashiwa Reysol

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
5	Kashiwa Reysol		FC Tokyo	2
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Vissel Kobe	3
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Machida	4
5 · Kashiwa Reysol
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Kawasaki Frontale	6
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Okayama	7
5	Kashiwa Reysol	0–2	Yokohama F. Marinos	8	19′ Away
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Kashima Antlers	9
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Urawa Reds	11
5	Kashiwa Reysol	4–2	V-Varen Nagasaki	12	—
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Cerezo Osaka	13
5	Kashiwa Reysol	2–1	Mito	14	5′ Home
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Kyoto	15
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Gamba Osaka	16
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Nagoya Grampus	17
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Verdy	18
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Chiba	19
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Nagoya Grampus

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	71′ Home
2	FC Tokyo	1–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	56′ Home
3	Vissel Kobe		Nagoya Grampus	17
4	Machida		Nagoya Grampus	17
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Nagoya Grampus	17
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Nagoya Grampus	17
7	Okayama		Nagoya Grampus	17
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Nagoya Grampus	17
9	Kashima Antlers	2–1	Nagoya Grampus	17	—
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Nagoya Grampus	17
11	Urawa Reds		Nagoya Grampus	17
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	36′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	—
13	Cerezo Osaka		Nagoya Grampus	17
14	Mito		Nagoya Grampus	17
15	Kyoto		Nagoya Grampus	17
16	Gamba Osaka		Nagoya Grampus	17
17 · Nagoya Grampus
18	Verdy		Nagoya Grampus	17
19	Chiba		Nagoya Grampus	17
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Nagoya Grampus	17

Kashiwa Reysol Home Nagoya Grampus Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

80%

Over 2.5

67%

40%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

20%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Kashiwa Reysol

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.40	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.20	2.12
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.40	1.50
Total goals / match	3.67	3.60	3.62
Failed to score	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nagoya Grampus

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.67
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.20	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.56
Failed to score	25.0%	80.0%	55.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus	How it works
Strength (Elo)	65.0%	16.3%	18.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	67.5%	17.5%	11.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.32–0.84 Model expected goals

58.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.4% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 11.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-011.4%

1-09.9%

2-19.6%

3-08.9%

1-18.2%

3-17.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Kashiwa Reysol	Nagoya Grampus	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1613	1429	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	3	-23	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1516	1514	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Kashiwa Reysol	0.50	1.62	0.75	0.75
Nagoya Grampus	0.25	0.62	0.75	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Kashiwa Reysol	8%	20%	30%	15%	28%
Nagoya Grampus	8%	15%	22%	38%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Kashiwa Reysol at home, 10 matches

0.50 Nagoya Grampus away, 10 matches

27d Days of rest for Kashiwa Reysol

28d Days of rest for Nagoya Grampus

— Manager of Kashiwa Reysol

— Manager of Nagoya Grampus

0 Matches for Kashiwa Reysol in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nagoya Grampus in the last 14 days

2 Points for Kashiwa Reysol behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Nagoya Grampus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kashiwa Reysol, the right bar represents Nagoya Grampus.

On the ball

20 matches

6.43

corners

5.25

8.62

fouls

9.75

1.67

yellow cards

1.43

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Kashiwa Reysol	WWLLWWWWWW	2.40	2.10–1.30	2W
Nagoya Grampus	LLLLLWWLLW	0.90	0.80–1.60	5L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Kashiwa Reysol	2	2	4	2	0
Nagoya Grampus	0	4	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kashiwa Reysol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nagoya Grampus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.