Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202606:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 12

Chiba

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy
2026-09-02	26/27	Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-29	26/27	Vissel Kobe1–0Cerezo Osaka
2026-08-22	26/27	Cerezo Osaka1–0Shimizu S-Pulse
2026-08-15	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

Chiba

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse2–1Chiba
2026-09-14	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-13	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-06	26/27	Chiba2–0Gamba Osaka
2026-09-02	26/27	Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29	26/27	Kawasaki Frontale4–2Chiba
2026-08-21	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15	26/27	Chiba0–4Machida

Cerezo Osaka Chiba

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cerezo Osaka

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
13	Cerezo Osaka		FC Tokyo	2
13	Cerezo Osaka		Vissel Kobe	3
13	Cerezo Osaka		Machida	4
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–0	Kashiwa Reysol	5	20′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kawasaki Frontale	6
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–1	Okayama	7	8′ Away
13	Cerezo Osaka		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kashima Antlers	9
13	Cerezo Osaka	1–0	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	62′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Urawa Reds	11
13	Cerezo Osaka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
13 · Cerezo Osaka
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kyoto	15
13	Cerezo Osaka		Gamba Osaka	16
13	Cerezo Osaka		Nagoya Grampus	17
13	Cerezo Osaka	0–0	Verdy	18	–
13	Cerezo Osaka		Chiba	19
13	Cerezo Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Chiba

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Chiba	19	3′ Home
2	FC Tokyo	2–0	Chiba	19	72′ Home
3	Vissel Kobe		Chiba	19
4	Machida		Chiba	19
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Chiba	19
6	Kawasaki Frontale	4–2	Chiba	19	10′ Home
7	Okayama		Chiba	19
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Chiba	19
9	Kashima Antlers		Chiba	19
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	2–1	Chiba	19	30′ Away
11	Urawa Reds		Chiba	19
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Chiba	19
13	Cerezo Osaka		Chiba	19
14	Mito		Chiba	19
15	Kyoto		Chiba	19
16	Gamba Osaka		Chiba	19
17	Nagoya Grampus		Chiba	19
18	Verdy	1–1	Chiba	19	58′ Away
18	Verdy	1–1	Chiba	19	—
19 · Chiba
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Chiba	19

Cerezo Osaka Home Chiba Away

Wins

75%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

17%

Both teams scored

25%

67%

Clean sheets

75%

0%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cerezo Osaka

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.20	1.22
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.60	0.89
Goals conceded / match	0.25	3.40	2.00
Total goals / match	1.50	4.00	2.89
Failed to score	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	3	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Chiba

9 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away6 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.56
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.83	0.89
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.17	2.11
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Chiba	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.9%	24.6%	29.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	50.0%	21.1%	26.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.08–1.46 Model expected goals

66.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

65.3% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 9.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-19.2%

1-18.8%

2-26.7%

1-26.4%

3-16.4%

2-06.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cerezo Osaka	Chiba	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1447	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	-41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1528	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cerezo Osaka	0.38	0.50	0.88	0.62
Chiba	0.62	0.25	1.00	1.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cerezo Osaka	5%	15%	22%	25%	32%
Chiba	0%	0%	44%	33%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Cerezo Osaka at home, 9 matches

0.33 Chiba away, 6 matches

36d Days of rest for Cerezo Osaka

36d Days of rest for Chiba

— Manager of Cerezo Osaka

— Manager of Chiba

0 Matches for Cerezo Osaka in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Chiba in the last 14 days

9 Points for Cerezo Osaka behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Chiba behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cerezo Osaka, the right bar represents Chiba.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

2.71

7.88

fouls

11.0

2.0

yellow cards

3.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cerezo Osaka	DLLDWLWLWL	1.10	0.90–2.10	1D
Chiba	LDDWLLLLL	0.56	0.89–2.11	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cerezo Osaka	2	3	3	0	0
Chiba	2	3	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cerezo Osaka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Chiba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.