Chiba

Chiba

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202605:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 13

Avispa Fukuoka

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse2–1Chiba
2026-09-14	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-13	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-06	26/27	Chiba2–0Gamba Osaka
2026-09-02	26/27	Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29	26/27	Kawasaki Frontale4–2Chiba
2026-08-21	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15	26/27	Chiba0–4Machida

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-12	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka2–3Urawa Reds
2026-08-29	26/27	Kyoto2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-22	26/27	Kashima Antlers3–2Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-15	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

Chiba Avispa Fukuoka

Wins

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Chiba

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
19	Chiba		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
19	Chiba		FC Tokyo	2
19	Chiba		Vissel Kobe	3
19	Chiba	0–4	Machida	4	17′ Away
19	Chiba		Kashiwa Reysol	5
19	Chiba		Kawasaki Frontale	6
19	Chiba	1–2	Okayama	7	31′ Away
19	Chiba		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
19	Chiba		Kashima Antlers	9
19	Chiba		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
19	Chiba		Urawa Reds	11
19	Chiba		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
19	Chiba		Cerezo Osaka	13
19	Chiba		Mito	14
19	Chiba		Kyoto	15
19	Chiba	2–0	Gamba Osaka	16	1′ Home
19	Chiba		Nagoya Grampus	17
19	Chiba		Verdy	18
19 · Chiba
19	Chiba		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Avispa Fukuoka

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka	20
2	FC Tokyo		Avispa Fukuoka	20
3	Vissel Kobe		Avispa Fukuoka	20
4	Machida		Avispa Fukuoka	20
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Avispa Fukuoka	20
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Avispa Fukuoka	20
7	Okayama		Avispa Fukuoka	20
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Avispa Fukuoka	20
9	Kashima Antlers	3–2	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	1–0	Avispa Fukuoka	20	71′ Home
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	1–0	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—
11	Urawa Reds		Avispa Fukuoka	20
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Avispa Fukuoka	20
13	Cerezo Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20
14	Mito		Avispa Fukuoka	20
15	Kyoto	2–1	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—
16	Gamba Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20
17	Nagoya Grampus		Avispa Fukuoka	20
18	Verdy		Avispa Fukuoka	20
19	Chiba		Avispa Fukuoka	20
20 · Avispa Fukuoka

Chiba Home Avispa Fukuoka Away

Wins

33%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

33%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Chiba

9 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away6 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.56
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.83	0.89
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.17	2.11
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Avispa Fukuoka

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.80	0.00	0.44
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	1.20	0.75	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.75	1.44
Total goals / match	2.40	2.50	2.44
Failed to score	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Chiba	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.4%	25.8%	33.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.4%	26.2%	52.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.81–1.50 Model expected goals

40.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.9% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.9%

1-112.1%

0-211.1%

0-09.9%

1-29.0%

1-08.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Chiba	Avispa Fukuoka	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1447	1448	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-41	-46	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1513	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Chiba	0.62	0.25	1.00	1.25
Avispa Fukuoka	0.62	0.50	0.50	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Chiba	0%	0%	44%	33%	22%
Avispa Fukuoka	18%	35%	15%	15%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Chiba at home, 3 matches

0.20 Avispa Fukuoka away, 10 matches

43d Days of rest for Chiba

43d Days of rest for Avispa Fukuoka

— Manager of Chiba

— Manager of Avispa Fukuoka

0 Matches for Chiba in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Avispa Fukuoka in the last 14 days

15 Points for Chiba behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Avispa Fukuoka behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Chiba, the right bar represents Avispa Fukuoka.

On the ball

20 matches

2.71

corners

4.75

11.0

fouls

12.88

3.33

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Chiba	LDDWLLLLL	0.56	0.89–2.11	1L
Avispa Fukuoka	LLLDLLLWLL	0.40	0.90–1.40	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Chiba	2	3	3	0	1
Avispa Fukuoka	2	4	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Chiba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Avispa Fukuoka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.