V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202605:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 13

Verdy

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06	26/27	Vissel Kobe3–1V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-09-02	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–2Gamba Osaka
2026-08-29	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21	26/27	Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-15	26/27	Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki

Verdy

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Urawa Reds3–1Verdy
2026-09-14	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-13	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-06	26/27	Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy
2026-09-02	26/27	Verdy0–2Vissel Kobe
2026-08-29	26/27	Verdy0–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-22	26/27	Okayama0–0Verdy
2026-08-14	26/27	Verdy1–3Kashiwa Reysol

V-Varen Nagasaki Verdy

Wins

25%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

V-Varen Nagasaki

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	0–3	FC Tokyo	2	37′ Away
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Vissel Kobe	3
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Machida	4
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Kashiwa Reysol	5
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Kawasaki Frontale	6
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Okayama	7
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Kashima Antlers	9
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Urawa Reds	11
12 · V-Varen Nagasaki
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	1–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	34′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Mito	14
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–1	Kyoto	15	11′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–2	Gamba Osaka	16	79′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	36′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	2–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	—
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Verdy	18
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Chiba	19
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Verdy

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Verdy	18
2	FC Tokyo		Verdy	18
3	Vissel Kobe		Verdy	18
4	Machida		Verdy	18
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Verdy	18
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Verdy	18
7	Okayama	0–0	Verdy	18	–
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Verdy	18
9	Kashima Antlers		Verdy	18
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Verdy	18
11	Urawa Reds	3–1	Verdy	18	24′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Verdy	18
13	Cerezo Osaka	0–0	Verdy	18	–
14	Mito		Verdy	18
15	Kyoto		Verdy	18
16	Gamba Osaka		Verdy	18
17	Nagoya Grampus		Verdy	18
18 · Verdy
19	Chiba		Verdy	18
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Verdy	18

V-Varen Nagasaki Home Verdy Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

17%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

33%

67%

Scores first

83%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

V-Varen Nagasaki

9 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away3 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.83	0.00	1.22
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.17	2.67	1.67
Total goals / match	2.67	3.67	3.00
Failed to score	16.7%	33.3%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	3 of 5	60%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Verdy

9 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away3 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.67	0.56
Draws	50.0%	66.7%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	0.67	0.33	0.56
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.00	1.44
Total goals / match	2.33	1.33	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	83.3%	66.7%	77.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	V-Varen Nagasaki	Draw	Verdy	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.4%	24.1%	28.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	41.8%	28.7%	29.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.24–0.98 Model expected goals

38.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 13.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-013.4%

1-113.2%

0-010.9%

0-110.7%

2-08.3%

2-18.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	V-Varen Nagasaki	Verdy	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1483	1427	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	69	-38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1519	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki	0.50	0.75	0.62	1.25
Verdy	0.12	0.38	0.75	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
V-Varen Nagasaki	5%	25%	18%	25%	28%
Verdy	22%	32%	20%	10%	15%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 V-Varen Nagasaki at home, 12 matches

0.67 Verdy away, 9 matches

43d Days of rest for V-Varen Nagasaki

43d Days of rest for Verdy

— Manager of V-Varen Nagasaki

— Manager of Verdy

0 Matches for V-Varen Nagasaki in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Verdy in the last 14 days

9 Points for V-Varen Nagasaki behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Verdy behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents V-Varen Nagasaki, the right bar represents Verdy.

On the ball

20 matches

4.57

corners

3.88

9.88

fouls

14.12

1.6

yellow cards

1.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
V-Varen Nagasaki	DWWLDLLLWD	1.20	1.60–1.90	1D
Verdy	LDDDLLDLDL	0.50	0.60–1.70	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
V-Varen Nagasaki	3	2	3	0	1
Verdy	0	5	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

V-Varen Nagasaki

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Verdy

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.