Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- MachidaWins
- 3
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 1
- Gamba OsakaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.75
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 75.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025
|
Machida3–1Gamba Osaka |
| 2025-04-02 |
2025
|
Gamba Osaka0–1Machida |
| 2024-06-30 |
2024
|
Gamba Osaka1–3Machida |
| 2024-02-24 |
2024
|
Machida1–1Gamba Osaka |
Recent matches
Machida
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Machida2–1Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mito1–1Machida |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Machida3–1Urawa Reds |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Chiba0–4Machida |
Gamba Osaka
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Gamba Osaka0–1Vissel Kobe |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Chiba2–0Gamba Osaka |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
V-Varen Nagasaki2–2Gamba Osaka |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Mito1–1Gamba Osaka |
Machida
Gamba Osaka
Wins
50%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
25%
Both teams scored
88%
38%
Clean sheets
12%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Machida
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Machida | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | ||
| 4 | Machida | FC Tokyo | 2 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Vissel Kobe | 3 | ||
| 4 · Machida | |||||
| 4 | Machida | 2–4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 38′ Home |
| 4 | Machida | 2–1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 59′ Away |
| 4 | Machida | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 4 | Machida | 1–1 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 12′ Away |
| 4 | Machida | 1–1 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | — |
| 4 | Machida | Kashima Antlers | 9 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | ||
| 4 | Machida | 3–1 | Urawa Reds | 11 | 8′ Home |
| 4 | Machida | V-Varen Nagasaki | 12 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Mito | 14 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Kyoto | 15 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Nagoya Grampus | 17 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Verdy | 18 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Chiba | 19 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Avispa Fukuoka | 20 | ||
Gamba Osaka
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 2 | FC Tokyo | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 7 | Okayama | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 9 | Kashima Antlers | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 11 | Urawa Reds | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 12 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2–2 | Gamba Osaka | 16 | 79′ Home |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 14 | Mito | 1–1 | Gamba Osaka | 16 | 18′ Home |
| 15 | Kyoto | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 16 · Gamba Osaka | |||||
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 3–1 | Gamba Osaka | 16 | 7′ Home |
| 18 | Verdy | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 19 | Chiba | 2–0 | Gamba Osaka | 16 | 1′ Home |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
Machida Home
Gamba Osaka Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Machida
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.80 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 0.75 | 1.22 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Gamba Osaka
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.78 |
| Total goals / match | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Failed to score | 80.0% | 25.0% | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 80.0% | 50.0% | 66.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 41 of 8 | 0%12% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 9/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 2 | 4 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Machida | Draw | Gamba Osaka | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 56.0% | 20.7% | 23.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 44.8% | 21.9% | 31.3% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.93–1.58
Model expected goals
66.1%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
66.3%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 9.1%
Most likely scores
1-19.1%
2-18.8%
1-27.2%
2-26.9%
1-05.8%
3-15.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Machida | Gamba Osaka | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1590 | 1470 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 15 | -59 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1520 | 1508 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | 1.00 | 1.62 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Gamba Osaka | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.12 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | 8% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 30% |
| Gamba Osaka | 8% | 25% | 22% | 10% | 35% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.60
Machida at home, 10 matches
1.12
Gamba Osaka away, 8 matches
42d
Days of rest for Machida
42d
Days of rest for Gamba Osaka
—
Manager of Machida
Tomokazu Myojin
Manager of Gamba Osaka,
since 09/07/26
0
Matches for Machida in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Gamba Osaka in the last 14 days
2
Points for Machida behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
14
Points for Gamba Osaka behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.50
League goals per match
25.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Machida, the right bar represents Gamba Osaka.
On the ball
3.75
4.88
corners
9.88
10.25
fouls
2.5
1.33
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | LDDWWDWWWL | 1.80 | 2.20–1.20 | 1L |
| Gamba Osaka | LLLLDDLDWW | 0.90 | 1.20–1.70 | 4L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Gamba Osaka | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Machida
No absences reported.
Gamba Osaka
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.