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Avispa Fukuoka
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 14
V-Varen Nagasaki
Recent matches

Avispa Fukuoka

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-05 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka2–3Urawa Reds
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kyoto2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashima Antlers3–2Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

V-Varen Nagasaki

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Vissel Kobe3–1V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–2Gamba Osaka
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka V-Varen Nagasaki

Wins

12%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Avispa Fukuoka

Home · J1 League
HomeAway1st goal
20 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 68′ Away
20 Avispa Fukuoka FC Tokyo 2
20 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Vissel Kobe 3 23′ Away
20 Avispa Fukuoka Machida 4
20 Avispa Fukuoka Kashiwa Reysol 5
20 Avispa Fukuoka Kawasaki Frontale 6
20 Avispa Fukuoka Okayama 7
20 Avispa Fukuoka Yokohama F. Marinos 8
20 Avispa Fukuoka Kashima Antlers 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka Shimizu S-Pulse 10
20 Avispa Fukuoka 2–3 Urawa Reds 11 7′ Away
20 Avispa Fukuoka V-Varen Nagasaki 12
20 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Cerezo Osaka 13 35′ Home
20 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Mito 14 53′ Home
20 Avispa Fukuoka Kyoto 15
20 Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka 16
20 Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus 17
20 Avispa Fukuoka Verdy 18
20 Avispa Fukuoka Chiba 19
20 · Avispa Fukuoka

V-Varen Nagasaki

Away · J1 League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima V-Varen Nagasaki 12
2 FC Tokyo V-Varen Nagasaki 12
3 Vissel Kobe 3–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 12 2′ Home
4 Machida V-Varen Nagasaki 12
5 Kashiwa Reysol 4–2 V-Varen Nagasaki 12 —
6 Kawasaki Frontale V-Varen Nagasaki 12
7 Okayama 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 12 54′ Home
8 Yokohama F. Marinos V-Varen Nagasaki 12
9 Kashima Antlers V-Varen Nagasaki 12
10 Shimizu S-Pulse V-Varen Nagasaki 12
11 Urawa Reds V-Varen Nagasaki 12
12 · V-Varen Nagasaki
13 Cerezo Osaka V-Varen Nagasaki 12
14 Mito V-Varen Nagasaki 12
15 Kyoto V-Varen Nagasaki 12
16 Gamba Osaka V-Varen Nagasaki 12
17 Nagoya Grampus V-Varen Nagasaki 12
18 Verdy V-Varen Nagasaki 12
19 Chiba V-Varen Nagasaki 12
20 Avispa Fukuoka V-Varen Nagasaki 12
Avispa Fukuoka Home V-Varen Nagasaki Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Avispa Fukuoka

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.800.000.44
Draws20.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.200.751.00
Goals conceded / match1.201.751.44
Total goals / match2.402.502.44
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3011
31–4530
46–6010
61–7511
76–9003

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

V-Varen Nagasaki

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.830.001.22
Draws33.3%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.501.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.172.671.67
Total goals / match2.673.673.00
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%33.3%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAvispa FukuokaDraw V-Varen NagasakiHow it works
Strength (Elo) 36.6% 26.1% 37.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 28.3% 26.3% 44.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.08–1.44 Model expected goals
45.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.5%
0-111.6%
1-29.0%
1-08.7%
0-28.3%
0-08.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAvispa FukuokaV-Varen Nagasaki How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1448 1483 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -46 69 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1513 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Avispa Fukuoka 0.620.50 0.501.00
V-Varen Nagasaki 0.500.75 0.621.25

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Avispa Fukuoka 18%35%15%15%18%
V-Varen Nagasaki 5%25%18%25%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Avispa Fukuoka at home, 10 matches
0.50 V-Varen Nagasaki away, 8 matches
49d Days of rest for Avispa Fukuoka
49d Days of rest for V-Varen Nagasaki
— Manager of Avispa Fukuoka
— Manager of V-Varen Nagasaki
0 Matches for Avispa Fukuoka in the last 14 days
0 Matches for V-Varen Nagasaki in the last 14 days
16 Points for Avispa Fukuoka behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
9 Points for V-Varen Nagasaki behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Avispa Fukuoka, the right bar represents V-Varen Nagasaki.

On the ball

20 matches
4.75
corners
4.57
12.88
fouls
9.88
2.17
yellow cards
1.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Avispa Fukuoka LLLDLLLWLL 0.40 0.90–1.40 3L
V-Varen Nagasaki DWWLDLLLWD 1.20 1.60–1.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Avispa Fukuoka2 42 01
V-Varen Nagasaki3 23 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Avispa Fukuoka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

V-Varen Nagasaki

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.