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Machida
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
MachidaWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWins
4
Goals per match
2.75
Over 2.5 goals
75.0%
Both teams scored
75.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-10-04 Japan, J1 League 2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1Machida
2025-02-16 Japan, J1 League 2025 Machida1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-09-28 Japan, J1 League 2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–0Machida
2024-04-03 Japan, J1 League 2024 Machida1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Recent matches

Machida

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Machida2–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Mito1–1Machida
2026-08-23 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Machida3–1Urawa Reds
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Chiba0–4Machida

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Urawa Reds1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Machida Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Wins

50%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
62%

Both teams scored

88%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Machida

Home · J1 League
Machida Home Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Machida

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.602.502.00
Draws40.0%25.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.803.252.44
Goals conceded / match1.600.751.22
Total goals / match3.404.003.67
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%25.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.601.752.22
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match3.801.752.89
Goals conceded / match0.601.000.78
Total goals / match4.402.753.67
Failed to score0.0%25.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMachidaDraw Sanfrecce HiroshimaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.4% 26.0% 38.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 15.3% 19.7% 62.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.94–2.14 Model expected goals
57.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
52.2% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 10.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-210.6%
1-29.9%
0-19.9%
1-19.2%
0-37.5%
1-37.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMachidaSanfrecce Hiroshima How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1590 1637 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 15 25 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1520 1510 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Machida 1.001.62 0.500.75
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.001.50 0.380.38

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Machida 8%20%18%25%30%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10%25%12%40%12%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Machida at home, 10 matches
1.80 Sanfrecce Hiroshima away, 10 matches
49d Days of rest for Machida
50d Days of rest for Sanfrecce Hiroshima
— Manager of Machida
— Manager of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 Matches for Machida in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the last 14 days
2 Points for Machida behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Machida, the right bar represents Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

On the ball

20 matches
3.75
corners
8.0
9.88
fouls
8.0
2.5
yellow cards
1.75

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Machida LDDWWDWWWL 1.80 2.20–1.20 1L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima WWWLWDDWWW 2.30 2.80–0.80 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Machida4 31 01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4 31 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Machida

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.