Chiba

Chiba

VS Scheduled Sunday 8 Nov 202608:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 14

Mito

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse2–1Chiba
2026-09-14	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-13	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-06	26/27	Chiba2–0Gamba Osaka
2026-09-02	26/27	Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29	26/27	Kawasaki Frontale4–2Chiba
2026-08-21	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15	26/27	Chiba0–4Machida

Mito

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos2–0Mito
2026-09-13	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-12	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Mito4–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-29	26/27	Mito1–1Machida
2026-08-22	26/27	Kyoto1–3Mito
2026-08-15	26/27	Mito1–1Gamba Osaka

Chiba Mito

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Chiba

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
19	Chiba		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
19	Chiba		FC Tokyo	2
19	Chiba		Vissel Kobe	3
19	Chiba	0–4	Machida	4	17′ Away
19	Chiba		Kashiwa Reysol	5
19	Chiba		Kawasaki Frontale	6
19	Chiba	1–2	Okayama	7	31′ Away
19	Chiba		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
19	Chiba		Kashima Antlers	9
19	Chiba		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
19	Chiba		Urawa Reds	11
19	Chiba		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
19	Chiba		Cerezo Osaka	13
19	Chiba		Mito	14
19	Chiba		Kyoto	15
19	Chiba	2–0	Gamba Osaka	16	1′ Home
19	Chiba		Nagoya Grampus	17
19	Chiba		Verdy	18
19 · Chiba
19	Chiba		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Mito

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Mito	14
2	FC Tokyo		Mito	14
3	Vissel Kobe		Mito	14
4	Machida		Mito	14
5	Kashiwa Reysol	2–1	Mito	14	5′ Home
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Mito	14
7	Okayama		Mito	14
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	2–0	Mito	14	8′ Home
9	Kashima Antlers		Mito	14
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Mito	14
11	Urawa Reds		Mito	14
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
14 · Mito
15	Kyoto	1–3	Mito	14	17′ Away
16	Gamba Osaka		Mito	14
17	Nagoya Grampus		Mito	14
18	Verdy		Mito	14
19	Chiba		Mito	14
20	Avispa Fukuoka	1–1	Mito	14	53′ Home

Chiba Home Mito Away

Wins

33%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

33%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

33%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Chiba

9 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away6 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.56
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.83	0.89
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.17	2.11
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mito

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.50	1.33
Total goals / match	2.40	2.75	2.56
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Chiba	Draw	Mito	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.8%	26.0%	39.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.7%	18.0%	66.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.87–2.28 Model expected goals

58.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.3% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.2%

0-19.8%

1-29.7%

0-38.5%

1-18.5%

1-37.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Chiba	Mito	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1447	1500	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-41	7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1562	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Chiba	0.62	0.25	1.00	1.25
Mito	0.75	0.62	0.50	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Chiba	0%	0%	44%	33%	22%
Mito	0%	22%	44%	11%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Chiba at home, 3 matches

1.00 Mito away, 4 matches

50d Days of rest for Chiba

50d Days of rest for Mito

— Manager of Chiba

— Manager of Mito

0 Matches for Chiba in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mito in the last 14 days

15 Points for Chiba behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Mito behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Chiba, the right bar represents Mito.

On the ball

20 matches

2.71

corners

4.17

11.0

fouls

9.88

3.33

yellow cards

2.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Chiba	LDDWLLLLL	0.56	0.89–2.11	1L
Mito	LLLDWDWDL	1.00	1.22–1.33	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Chiba	2	3	3	0	1
Mito	3	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Chiba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mito

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.