Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

VS Scheduled Saturday 21 Nov 202606:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 15

FC Tokyo

Head-to-head overview

24 meetings

Cerezo OsakaWins: 8
Draws29.2% of meetings: 7
FC TokyoWins: 9

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 45.8%
Both teams scored: 41.7%

Date	Season	Match
2025-06-14	2025	FC Tokyo2–2Cerezo Osaka
2025-04-20	2025	Cerezo Osaka1–1FC Tokyo
2024-12-08	2024	FC Tokyo3–0Cerezo Osaka
2024-02-24	2024	Cerezo Osaka2–2FC Tokyo
2023-08-06	2023	Cerezo Osaka0–1FC Tokyo
2023-04-15	2023	FC Tokyo1–2Cerezo Osaka
2022-10-12	2022	FC Tokyo4–0Cerezo Osaka
2022-03-06	2022	Cerezo Osaka0–1FC Tokyo
2021-07-21	2021	Cerezo Osaka3–3FC Tokyo
2021-03-06	2021	FC Tokyo3–2Cerezo Osaka
2020-09-23	2020	FC Tokyo2–0Cerezo Osaka
2020-08-09	2020	Cerezo Osaka0–0FC Tokyo
2019-08-03	2019	FC Tokyo3–0Cerezo Osaka
2019-05-25	2019	Cerezo Osaka1–0FC Tokyo
2018-10-20	2018	FC Tokyo0–1Cerezo Osaka
2018-04-14	2018	Cerezo Osaka1–0FC Tokyo
2017-09-09	2017	FC Tokyo1–4Cerezo Osaka
2017-07-02	2017	Cerezo Osaka3–1FC Tokyo
2014-08-09	2014	Cerezo Osaka0–0FC Tokyo
2014-04-19	2014	FC Tokyo2–0Cerezo Osaka
2013-11-10	2013	FC Tokyo1–2Cerezo Osaka
2013-03-16	2013	Cerezo Osaka1–0FC Tokyo
2012-10-20	2012	Cerezo Osaka1–1FC Tokyo
2012-06-23	2012	FC Tokyo2–0Cerezo Osaka

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy
2026-09-02	26/27	Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-29	26/27	Vissel Kobe1–0Cerezo Osaka
2026-08-22	26/27	Cerezo Osaka1–0Shimizu S-Pulse
2026-08-15	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

FC Tokyo

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo
2026-09-12	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo
2026-09-06	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Kyoto
2026-09-02	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse1–1FC Tokyo
2026-08-29	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15	26/27	Vissel Kobe2–2FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka FC Tokyo

Wins

25%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

38%

25%

Clean sheets

38%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cerezo Osaka

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
13	Cerezo Osaka		FC Tokyo	2
13	Cerezo Osaka		Vissel Kobe	3
13	Cerezo Osaka		Machida	4
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–0	Kashiwa Reysol	5	20′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kawasaki Frontale	6
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–1	Okayama	7	8′ Away
13	Cerezo Osaka		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kashima Antlers	9
13	Cerezo Osaka	1–0	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	62′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Urawa Reds	11
13	Cerezo Osaka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
13 · Cerezo Osaka
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kyoto	15
13	Cerezo Osaka		Gamba Osaka	16
13	Cerezo Osaka		Nagoya Grampus	17
13	Cerezo Osaka	0–0	Verdy	18	–
13	Cerezo Osaka		Chiba	19
13	Cerezo Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20

FC Tokyo

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Tokyo	2
2 · FC Tokyo
3	Vissel Kobe	2–2	FC Tokyo	2	35′ Away
4	Machida		FC Tokyo	2
5	Kashiwa Reysol		FC Tokyo	2
6	Kawasaki Frontale		FC Tokyo	2
7	Okayama		FC Tokyo	2
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		FC Tokyo	2
9	Kashima Antlers		FC Tokyo	2
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	1–1	FC Tokyo	2	50′ Away
11	Urawa Reds		FC Tokyo	2
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	0–3	FC Tokyo	2	37′ Away
13	Cerezo Osaka		FC Tokyo	2
14	Mito		FC Tokyo	2
15	Kyoto		FC Tokyo	2
16	Gamba Osaka	0–2	FC Tokyo	2	38′ Away
16	Gamba Osaka	0–2	FC Tokyo	2	—
17	Nagoya Grampus		FC Tokyo	2
18	Verdy		FC Tokyo	2
19	Chiba		FC Tokyo	2
20	Avispa Fukuoka		FC Tokyo	2

Cerezo Osaka Home FC Tokyo Away

Wins

75%

60%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

40%

Over 3.5

0%

20%

Both teams scored

25%

40%

Clean sheets

75%

60%

Scores first

50%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cerezo Osaka

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.20	1.22
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.60	0.89
Goals conceded / match	0.25	3.40	2.00
Total goals / match	1.50	4.00	2.89
Failed to score	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	3	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

FC Tokyo

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.25	2.20	2.22
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Goals conceded / match	1.25	0.60	0.89
Total goals / match	2.75	2.60	2.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	60.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	3 of 5	60%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cerezo Osaka	Draw	FC Tokyo	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.0%	25.5%	42.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.4%	17.2%	69.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.74–2.30 Model expected goals

55.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.5% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.7%

0-111.0%

0-39.7%

1-29.4%

1-18.2%

1-37.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cerezo Osaka	FC Tokyo	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1573	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	54	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1528	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cerezo Osaka	0.38	0.50	0.88	0.62
FC Tokyo	0.62	1.12	0.38	0.62

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cerezo Osaka	5%	15%	22%	25%	32%
FC Tokyo	5%	22%	30%	15%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Cerezo Osaka at home, 9 matches

1.91 FC Tokyo away, 11 matches

63d Days of rest for Cerezo Osaka

63d Days of rest for FC Tokyo

— Manager of Cerezo Osaka

— Manager of FC Tokyo

0 Matches for Cerezo Osaka in the last 14 days

0 Matches for FC Tokyo in the last 14 days

9 Points for Cerezo Osaka behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for FC Tokyo behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cerezo Osaka, the right bar represents FC Tokyo.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

4.88

7.88

fouls

11.12

2.0

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cerezo Osaka	DLLDWLWLWL	1.10	0.90–2.10	1D
FC Tokyo	WWWWDWWDLD	2.10	1.70–0.90	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cerezo Osaka	2	3	3	0	0
FC Tokyo	2	5	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cerezo Osaka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

FC Tokyo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.