Mito

Mito

VS Scheduled Wednesday 25 Nov 202610:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 16

Verdy

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos2–0Mito
2026-09-13	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-12	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Mito4–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-29	26/27	Mito1–1Machida
2026-08-22	26/27	Kyoto1–3Mito
2026-08-15	26/27	Mito1–1Gamba Osaka

Verdy

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Urawa Reds3–1Verdy
2026-09-14	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-13	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-06	26/27	Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy
2026-09-02	26/27	Verdy0–2Vissel Kobe
2026-08-29	26/27	Verdy0–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-22	26/27	Okayama0–0Verdy
2026-08-14	26/27	Verdy1–3Kashiwa Reysol

Mito Verdy

Wins

25%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mito

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Mito		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
14	Mito		FC Tokyo	2
14	Mito		Vissel Kobe	3
14	Mito	1–1	Machida	4	27′ Home
14	Mito		Kashiwa Reysol	5
14	Mito	0–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	59′ Away
14	Mito	0–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	—
14	Mito		Okayama	7
14	Mito		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
14	Mito	4–2	Kashima Antlers	9	8′ Home
14	Mito		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
14	Mito		Urawa Reds	11
14	Mito		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
14	Mito		Cerezo Osaka	13
14 · Mito
14	Mito		Kyoto	15
14	Mito	1–1	Gamba Osaka	16	18′ Home
14	Mito		Nagoya Grampus	17
14	Mito		Verdy	18
14	Mito		Chiba	19
14	Mito		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Verdy

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Verdy	18
2	FC Tokyo		Verdy	18
3	Vissel Kobe		Verdy	18
4	Machida		Verdy	18
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Verdy	18
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Verdy	18
7	Okayama	0–0	Verdy	18	–
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Verdy	18
9	Kashima Antlers		Verdy	18
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Verdy	18
11	Urawa Reds	3–1	Verdy	18	24′ Home
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Verdy	18
13	Cerezo Osaka	0–0	Verdy	18	–
14	Mito		Verdy	18
15	Kyoto		Verdy	18
16	Gamba Osaka		Verdy	18
17	Nagoya Grampus		Verdy	18
18 · Verdy
19	Chiba		Verdy	18
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Verdy	18

Mito Home Verdy Away

Wins

20%

0%

Over 1.5

60%

33%

Over 2.5

20%

33%

Over 3.5

20%

33%

Both teams scored

60%

33%

Clean sheets

0%

67%

Scores first

60%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mito

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.50	1.33
Total goals / match	2.40	2.75	2.56
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Verdy

9 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away3 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.67	0.56
Draws	50.0%	66.7%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	0.67	0.33	0.56
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.00	1.44
Total goals / match	2.33	1.33	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	83.3%	66.7%	77.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mito	Draw	Verdy	How it works
Strength (Elo)	49.6%	23.4%	27.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	46.4%	31.0%	22.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.16–0.71 Model expected goals

28.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

34.7% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 17.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-017.9%

0-015.5%

1-112.7%

0-110.9%

2-010.4%

2-17.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mito	Verdy	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1427	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	7	-38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1562	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mito	0.75	0.62	0.50	0.88
Verdy	0.12	0.38	0.75	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mito	0%	22%	44%	11%	22%
Verdy	22%	32%	20%	10%	15%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Mito at home, 5 matches

0.67 Verdy away, 9 matches

67d Days of rest for Mito

67d Days of rest for Verdy

— Manager of Mito

— Manager of Verdy

0 Matches for Mito in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Verdy in the last 14 days

11 Points for Mito behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Verdy behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mito, the right bar represents Verdy.

On the ball

20 matches

4.17

corners

3.88

9.88

fouls

14.12

2.33

yellow cards

1.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mito	LLLDWDWDL	1.00	1.22–1.33	3L
Verdy	LDDDLLDLDL	0.50	0.60–1.70	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mito	3	3	2	0	1
Verdy	0	5	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mito

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Verdy

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.