Mito

Mito

VS Scheduled Sunday 29 Nov 202605:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 17

V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos2–0Mito
2026-09-13	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-12	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Mito4–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-29	26/27	Mito1–1Machida
2026-08-22	26/27	Kyoto1–3Mito
2026-08-15	26/27	Mito1–1Gamba Osaka

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06	26/27	Vissel Kobe3–1V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-09-02	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–2Gamba Osaka
2026-08-29	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21	26/27	Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-15	26/27	Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki

Mito V-Varen Nagasaki

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mito

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Mito		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
14	Mito		FC Tokyo	2
14	Mito		Vissel Kobe	3
14	Mito	1–1	Machida	4	27′ Home
14	Mito		Kashiwa Reysol	5
14	Mito	0–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	59′ Away
14	Mito	0–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	—
14	Mito		Okayama	7
14	Mito		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
14	Mito	4–2	Kashima Antlers	9	8′ Home
14	Mito		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
14	Mito		Urawa Reds	11
14	Mito		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
14	Mito		Cerezo Osaka	13
14 · Mito
14	Mito		Kyoto	15
14	Mito	1–1	Gamba Osaka	16	18′ Home
14	Mito		Nagoya Grampus	17
14	Mito		Verdy	18
14	Mito		Chiba	19
14	Mito		Avispa Fukuoka	20

V-Varen Nagasaki

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
2	FC Tokyo		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
3	Vissel Kobe	3–1	V-Varen Nagasaki	12	2′ Home
4	Machida		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
5	Kashiwa Reysol	4–2	V-Varen Nagasaki	12	—
6	Kawasaki Frontale		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
7	Okayama	1–0	V-Varen Nagasaki	12	54′ Home
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
9	Kashima Antlers		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
11	Urawa Reds		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
12 · V-Varen Nagasaki
13	Cerezo Osaka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
14	Mito		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
15	Kyoto		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
16	Gamba Osaka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
17	Nagoya Grampus		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
18	Verdy		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
19	Chiba		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
20	Avispa Fukuoka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12

Mito Home V-Varen Nagasaki Away

Wins

20%

0%

Over 1.5

60%

67%

Over 2.5

20%

67%

Over 3.5

20%

67%

Both teams scored

60%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

60%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mito

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.50	1.33
Total goals / match	2.40	2.75	2.56
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

V-Varen Nagasaki

9 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away3 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.83	0.00	1.22
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	1.17	2.67	1.67
Total goals / match	2.67	3.67	3.00
Failed to score	16.7%	33.3%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mito	Draw	V-Varen Nagasaki	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.5%	25.5%	32.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	40.1%	23.5%	35.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.65–1.53 Model expected goals

60.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.5%

2-18.7%

1-28.0%

1-06.8%

2-26.6%

0-16.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mito	V-Varen Nagasaki	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1483	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	7	69	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1562	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mito	0.75	0.62	0.50	0.88
V-Varen Nagasaki	0.50	0.75	0.62	1.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mito	0%	22%	44%	11%	22%
V-Varen Nagasaki	5%	25%	18%	25%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Mito at home, 5 matches

0.50 V-Varen Nagasaki away, 8 matches

71d Days of rest for Mito

71d Days of rest for V-Varen Nagasaki

— Manager of Mito

— Manager of V-Varen Nagasaki

0 Matches for Mito in the last 14 days

0 Matches for V-Varen Nagasaki in the last 14 days

11 Points for Mito behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

9 Points for V-Varen Nagasaki behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mito, the right bar represents V-Varen Nagasaki.

On the ball

20 matches

4.17

corners

4.57

9.88

fouls

9.88

2.33

yellow cards

1.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mito	LLLDWDWDL	1.00	1.22–1.33	3L
V-Varen Nagasaki	DWWLDLLLWD	1.20	1.60–1.90	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mito	3	3	2	0	1
V-Varen Nagasaki	3	2	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mito

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

V-Varen Nagasaki

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.