Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

VS Scheduled Saturday 5 Dec 202606:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 18

Mito

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy
2026-09-02	26/27	Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-29	26/27	Vissel Kobe1–0Cerezo Osaka
2026-08-22	26/27	Cerezo Osaka1–0Shimizu S-Pulse
2026-08-15	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

Mito

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos2–0Mito
2026-09-13	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-12	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Mito4–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-29	26/27	Mito1–1Machida
2026-08-22	26/27	Kyoto1–3Mito
2026-08-15	26/27	Mito1–1Gamba Osaka

Cerezo Osaka Mito

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cerezo Osaka

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
13	Cerezo Osaka		FC Tokyo	2
13	Cerezo Osaka		Vissel Kobe	3
13	Cerezo Osaka		Machida	4
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–0	Kashiwa Reysol	5	20′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kawasaki Frontale	6
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–1	Okayama	7	8′ Away
13	Cerezo Osaka		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kashima Antlers	9
13	Cerezo Osaka	1–0	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	62′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Urawa Reds	11
13	Cerezo Osaka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
13 · Cerezo Osaka
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kyoto	15
13	Cerezo Osaka		Gamba Osaka	16
13	Cerezo Osaka		Nagoya Grampus	17
13	Cerezo Osaka	0–0	Verdy	18	–
13	Cerezo Osaka		Chiba	19
13	Cerezo Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Mito

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Mito	14
2	FC Tokyo		Mito	14
3	Vissel Kobe		Mito	14
4	Machida		Mito	14
5	Kashiwa Reysol	2–1	Mito	14	5′ Home
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Mito	14
7	Okayama		Mito	14
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	2–0	Mito	14	8′ Home
9	Kashima Antlers		Mito	14
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Mito	14
11	Urawa Reds		Mito	14
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
14 · Mito
15	Kyoto	1–3	Mito	14	17′ Away
16	Gamba Osaka		Mito	14
17	Nagoya Grampus		Mito	14
18	Verdy		Mito	14
19	Chiba		Mito	14
20	Avispa Fukuoka	1–1	Mito	14	53′ Home

Cerezo Osaka Home Mito Away

Wins

75%

25%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

25%

75%

Clean sheets

75%

0%

Scores first

50%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cerezo Osaka

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.20	1.22
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.60	0.89
Goals conceded / match	0.25	3.40	2.00
Total goals / match	1.50	4.00	2.89
Failed to score	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	3	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mito

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.50	1.33
Total goals / match	2.40	2.75	2.56
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Mito	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.6%	25.9%	34.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.7%	21.6%	51.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.31–2.00 Model expected goals

62.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.8% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.6%

1-19.6%

0-27.3%

0-17.3%

1-36.4%

2-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cerezo Osaka	Mito	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1500	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1528	1562	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cerezo Osaka	0.38	0.50	0.88	0.62
Mito	0.75	0.62	0.50	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cerezo Osaka	5%	15%	22%	25%	32%
Mito	0%	22%	44%	11%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Cerezo Osaka at home, 9 matches

1.00 Mito away, 4 matches

77d Days of rest for Cerezo Osaka

77d Days of rest for Mito

— Manager of Cerezo Osaka

— Manager of Mito

0 Matches for Cerezo Osaka in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mito in the last 14 days

9 Points for Cerezo Osaka behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Mito behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cerezo Osaka, the right bar represents Mito.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

4.17

7.88

fouls

9.88

2.0

yellow cards

2.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cerezo Osaka	DLLDWLWLWL	1.10	0.90–2.10	1D
Mito	LLLDWDWDL	1.00	1.22–1.33	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cerezo Osaka	2	3	3	0	0
Mito	3	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cerezo Osaka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mito

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.