Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- MachidaWins
- 1
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 1
- OkayamaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 |
2025
|
Machida1–0Okayama |
| 2025-05-25 |
2025
|
Okayama2–2Machida |
Recent matches
Machida
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Machida2–1Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mito1–1Machida |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Machida3–1Urawa Reds |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Chiba0–4Machida |
Okayama
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Okayama1–2Kyoto |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Urawa Reds1–2Okayama |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Urawa Reds1–2Okayama |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Chiba1–2Okayama |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Okayama0–0Verdy |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki |
Machida
Okayama
Wins
50%
62%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
75%
Both teams scored
88%
75%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Machida
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Machida | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | ||
| 4 | Machida | FC Tokyo | 2 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Vissel Kobe | 3 | ||
| 4 · Machida | |||||
| 4 | Machida | 2–4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 38′ Home |
| 4 | Machida | 2–1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 59′ Away |
| 4 | Machida | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 4 | Machida | 1–1 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 12′ Away |
| 4 | Machida | 1–1 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | — |
| 4 | Machida | Kashima Antlers | 9 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | ||
| 4 | Machida | 3–1 | Urawa Reds | 11 | 8′ Home |
| 4 | Machida | V-Varen Nagasaki | 12 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Mito | 14 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Kyoto | 15 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Nagoya Grampus | 17 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Verdy | 18 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Chiba | 19 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Avispa Fukuoka | 20 | ||
Okayama
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 2 | FC Tokyo | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 4 | Machida | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 7 · Okayama | |||||
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 9 | Kashima Antlers | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 1–2 | Okayama | 7 | 18′ Away |
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 1–2 | Okayama | 7 | — |
| 12 | V-Varen Nagasaki | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 2–1 | Okayama | 7 | 8′ Away |
| 14 | Mito | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 15 | Kyoto | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 2–1 | Okayama | 7 | 38′ Away |
| 18 | Verdy | Okayama | 7 | ||
| 19 | Chiba | 1–2 | Okayama | 7 | 31′ Away |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | Okayama | 7 | ||
Machida Home
Okayama Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Machida
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.80 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 0.75 | 1.22 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Okayama
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.78 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.22 |
| Total goals / match | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 0.0% | 22.2% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 4/5 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Machida | Draw | Okayama | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 52.4% | 22.2% | 25.3% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 53.7% | 23.0% | 22.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.81–1.07
Model expected goals
53.9%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
54.2%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.9%
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
1-010.1%
2-19.8%
2-09.2%
0-16.0%
3-15.9%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Machida | Okayama | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1590 | 1496 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 15 | 52 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1520 | 1500 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | 1.00 | 1.62 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Okayama | 0.88 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.38 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | 8% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 30% |
| Okayama | 8% | 28% | 15% | 38% | 12% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.60
Machida at home, 10 matches
1.17
Okayama away, 12 matches
77d
Days of rest for Machida
78d
Days of rest for Okayama
—
Manager of Machida
—
Manager of Okayama
0
Matches for Machida in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Okayama in the last 14 days
2
Points for Machida behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
4
Points for Okayama behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
2.50
League goals per match
25.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Machida, the right bar represents Okayama.
On the ball
3.75
6.25
corners
9.88
12.0
fouls
2.5
2.0
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | LDDWWDWWWL | 1.80 | 2.20–1.20 | 1L |
| Okayama | LWWWWLDWLW | 1.90 | 1.50–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Okayama | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Machida
No absences reported.
Okayama
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.