Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- Cerezo OsakaWins
- 0
- Draws25.0% of meetings
- 1
- MachidaWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 2.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 |
2025
|
Machida3–0Cerezo Osaka |
| 2025-04-29 |
2025
|
Cerezo Osaka1–2Machida |
| 2024-08-07 |
2024
|
Cerezo Osaka0–0Machida |
| 2024-05-15 |
2024
|
Machida2–1Cerezo Osaka |
Recent matches
Cerezo Osaka
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Vissel Kobe1–0Cerezo Osaka |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Cerezo Osaka1–0Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka |
Machida
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Machida1–1Yokohama F. Marinos |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida |
| 2026-09-02 |
26/27
|
Machida2–1Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Mito1–1Machida |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Machida3–1Urawa Reds |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Chiba0–4Machida |
Cerezo Osaka
Machida
Wins
25%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
62%
Both teams scored
38%
88%
Clean sheets
38%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Cerezo Osaka
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | FC Tokyo | 2 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Vissel Kobe | 3 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Machida | 4 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 2–0 | Kashiwa Reysol | 5 | 20′ Home |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 2–1 | Okayama | 7 | 8′ Away |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Kashima Antlers | 9 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 1–0 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 62′ Home |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Urawa Reds | 11 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | V-Varen Nagasaki | 12 | ||
| 13 · Cerezo Osaka | |||||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Mito | 14 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Kyoto | 15 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Gamba Osaka | 16 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Nagoya Grampus | 17 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 0–0 | Verdy | 18 | – |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Chiba | 19 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Avispa Fukuoka | 20 | ||
Machida
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Machida | 4 | ||
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 1–5 | Machida | 4 | 5′ Home |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | Machida | 4 | ||
| 4 · Machida | |||||
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | Machida | 4 | ||
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | Machida | 4 | ||
| 7 | Okayama | Machida | 4 | ||
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Machida | 4 | ||
| 9 | Kashima Antlers | Machida | 4 | ||
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | Machida | 4 | ||
| 11 | Urawa Reds | Machida | 4 | ||
| 12 | V-Varen Nagasaki | Machida | 4 | ||
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | Machida | 4 | ||
| 14 | Mito | 1–1 | Machida | 4 | 27′ Home |
| 15 | Kyoto | Machida | 4 | ||
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | Machida | 4 | ||
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 1–3 | Machida | 4 | — |
| 18 | Verdy | Machida | 4 | ||
| 19 | Chiba | 0–4 | Machida | 4 | 17′ Away |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | Machida | 4 | ||
Cerezo Osaka Home
Machida Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Cerezo Osaka
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away5 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.50 | 0.20 | 1.22 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 0.60 | 0.89 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.25 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Total goals / match | 1.50 | 4.00 | 2.89 |
| Failed to score | 25.0% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 75.0% | 40.0% | 55.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 2— | 50%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 home.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 2 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Machida
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.60 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.80 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 0.75 | 1.22 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 2— | 50%— |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Machida | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 30.4% | 25.0% | 44.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 14.2% | 16.5% | 64.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.14–2.62
Model expected goals
67.2%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.4%
Both teams to score
1-2
Most likely score, at 9.1%
Most likely scores
1-29.1%
0-28.0%
1-38.0%
0-37.0%
1-16.9%
0-16.1%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Cerezo Osaka | Machida | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1492 | 1590 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -44 | 15 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1528 | 1520 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.62 |
| Machida | 1.00 | 1.62 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 5% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 32% |
| Machida | 8% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 30% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.67
Cerezo Osaka at home, 9 matches
1.30
Machida away, 10 matches
84d
Days of rest for Cerezo Osaka
83d
Days of rest for Machida
—
Manager of Cerezo Osaka
—
Manager of Machida
0
Matches for Cerezo Osaka in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Machida in the last 14 days
9
Points for Cerezo Osaka behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2
Points for Machida behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.50
League goals per match
25.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cerezo Osaka, the right bar represents Machida.
On the ball
6.0
3.75
corners
7.88
9.88
fouls
2.0
2.5
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | DLLDWLWLWL | 1.10 | 0.90–2.10 | 1D |
| Machida | LDDWWDWWWL | 1.80 | 2.20–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Machida | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Cerezo Osaka
No absences reported.
Machida
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.