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Okayama
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 19
Kashiwa Reysol

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings
OkayamaWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Kashiwa ReysolWins
1
Goals per match
2.50
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-08-17 Japan, J1 League 2025 Okayama2–1Kashiwa Reysol
2025-05-10 Japan, J1 League 2025 Kashiwa Reysol2–0Okayama
Recent matches

Okayama

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–2Kyoto
2026-09-14 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Urawa Reds1–2Okayama
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Urawa Reds1–2Okayama
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama0–0Verdy
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashiwa Reysol

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Machida2–4Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-11 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kyoto2–3Kashiwa Reysol
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashiwa Reysol0–2Yokohama F. Marinos
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse0–1Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-21 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-14 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Verdy1–3Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-08 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashiwa Reysol2–1Mito
Okayama Kashiwa Reysol

Wins

62%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Okayama

Home · J1 League
Okayama Home Kashiwa Reysol Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Okayama

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.751.801.78
Draws25.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.251.601.44
Goals conceded / match1.001.401.22
Total goals / match2.253.002.67
Failed to score25.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3010
31–4511
46–6020
61–7501
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kashiwa Reysol

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway5 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.002.402.25
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.002.202.12
Goals conceded / match1.671.401.50
Total goals / match3.673.603.62
Failed to score33.3%20.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%40.0%37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 3 of 4 75%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelOkayamaDraw Kashiwa ReysolHow it works
Strength (Elo) 28.8% 24.3% 47.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 7.9% 13.2% 72.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.81–2.82 Model expected goals
63.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.3% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 10.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-210.6%
0-39.9%
1-28.5%
1-38.0%
0-17.5%
0-47.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureOkayamaKashiwa Reysol How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1496 1613 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 52 3 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1516 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Okayama 0.880.50 0.880.38
Kashiwa Reysol 0.501.62 0.750.75

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Okayama 8%28%15%38%12%
Kashiwa Reysol 8%20%30%15%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Okayama at home, 8 matches
2.10 Kashiwa Reysol away, 10 matches
85d Days of rest for Okayama
84d Days of rest for Kashiwa Reysol
— Manager of Okayama
— Manager of Kashiwa Reysol
0 Matches for Okayama in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Kashiwa Reysol in the last 14 days
4 Points for Okayama behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
2 Points for Kashiwa Reysol behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Okayama, the right bar represents Kashiwa Reysol.

On the ball

20 matches
6.25
corners
6.43
12.0
fouls
8.62
2.0
yellow cards
1.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Okayama LWWWWLDWLW 1.90 1.50–1.20 1L
Kashiwa Reysol WWLLWWWWWW 2.40 2.10–1.30 2W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Okayama1 61 00
Kashiwa Reysol2 24 20
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Okayama

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kashiwa Reysol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.