Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

VS Scheduled Sunday 13 Dec 202606:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 19

Mito

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06	26/27	Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22	26/27	Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka
2026-08-15	26/27	Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus

Mito

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos2–0Mito
2026-09-13	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-12	26/27	Mito0–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Mito4–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-29	26/27	Mito1–1Machida
2026-08-22	26/27	Kyoto1–3Mito
2026-08-15	26/27	Mito1–1Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus Mito

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nagoya Grampus

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
17	Nagoya Grampus		FC Tokyo	2
17	Nagoya Grampus		Vissel Kobe	3
17	Nagoya Grampus	1–3	Machida	4	—
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kashiwa Reysol	5
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kawasaki Frontale	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	2–1	Okayama	7	38′ Away
17	Nagoya Grampus		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kashima Antlers	9
17	Nagoya Grampus	0–1	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	38′ Away
17	Nagoya Grampus		Urawa Reds	11
17	Nagoya Grampus		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
17	Nagoya Grampus		Cerezo Osaka	13
17	Nagoya Grampus		Mito	14
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kyoto	15
17	Nagoya Grampus	3–1	Gamba Osaka	16	7′ Home
17 · Nagoya Grampus
17	Nagoya Grampus		Verdy	18
17	Nagoya Grampus		Chiba	19
17	Nagoya Grampus		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Mito

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Mito	14
2	FC Tokyo		Mito	14
3	Vissel Kobe		Mito	14
4	Machida		Mito	14
5	Kashiwa Reysol	2–1	Mito	14	5′ Home
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Mito	14
7	Okayama		Mito	14
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	2–0	Mito	14	8′ Home
9	Kashima Antlers		Mito	14
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Mito	14
11	Urawa Reds		Mito	14
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
14 · Mito
15	Kyoto	1–3	Mito	14	17′ Away
16	Gamba Osaka		Mito	14
17	Nagoya Grampus		Mito	14
18	Verdy		Mito	14
19	Chiba		Mito	14
20	Avispa Fukuoka	1–1	Mito	14	53′ Home

Nagoya Grampus Home Mito Away

Wins

50%

25%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

75%

50%

Over 3.5

50%

25%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nagoya Grampus

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.67
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.20	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.56
Failed to score	25.0%	80.0%	55.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mito

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Draws	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.50	1.33
Total goals / match	2.40	2.75	2.56
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Mito	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.0%	25.7%	41.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.5%	24.2%	55.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.88–1.68 Model expected goals

46.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.9% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.1%

1-111.4%

0-211.0%

1-29.6%

0-07.8%

1-06.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nagoya Grampus	Mito	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1429	1500	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-23	7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1514	1562	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nagoya Grampus	0.25	0.62	0.75	1.00
Mito	0.75	0.62	0.50	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nagoya Grampus	8%	15%	22%	38%	18%
Mito	0%	22%	44%	11%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Nagoya Grampus at home, 10 matches

1.00 Mito away, 4 matches

85d Days of rest for Nagoya Grampus

85d Days of rest for Mito

— Manager of Nagoya Grampus

— Manager of Mito

0 Matches for Nagoya Grampus in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mito in the last 14 days

14 Points for Nagoya Grampus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Mito behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nagoya Grampus, the right bar represents Mito.

On the ball

20 matches

5.25

corners

4.17

9.75

fouls

9.88

1.43

yellow cards

2.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nagoya Grampus	LLLLLWWLLW	0.90	0.80–1.60	5L
Mito	LLLDWDWDL	1.00	1.22–1.33	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nagoya Grampus	0	4	4	0	0
Mito	3	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nagoya Grampus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mito

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.