Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202605:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 20

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Head-to-head overview

27 meetings

Nagoya GrampusWins: 9
Draws25.9% of meetings: 7
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWins: 11

Goals per match: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals: 44.4%
Both teams scored: 55.6%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2025-06-28	2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2Nagoya Grampus
2025-04-20	2025	Nagoya Grampus2–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-08-17	2024	Nagoya Grampus1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-05-06	2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–3Nagoya Grampus
2023-09-30	2023	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–1Nagoya Grampus
2023-05-20	2023	Nagoya Grampus2–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-09-17	2022	Nagoya Grampus0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-05-28	2022	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Nagoya Grampus
2021-10-03	2021	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Nagoya Grampus
2021-04-14	2021	Nagoya Grampus1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2020-12-19	2020	Nagoya Grampus1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2020-11-11	2020	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–0Nagoya Grampus
2019-09-28	2019	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Nagoya Grampus
2019-04-28	2019	Nagoya Grampus1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2018-11-24	2018	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2Nagoya Grampus
2018-07-22	2018	Nagoya Grampus0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2016-08-06	2016	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–0Nagoya Grampus
2016-03-06	2016	Nagoya Grampus1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2015-08-29	2015	Sanfrecce Hiroshima5–2Nagoya Grampus
2015-04-12	2015	Nagoya Grampus2–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2014-10-18	2014	Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0Nagoya Grampus
2014-04-06	2014	Nagoya Grampus2–5Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2013-08-17	2013	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Nagoya Grampus
2013-04-27	2013	Nagoya Grampus1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2012-09-22	2012	Nagoya Grampus1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2012-04-21	2012	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Nagoya Grampus

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06	26/27	Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22	26/27	Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka
2026-08-15	26/27	Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-08-22	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-15	26/27	Urawa Reds1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nagoya Grampus

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
17	Nagoya Grampus		FC Tokyo	2
17	Nagoya Grampus		Vissel Kobe	3
17	Nagoya Grampus	1–3	Machida	4	—
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kashiwa Reysol	5
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kawasaki Frontale	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	2–1	Okayama	7	38′ Away
17	Nagoya Grampus		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kashima Antlers	9
17	Nagoya Grampus	0–1	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	38′ Away
17	Nagoya Grampus		Urawa Reds	11
17	Nagoya Grampus		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
17	Nagoya Grampus		Cerezo Osaka	13
17	Nagoya Grampus		Mito	14
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kyoto	15
17	Nagoya Grampus	3–1	Gamba Osaka	16	7′ Home
17 · Nagoya Grampus
17	Nagoya Grampus		Verdy	18
17	Nagoya Grampus		Chiba	19
17	Nagoya Grampus		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2	FC Tokyo		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
3	Vissel Kobe		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
4	Machida		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
7	Okayama	3–2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	10′ Home
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
9	Kashima Antlers		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
11	Urawa Reds	1–4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	—
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
13	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
14	Mito		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
15	Kyoto		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
16	Gamba Osaka	0–0	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	–
17	Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
18	Verdy		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
19	Chiba		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
20	Avispa Fukuoka	0–1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	68′ Away

Nagoya Grampus Home Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away

Wins

50%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

75%

50%

Over 3.5

50%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

25%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nagoya Grampus

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.67
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.20	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.56
Failed to score	25.0%	80.0%	55.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.75	2.22
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.80	1.75	2.89
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	4.40	2.75	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	How it works
Strength (Elo)	21.5%	19.1%	59.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	4.8%	11.2%	77.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.55–2.82 Model expected goals

58.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.8% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 13.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-213.7%

0-312.9%

0-19.7%

0-49.1%

1-27.5%

1-37.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nagoya Grampus	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1429	1637	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-23	25	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1514	1510	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nagoya Grampus	0.25	0.62	0.75	1.00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1.00	1.50	0.38	0.38

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nagoya Grampus	8%	15%	22%	38%	18%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10%	25%	12%	40%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Nagoya Grampus at home, 10 matches

1.80 Sanfrecce Hiroshima away, 10 matches

91d Days of rest for Nagoya Grampus

91d Days of rest for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

— Manager of Nagoya Grampus

— Manager of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 Matches for Nagoya Grampus in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the last 14 days

14 Points for Nagoya Grampus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nagoya Grampus, the right bar represents Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

On the ball

20 matches

5.25

corners

8.0

9.75

fouls

8.0

1.43

yellow cards

1.75

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nagoya Grampus	LLLLLWWLLW	0.90	0.80–1.60	5L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	WWWLWDDWWW	2.30	2.80–0.80	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nagoya Grampus	0	4	4	0	0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	3	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nagoya Grampus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.