Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

VS Scheduled Saturday 13 Feb 202700:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 21

Okayama

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
OkayamaWins: 2

Goals per match: 2.33
Over 2.5 goals: 33.3%
Both teams scored: 33.3%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025-07-05	2025	Okayama0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025-04-12	2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Okayama

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-08-22	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-15	26/27	Urawa Reds1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Okayama

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Okayama1–2Kyoto
2026-09-14	26/27	Urawa Reds1–2Okayama
2026-09-13	26/27	Urawa Reds1–2Okayama
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02	26/27	Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29	26/27	Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22	26/27	Okayama0–0Verdy
2026-08-15	26/27	Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Okayama

Wins

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

75%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Tokyo	2
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Vissel Kobe	3
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Machida	4
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashiwa Reysol	5
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	28′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Okayama	7
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashima Antlers	9
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Urawa Reds	11
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	10′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	—
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Mito	14
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kyoto	15
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka	16
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	71′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Verdy	18
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Chiba	19	3′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Okayama

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Okayama	7
2	FC Tokyo		Okayama	7
3	Vissel Kobe		Okayama	7
4	Machida		Okayama	7
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Okayama	7
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Okayama	7
7 · Okayama
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Okayama	7
9	Kashima Antlers		Okayama	7
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Okayama	7
11	Urawa Reds	1–2	Okayama	7	18′ Away
11	Urawa Reds	1–2	Okayama	7	—
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Okayama	7
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–1	Okayama	7	8′ Away
14	Mito		Okayama	7
15	Kyoto		Okayama	7
16	Gamba Osaka		Okayama	7
17	Nagoya Grampus	2–1	Okayama	7	38′ Away
18	Verdy		Okayama	7
19	Chiba	1–2	Okayama	7	31′ Away
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Okayama	7

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Home Okayama Away

Wins

80%

60%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

80%

100%

Over 3.5

40%

0%

Both teams scored

60%

100%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.75	2.22
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.80	1.75	2.89
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	4.40	2.75	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Okayama

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.75	1.80	1.78
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.60	1.44
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.40	1.22
Total goals / match	2.25	3.00	2.67
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Okayama	How it works
Strength (Elo)	58.9%	19.3%	21.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	70.3%	16.4%	9.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.38–0.74 Model expected goals

56.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.8% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 12.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-012.5%

1-010.5%

3-09.9%

2-19.3%

1-17.8%

3-17.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Okayama	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1637	1496	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	25	52	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1.00	1.50	0.38	0.38
Okayama	0.88	0.50	0.88	0.38

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10%	25%	12%	40%	12%
Okayama	8%	28%	15%	38%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home, 10 matches

1.17 Okayama away, 12 matches

147d Days of rest for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

147d Days of rest for Okayama

— Manager of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

— Manager of Okayama

0 Matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Okayama in the last 14 days

0 Points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Okayama behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the right bar represents Okayama.

On the ball

20 matches

8.0

corners

6.25

8.0

fouls

12.0

1.75

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	WWWLWDDWWW	2.30	2.80–0.80	3W
Okayama	LWWWWLDWLW	1.90	1.50–1.20	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	3	1	0	1
Okayama	1	6	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Okayama

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.