Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

VS Scheduled Saturday 13 Feb 202700:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 21

FC Tokyo

Head-to-head overview

27 meetings

Nagoya GrampusWins: 6
Draws29.6% of meetings: 8
FC TokyoWins: 13

Goals per match: 2.30
Over 2.5 goals: 40.7%
Both teams scored: 51.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2025-08-31	2025	Nagoya Grampus1–1FC Tokyo
2025-02-26	2025	FC Tokyo3–1Nagoya Grampus
2024-09-14	2024	FC Tokyo4–1Nagoya Grampus
2024-05-15	2024	Nagoya Grampus3–1FC Tokyo
2023-06-24	2023	FC Tokyo2–0Nagoya Grampus
2023-03-18	2023	Nagoya Grampus0–0FC Tokyo
2022-10-29	2022	Nagoya Grampus2–1FC Tokyo
2022-04-20	2022	FC Tokyo0–0Nagoya Grampus
2021-09-22	2021	FC Tokyo1–1Nagoya Grampus
2021-04-03	2021	Nagoya Grampus0–0FC Tokyo
2020-11-15	2020	Nagoya Grampus1–0FC Tokyo
2020-08-15	2020	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2019-08-30	2019	Nagoya Grampus1–2FC Tokyo
2019-03-17	2019	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2018-10-07	2018	Nagoya Grampus1–2FC Tokyo
2018-04-28	2018	FC Tokyo3–2Nagoya Grampus
2016-08-27	2016	Nagoya Grampus1–1FC Tokyo
2016-04-02	2016	FC Tokyo3–2Nagoya Grampus
2015-08-22	2015	Nagoya Grampus0–0FC Tokyo
2015-05-23	2015	FC Tokyo0–1Nagoya Grampus
2014-11-02	2014	Nagoya Grampus2–2FC Tokyo
2014-04-29	2014	FC Tokyo0–1Nagoya Grampus
2013-09-21	2013	Nagoya Grampus0–2FC Tokyo
2013-04-20	2013	FC Tokyo3–1Nagoya Grampus
2012-11-07	2012	Nagoya Grampus1–0FC Tokyo
2012-03-17	2012	FC Tokyo3–2Nagoya Grampus

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06	26/27	Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22	26/27	Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka
2026-08-15	26/27	Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus

FC Tokyo

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo
2026-09-12	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo
2026-09-06	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Kyoto
2026-09-02	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse1–1FC Tokyo
2026-08-29	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15	26/27	Vissel Kobe2–2FC Tokyo

Nagoya Grampus FC Tokyo

Wins

25%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

0%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nagoya Grampus

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
17	Nagoya Grampus		FC Tokyo	2
17	Nagoya Grampus		Vissel Kobe	3
17	Nagoya Grampus	1–3	Machida	4	—
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kashiwa Reysol	5
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kawasaki Frontale	6
17	Nagoya Grampus	2–1	Okayama	7	38′ Away
17	Nagoya Grampus		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kashima Antlers	9
17	Nagoya Grampus	0–1	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	38′ Away
17	Nagoya Grampus		Urawa Reds	11
17	Nagoya Grampus		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
17	Nagoya Grampus		Cerezo Osaka	13
17	Nagoya Grampus		Mito	14
17	Nagoya Grampus		Kyoto	15
17	Nagoya Grampus	3–1	Gamba Osaka	16	7′ Home
17 · Nagoya Grampus
17	Nagoya Grampus		Verdy	18
17	Nagoya Grampus		Chiba	19
17	Nagoya Grampus		Avispa Fukuoka	20

FC Tokyo

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Tokyo	2
2 · FC Tokyo
3	Vissel Kobe	2–2	FC Tokyo	2	35′ Away
4	Machida		FC Tokyo	2
5	Kashiwa Reysol		FC Tokyo	2
6	Kawasaki Frontale		FC Tokyo	2
7	Okayama		FC Tokyo	2
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		FC Tokyo	2
9	Kashima Antlers		FC Tokyo	2
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	1–1	FC Tokyo	2	50′ Away
11	Urawa Reds		FC Tokyo	2
12	V-Varen Nagasaki	0–3	FC Tokyo	2	37′ Away
13	Cerezo Osaka		FC Tokyo	2
14	Mito		FC Tokyo	2
15	Kyoto		FC Tokyo	2
16	Gamba Osaka	0–2	FC Tokyo	2	38′ Away
16	Gamba Osaka	0–2	FC Tokyo	2	—
17	Nagoya Grampus		FC Tokyo	2
18	Verdy		FC Tokyo	2
19	Chiba		FC Tokyo	2
20	Avispa Fukuoka		FC Tokyo	2

Nagoya Grampus Home FC Tokyo Away

Wins

50%

60%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

75%

40%

Over 3.5

50%

20%

Both teams scored

75%

40%

Clean sheets

0%

60%

Scores first

25%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nagoya Grampus

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.67
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.20	0.78
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Total goals / match	3.00	2.20	2.56
Failed to score	25.0%	80.0%	55.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	60.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

FC Tokyo

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.25	2.20	2.22
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.00	1.78
Goals conceded / match	1.25	0.60	0.89
Total goals / match	2.75	2.60	2.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	60.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	3 of 5	60%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nagoya Grampus	Draw	FC Tokyo	How it works
Strength (Elo)	26.5%	23.0%	50.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	9.6%	20.0%	69.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.55–1.92 Model expected goals

43.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.3%

0-215.6%

0-310.0%

1-18.9%

1-28.6%

0-08.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nagoya Grampus	FC Tokyo	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1429	1573	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-23	54	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1514	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nagoya Grampus	0.25	0.62	0.75	1.00
FC Tokyo	0.62	1.12	0.38	0.62

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nagoya Grampus	8%	15%	22%	38%	18%
FC Tokyo	5%	22%	30%	15%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Nagoya Grampus at home, 10 matches

1.91 FC Tokyo away, 11 matches

147d Days of rest for Nagoya Grampus

147d Days of rest for FC Tokyo

— Manager of Nagoya Grampus

— Manager of FC Tokyo

0 Matches for Nagoya Grampus in the last 14 days

0 Matches for FC Tokyo in the last 14 days

14 Points for Nagoya Grampus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

0 Points for FC Tokyo behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nagoya Grampus, the right bar represents FC Tokyo.

On the ball

20 matches

5.25

corners

4.88

9.75

fouls

11.12

1.43

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nagoya Grampus	LLLLLWWLLW	0.90	0.80–1.60	5L
FC Tokyo	WWWWDWWDLD	2.10	1.70–0.90	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nagoya Grampus	0	4	4	0	0
FC Tokyo	2	5	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nagoya Grampus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

FC Tokyo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.