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FC Tokyo
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 22
V-Varen Nagasaki

Head-to-head overview

3 meetings
FC TokyoWins
2
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
V-Varen NagasakiWins
1
Goals per match
3.67
Over 2.5 goals
66.7%
Both teams scored
33.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2018-07-27 Japan, J1 League 2018 FC Tokyo0–1V-Varen Nagasaki
2018-04-08 Japan, J1 League 2018 V-Varen Nagasaki2–5FC Tokyo
Recent matches

FC Tokyo

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Gamba Osaka0–2FC Tokyo
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 FC Tokyo2–0Kyoto
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–1FC Tokyo
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21 Japan, J1 League 26/27 FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Vissel Kobe2–2FC Tokyo

V-Varen Nagasaki

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Vissel Kobe3–1V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–2Gamba Osaka
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki0–3FC Tokyo
2026-08-21 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashiwa Reysol4–2V-Varen Nagasaki
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Okayama1–0V-Varen Nagasaki
FC Tokyo V-Varen Nagasaki

Wins

75%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
50%

Both teams scored

25%
50%

Clean sheets

75%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

FC Tokyo

Home · J1 League
FC Tokyo Home V-Varen Nagasaki Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

FC Tokyo

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.252.202.22
Draws0.0%40.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.502.001.78
Goals conceded / match1.250.600.89
Total goals / match2.752.602.67
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%60.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 4 0%
Scores first → wins 3 of 4 75%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4501
46–6011
61–7531
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

V-Varen Nagasaki

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.830.001.22
Draws33.3%0.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.501.001.33
Goals conceded / match1.172.671.67
Total goals / match2.673.673.00
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%33.3%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelFC TokyoDraw V-Varen NagasakiHow it works
Strength (Elo) 51.8% 22.5% 25.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 60.3% 21.8% 16.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.89–0.86 Model expected goals
50.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.4% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-012.0%
2-011.4%
1-110.4%
2-19.8%
3-07.2%
0-06.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureFC TokyoV-Varen Nagasaki How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1573 1483 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 54 69 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1519 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
FC Tokyo 0.621.12 0.380.62
V-Varen Nagasaki 0.500.75 0.621.25

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
FC Tokyo 5%22%30%15%28%
V-Varen Nagasaki 5%25%18%25%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 FC Tokyo at home, 9 matches
0.50 V-Varen Nagasaki away, 8 matches
154d Days of rest for FC Tokyo
154d Days of rest for V-Varen Nagasaki
— Manager of FC Tokyo
— Manager of V-Varen Nagasaki
0 Matches for FC Tokyo in the last 14 days
0 Matches for V-Varen Nagasaki in the last 14 days
0 Points for FC Tokyo behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone
9 Points for V-Varen Nagasaki behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents FC Tokyo, the right bar represents V-Varen Nagasaki.

On the ball

20 matches
4.88
corners
4.57
11.12
fouls
9.88
2.5
yellow cards
1.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
FC Tokyo WWWWDWWDLD 2.10 1.70–0.90 4W
V-Varen Nagasaki DWWLDLLLWD 1.20 1.60–1.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
FC Tokyo2 51 00
V-Varen Nagasaki3 23 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

FC Tokyo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

V-Varen Nagasaki

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.