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Avispa Fukuoka
VS Scheduled Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 22
Nagoya Grampus

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings
Avispa FukuokaWins
2
Draws25.0% of meetings
3
Nagoya GrampusWins
7
Goals per match
1.92
Over 2.5 goals
33.3%
Both teams scored
33.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-12-06 Japan, J1 League 2025 Nagoya Grampus1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2025-05-17 Japan, J1 League 2025 Avispa Fukuoka1–1Nagoya Grampus
2024-10-04 Japan, J1 League 2024 Avispa Fukuoka1–0Nagoya Grampus
2024-04-07 Japan, J1 League 2024 Nagoya Grampus0–0Avispa Fukuoka
2023-09-16 Japan, J1 League 2023 Avispa Fukuoka1–0Nagoya Grampus
2023-06-11 Japan, J1 League 2023 Nagoya Grampus2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2022-09-03 Japan, J1 League 2022 Avispa Fukuoka2–3Nagoya Grampus
2022-05-25 Japan, J1 League 2022 Nagoya Grampus1–0Avispa Fukuoka
Recent matches

Avispa Fukuoka

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-05 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka2–3Urawa Reds
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kyoto2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashima Antlers3–2Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Japan, J1 League 26/27 FC Tokyo1–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-13 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-12 Japan, J1 League 26/27 V-Varen Nagasaki2–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-09-06 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus1–3Machida
2026-09-02 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus2–1Okayama
2026-08-22 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Nagoya Grampus3–1Gamba Osaka
2026-08-15 Japan, J1 League 26/27 Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka Nagoya Grampus

Wins

12%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

50%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Avispa Fukuoka Home Nagoya Grampus Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Avispa Fukuoka

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.800.000.44
Draws20.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match1.200.751.00
Goals conceded / match1.201.751.44
Total goals / match2.402.502.44
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3011
31–4530
46–6010
61–7511
76–9003

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nagoya Grampus

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.500.000.67
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.500.200.78
Goals conceded / match1.502.001.78
Total goals / match3.002.202.56
Failed to score25.0%80.0%55.6%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%60.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAvispa FukuokaDraw Nagoya GrampusHow it works
Strength (Elo) 42.8% 25.4% 31.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.7% 31.7% 36.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.91–1.00 Model expected goals
29.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
37.6% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 14.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-014.9%
0-114.9%
1-013.5%
1-113.5%
0-27.4%
1-26.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAvispa FukuokaNagoya Grampus How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1448 1429 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -46 -23 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1513 1514 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Avispa Fukuoka 0.620.50 0.501.00
Nagoya Grampus 0.250.62 0.751.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Avispa Fukuoka 18%35%15%15%18%
Nagoya Grampus 8%15%22%38%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Avispa Fukuoka at home, 10 matches
0.50 Nagoya Grampus away, 10 matches
154d Days of rest for Avispa Fukuoka
154d Days of rest for Nagoya Grampus
— Manager of Avispa Fukuoka
— Manager of Nagoya Grampus
0 Matches for Avispa Fukuoka in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Nagoya Grampus in the last 14 days
16 Points for Avispa Fukuoka behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Nagoya Grampus behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
25.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Avispa Fukuoka, the right bar represents Nagoya Grampus.

On the ball

20 matches
4.75
corners
5.25
12.88
fouls
9.75
2.17
yellow cards
1.43

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Avispa Fukuoka LLLDLLLWLL 0.40 0.90–1.40 3L
Nagoya Grampus LLLLLWWLLW 0.90 0.80–1.60 5L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Avispa Fukuoka2 42 01
Nagoya Grampus0 44 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Avispa Fukuoka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nagoya Grampus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.