Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers

VS Scheduled Saturday 6 Mar 202700:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 24

Chiba

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Kawasaki Frontale3–3Kashima Antlers
2026-09-11	26/27	Vissel Kobe2–1Kashima Antlers
2026-09-06	26/27	Kashima Antlers0–1Urawa Reds
2026-09-02	26/27	Mito4–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-29	26/27	Verdy0–2Kashima Antlers
2026-08-22	26/27	Kashima Antlers3–2Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-15	26/27	Kashima Antlers2–1Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-07	26/27	Yokohama F. Marinos3–4Kashima Antlers

Chiba

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse2–1Chiba
2026-09-14	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-13	26/27	Verdy1–1Chiba
2026-09-06	26/27	Chiba2–0Gamba Osaka
2026-09-02	26/27	Chiba1–2Okayama
2026-08-29	26/27	Kawasaki Frontale4–2Chiba
2026-08-21	26/27	FC Tokyo2–0Chiba
2026-08-15	26/27	Chiba0–4Machida

Kashima Antlers Chiba

Wins

50%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

62%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Kashima Antlers

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Kashima Antlers		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
9	Kashima Antlers		FC Tokyo	2
9	Kashima Antlers		Vissel Kobe	3
9	Kashima Antlers		Machida	4
9	Kashima Antlers		Kashiwa Reysol	5
9	Kashima Antlers		Kawasaki Frontale	6
9	Kashima Antlers		Okayama	7
9	Kashima Antlers		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
9 · Kashima Antlers
9	Kashima Antlers		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
9	Kashima Antlers	0–1	Urawa Reds	11	—
9	Kashima Antlers		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
9	Kashima Antlers		Cerezo Osaka	13
9	Kashima Antlers		Mito	14
9	Kashima Antlers		Kyoto	15
9	Kashima Antlers		Gamba Osaka	16
9	Kashima Antlers	2–1	Nagoya Grampus	17	—
9	Kashima Antlers		Verdy	18
9	Kashima Antlers		Chiba	19
9	Kashima Antlers	3–2	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—

Chiba

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Chiba	19	3′ Home
2	FC Tokyo	2–0	Chiba	19	72′ Home
3	Vissel Kobe		Chiba	19
4	Machida		Chiba	19
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Chiba	19
6	Kawasaki Frontale	4–2	Chiba	19	10′ Home
7	Okayama		Chiba	19
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Chiba	19
9	Kashima Antlers		Chiba	19
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	2–1	Chiba	19	30′ Away
11	Urawa Reds		Chiba	19
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Chiba	19
13	Cerezo Osaka		Chiba	19
14	Mito		Chiba	19
15	Kyoto		Chiba	19
16	Gamba Osaka		Chiba	19
17	Nagoya Grampus		Chiba	19
18	Verdy	1–1	Chiba	19	58′ Away
18	Verdy	1–1	Chiba	19	—
19 · Chiba
20	Avispa Fukuoka		Chiba	19

Kashima Antlers Home Chiba Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

17%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Kashima Antlers

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.40	1.62
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.67	2.40	2.12
Goals conceded / match	1.33	2.40	2.00
Total goals / match	3.00	4.80	4.12
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Chiba

9 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away6 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.56
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.83	0.89
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.17	2.11
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	50.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Kashima Antlers	Draw	Chiba	How it works
Strength (Elo)	60.3%	18.7%	21.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	71.2%	13.3%	8.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.85–0.87 Model expected goals

64.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.6% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-09.9%

3-09.4%

2-18.5%

3-18.1%

1-06.9%

4-06.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Kashima Antlers	Chiba	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1598	1447	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-39	-41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Kashima Antlers	0.62	1.50	0.88	1.12
Chiba	0.62	0.25	1.00	1.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Kashima Antlers	5%	30%	12%	30%	22%
Chiba	0%	0%	44%	33%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.38 Kashima Antlers at home, 8 matches

0.33 Chiba away, 6 matches

168d Days of rest for Kashima Antlers

168d Days of rest for Chiba

— Manager of Kashima Antlers

— Manager of Chiba

0 Matches for Kashima Antlers in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Chiba in the last 14 days

7 Points for Kashima Antlers behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Chiba behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kashima Antlers, the right bar represents Chiba.

On the ball

20 matches

3.29

corners

2.71

10.75

fouls

11.0

1.67

yellow cards

3.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Kashima Antlers	DLLLWWWWWW	1.90	2.00–1.70	1D
Chiba	LDDWLLLLL	0.56	0.89–2.11	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Kashima Antlers	2	3	3	1	0
Chiba	2	3	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kashima Antlers

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Chiba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.