Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

VS Scheduled Saturday 6 Mar 202700:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 24

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Head-to-head overview

26 meetings

Cerezo OsakaWins: 5
Draws19.2% of meetings: 5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWins: 16

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 38.5%
Both teams scored: 46.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2025-08-31	2025	Cerezo Osaka1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025-04-06	2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1Cerezo Osaka
2024-08-11	2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–0Cerezo Osaka
2024-05-26	2024	Cerezo Osaka1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2023-10-21	2023	Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0Cerezo Osaka
2023-04-29	2023	Cerezo Osaka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-08-27	2022	Cerezo Osaka0–3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-06-18	2022	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1Cerezo Osaka
2021-09-22	2021	Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Cerezo Osaka
2021-05-23	2021	Cerezo Osaka1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2020-11-21	2020	Cerezo Osaka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2020-07-18	2020	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2Cerezo Osaka
2019-07-06	2019	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Cerezo Osaka
2019-03-09	2019	Cerezo Osaka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2018-08-25	2018	Cerezo Osaka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2018-05-20	2018	Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2Cerezo Osaka
2017-09-16	2017	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Cerezo Osaka
2017-05-14	2017	Cerezo Osaka5–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2014-08-23	2014	Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0Cerezo Osaka
2014-03-01	2014	Cerezo Osaka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2013-11-23	2013	Cerezo Osaka1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2013-07-13	2013	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Cerezo Osaka
2012-11-24	2012	Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–1Cerezo Osaka
2012-06-16	2012	Cerezo Osaka1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	V-Varen Nagasaki1–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Cerezo Osaka0–0Verdy
2026-09-02	26/27	Cerezo Osaka2–0Kashiwa Reysol
2026-08-29	26/27	Vissel Kobe1–0Cerezo Osaka
2026-08-22	26/27	Cerezo Osaka1–0Shimizu S-Pulse
2026-08-15	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-08-22	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-15	26/27	Urawa Reds1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Cerezo Osaka Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cerezo Osaka

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
13	Cerezo Osaka		FC Tokyo	2
13	Cerezo Osaka		Vissel Kobe	3
13	Cerezo Osaka		Machida	4
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–0	Kashiwa Reysol	5	20′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kawasaki Frontale	6
13	Cerezo Osaka	2–1	Okayama	7	8′ Away
13	Cerezo Osaka		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kashima Antlers	9
13	Cerezo Osaka	1–0	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	62′ Home
13	Cerezo Osaka		Urawa Reds	11
13	Cerezo Osaka		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
13 · Cerezo Osaka
13	Cerezo Osaka		Mito	14
13	Cerezo Osaka		Kyoto	15
13	Cerezo Osaka		Gamba Osaka	16
13	Cerezo Osaka		Nagoya Grampus	17
13	Cerezo Osaka	0–0	Verdy	18	–
13	Cerezo Osaka		Chiba	19
13	Cerezo Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2	FC Tokyo		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
3	Vissel Kobe		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
4	Machida		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
7	Okayama	3–2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	10′ Home
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
9	Kashima Antlers		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
10	Shimizu S-Pulse		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
11	Urawa Reds	1–4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	—
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
13	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
14	Mito		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
15	Kyoto		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
16	Gamba Osaka	0–0	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	–
17	Nagoya Grampus		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
18	Verdy		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
19	Chiba		Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1
20	Avispa Fukuoka	0–1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	68′ Away

Cerezo Osaka Home Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away

Wins

75%

50%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

25%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

75%

50%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cerezo Osaka

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.50	0.20	1.22
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.60	0.89
Goals conceded / match	0.25	3.40	2.00
Total goals / match	1.50	4.00	2.89
Failed to score	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	3	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.75	2.22
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.80	1.75	2.89
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	4.40	2.75	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	How it works
Strength (Elo)	26.4%	22.9%	50.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	7.7%	13.0%	72.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–2.82 Model expected goals

63.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.7% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-210.8%

0-310.1%

1-28.5%

1-38.0%

0-17.6%

0-47.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cerezo Osaka	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1637	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-44	25	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1528	1510	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cerezo Osaka	0.38	0.50	0.88	0.62
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1.00	1.50	0.38	0.38

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cerezo Osaka	5%	15%	22%	25%	32%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10%	25%	12%	40%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Cerezo Osaka at home, 9 matches

1.80 Sanfrecce Hiroshima away, 10 matches

168d Days of rest for Cerezo Osaka

168d Days of rest for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

— Manager of Cerezo Osaka

— Manager of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 Matches for Cerezo Osaka in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the last 14 days

9 Points for Cerezo Osaka behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cerezo Osaka, the right bar represents Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

8.0

7.88

fouls

8.0

2.0

yellow cards

1.75

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cerezo Osaka	DLLDWLWLWL	1.10	0.90–2.10	1D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	WWWLWDDWWW	2.30	2.80–0.80	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cerezo Osaka	2	3	3	0	0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	3	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cerezo Osaka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.