Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

VS Scheduled Wednesday 10 Mar 202700:00

Japan 26/27 J1 League · Matchday 25

Avispa Fukuoka

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWins: 10
Draws15.4% of meetings: 2
Avispa FukuokaWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals: 53.8%
Both teams scored: 61.5%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025-09-27	2025	Avispa Fukuoka1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025-05-03	2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2024-07-14	2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2024-04-13	2024	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2023-12-03	2023	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2023-05-07	2023	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–1Avispa Fukuoka
2022-06-25	2022	Avispa Fukuoka1–3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2022-04-10	2022	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2021-08-09	2021	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2021-04-24	2021	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2Avispa Fukuoka
2016-10-29	2016	Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–1Avispa Fukuoka
2016-05-29	2016	Avispa Fukuoka0–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-12	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima6–1Cerezo Osaka
2026-09-06	26/27	Okayama3–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Nagoya Grampus
2026-08-29	26/27	Gamba Osaka0–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-08-22	26/27	Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kawasaki Frontale
2026-08-15	26/27	Urawa Reds1–4Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-09-13	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-12	26/27	Shimizu S-Pulse1–0Avispa Fukuoka
2026-09-05	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka1–1Mito
2026-09-02	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka2–3Urawa Reds
2026-08-29	26/27	Kyoto2–1Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-22	26/27	Kashima Antlers3–2Avispa Fukuoka
2026-08-15	26/27	Avispa Fukuoka3–0Cerezo Osaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Avispa Fukuoka

Wins

62%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Home · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		FC Tokyo	2
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Vissel Kobe	3
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Machida	4
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashiwa Reysol	5
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1–1	Kawasaki Frontale	6	28′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Okayama	7
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Yokohama F. Marinos	8
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kashima Antlers	9
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Shimizu S-Pulse	10
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Urawa Reds	11
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		V-Varen Nagasaki	12
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	10′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	6–1	Cerezo Osaka	13	—
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Mito	14
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kyoto	15
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gamba Osaka	16
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Nagoya Grampus	17	71′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Verdy	18
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3–0	Chiba	19	3′ Home
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka	20

Avispa Fukuoka

Away · J1 League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Avispa Fukuoka	20
2	FC Tokyo		Avispa Fukuoka	20
3	Vissel Kobe		Avispa Fukuoka	20
4	Machida		Avispa Fukuoka	20
5	Kashiwa Reysol		Avispa Fukuoka	20
6	Kawasaki Frontale		Avispa Fukuoka	20
7	Okayama		Avispa Fukuoka	20
8	Yokohama F. Marinos		Avispa Fukuoka	20
9	Kashima Antlers	3–2	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	1–0	Avispa Fukuoka	20	71′ Home
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	1–0	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—
11	Urawa Reds		Avispa Fukuoka	20
12	V-Varen Nagasaki		Avispa Fukuoka	20
13	Cerezo Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20
14	Mito		Avispa Fukuoka	20
15	Kyoto	2–1	Avispa Fukuoka	20	—
16	Gamba Osaka		Avispa Fukuoka	20
17	Nagoya Grampus		Avispa Fukuoka	20
18	Verdy		Avispa Fukuoka	20
19	Chiba		Avispa Fukuoka	20
20 · Avispa Fukuoka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Home Avispa Fukuoka Away

Wins

80%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

80%

50%

Over 3.5

40%

25%

Both teams scored

60%

50%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

J1 League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.75	2.22
Draws	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	3.80	1.75	2.89
Goals conceded / match	0.60	1.00	0.78
Total goals / match	4.40	2.75	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Avispa Fukuoka

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.80	0.00	0.44
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	1.20	0.75	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.20	1.75	1.44
Total goals / match	2.40	2.50	2.44
Failed to score	40.0%	50.0%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka	How it works
Strength (Elo)	65.6%	16.0%	18.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	68.4%	20.2%	10.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.92–0.57 Model expected goals

43.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 16.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-016.0%

2-015.3%

3-09.8%

1-19.1%

2-18.7%

0-08.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Avispa Fukuoka	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1637	1448	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	25	-46	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1513	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1.00	1.50	0.38	0.38
Avispa Fukuoka	0.62	0.50	0.50	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10%	25%	12%	40%	12%
Avispa Fukuoka	18%	35%	15%	15%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home, 10 matches

0.20 Avispa Fukuoka away, 10 matches

172d Days of rest for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

172d Days of rest for Avispa Fukuoka

— Manager of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

— Manager of Avispa Fukuoka

0 Matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Avispa Fukuoka in the last 14 days

0 Points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Avispa Fukuoka behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

25.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the right bar represents Avispa Fukuoka.

On the ball

20 matches

8.0

corners

4.75

8.0

fouls

12.88

1.75

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	WWWLWDDWWW	2.30	2.80–0.80	3W
Avispa Fukuoka	LLLDLLLWLL	0.40	0.90–1.40	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	3	1	0	1
Avispa Fukuoka	2	4	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Avispa Fukuoka

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.